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    Sun, Dec 036:00 pm UTCFedEx Field
    55 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Miami
    Dolphins
    MIA
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-6
    ATS10-7
    O/U9-8-0
    FINAL SCORE
    45
    -
    15
    Washington
    Commanders
    WAS
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L4-13
    ATS6-10
    O/U10-7-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    11-6
    Win /Loss
    4-13
    10-7
    Spread
    6-10
    9-8-0
    Over / Under
    10-7-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    CB
    Avatar
    OG
    Avatar
    OLB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    C
    Avatar
    CB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    MIA @ WAS
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    MIA @ WAS
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    MIA @ WAS
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    60%
    PUBLIC
    40%
    MONEY
    91%
    PUBLIC
    9%
    MONEY
    Over72%
    PUBLIC
    Under28%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsCurtis Samuel OVER 35.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1770.5
    67-39 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    My read on this game is that Miami will shut down on the edges with their fine corners but struggle in the middle. Wash should be chasing and Samuel should go over.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 5:19 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsLogan Thomas OVER 3.5 Total Receptions -133
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1770.5
    67-39 in Last 106 NFL Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Miami has great corners. You attack the middle of the field. That means Logan Thomas in a game where Wash should be chasing.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 5:16 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsJahan Dotson OVER 34.5 Total Receiving Yards -115
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    Josh's Analysis:

    The talented but erratic Dotson seems to save his best work for the highest-caliber opponents. He had a season-high 108 yards at home against the Eagles earlier this year and is coming off a 52-yard performance against the Cowboys. With a projected up-tempo game script that should feature plenty of opportunities for playmakers on both sides, look for Dotson to have a productive effort and clip this number.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 4:35 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsLogan Thomas OVER 3.5 Total Receptions -133
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Logan Thomas is the closest thing that Sam Howell and the Commanders have to a bona fide number 1 target/receiver. This also looks like a good spot for Thomas in a game where Howell’s projected pass attempts is set at 38.5. The Dolphins are allowing the sixth-most yards to short passes over the middle of the field, which sets up well for Thomas, given his 6.7 ADOT is shallow. In a game that should feature a ton of passing volume and with the Commanders very likely playing from behind and airing the ball out a ton as a result, this looks solid.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 6:25 am UTC
    Point SpreadWashington +9.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1209.5
    67-51-5 in Last 123 NFL Picks
    +85
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +355
    9-5-1 in Last 15 WAS ATS Picks
    Josh's Analysis:

    A change in defensive coordinators shouldn't make a huge difference for the Commanders but the transition should give a little life to the fast-sinking club that has lost three straight. Miami could be in a tricky flat spot following a blowout win over a divisional opponent.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 4:52 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Tackles Plus AssistsCody Barton OVER 8.5 Total Tackles Plus Assists -106
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    Commanders linebacker Cody Barton came off IR (ankle) on Thanksgiving and recorded six combined tackles vs. the Cowboys. More important, he wore the green dot and never left the field. The Dolphins got up big in Week 12 at the Jets, and they ended up running the ball 37 times to 30 passes. That helped C.J. Mosley -- who also wears the green dot and plays middle linebacker for New York -- rack up 14 tackles.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 4:28 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsTyreek Hill OVER 99.5 Total Receiving Yards -125
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +12
    23-18 in Last 41 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    This is a high number for most players to hit. However, Tyreek Hill is not most players. He has at least 100 receiving yards in seven of his 11 games this season. He even has five games with at least 140 receiving yards. The Commanders have allowed the most receiving yards to wide receivers in the league. They have given up 9.89 yards per target to the position, which is by far the highest mark in the league. Despite the big number for Hill, I’m still taking the over.

    Pick Made: Dec 02, 6:36 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing AttemptsSam Howell OVER 38.5 Total Passing Attempts -132
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +12
    23-18 in Last 41 NFL Player Props Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    The Commanders have the third-fewest rushing attempts in the league, but the most passing attempts. The result has been Sam Howell attempting at least 39 passes in nine of his 12 games. He has even attempted at least 42 passes in six straight games. The Commanders should need to throw a lot to keep up with the Dolphins’ high-powered offense, so look for Howell to sail past this over.

    Pick Made: Dec 02, 6:29 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsJaylen Waddle OVER 66.5 Total Receiving Yards -125
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +515
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    A pristine matchup for Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill in this one and I think both receivers are likely to hit their overs. With that said, I have seen Tua really focus on Waddle in easier matchups and I expect Waddle to get plenty of targets and YAC (yards after catch). There is some potential rain in the forecast, but not enough to affect the total in this game or slow down a Miami offense facing its easiest matchup of the year.

    Pick Made: Dec 02, 3:16 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing AttemptsSam Howell OVER 38.5 Total Passing Attempts -132
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +515
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    We hit this prop last week and we're going back to it this week with a similar game script expected. Howell has been over this number in six games in a row and 8 of his last 9. Expect the Dolphins offense to pretty much do whatever they want on offense, forcing Howell into an extremely familiar game script. I think his completions prop is also fair game, but I'll go back to the well with his attempts.

    Pick Made: Dec 02, 2:58 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsAntonio Gibson OVER 12.5 Total Rushing Yards -109
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +555
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    This one is sprinkle worthy if only because the number is so low. Gibson's gone over this weak total in each of his past four games. He also happened to play one more snap than Brian Robinson in the team's Thanksgiving game at Dallas, a blowout loss like this game might be in Week 13. Nonetheless, nearly any running back worth a darn should be able to collect 13 yards on four-plus carries. Gibson has corralled at least four carries in three straight games, has clearly made in-roads on splitting this backfield with Robinson, and takes on a Dolphins run defense that's been great, but even they've allowed at least 13 rush yards to every back with at least four carries this season.

    Pick Made: Dec 01, 9:43 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsCurtis Samuel OVER 35.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Samuel enters of a 12 target, nine catch, 100 yard performance in a blowout loss to Dallas on Thanksgiving day. The Dolphins play zone the majority of the time and Samuel thrives in that scenario, with a 17.5% first read share and 13.9% target share as the team's #3 or #4 passing option. Samuel has been over 40 yards in six games this season and I'm betting on a seventh in Week 13.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 11:41 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing YardsSam Howell OVER 263.5 Total Passing Yards -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Quick trivia question: through 12 weeks, who leads the NFL in passing yards? The answer: Sam Howell with 3,339. Game script should once again be in the Washington QB's favor with Miami likely leading throughout. He has surpassed the 300 yard mark in four of his last five games and I think it's quite possible yet again on Sunday.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 11:38 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Passing CompletionsSam Howell OVER 25.5 Total Passing Completions -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1375
    43-25 in Last 68 NFL Player Props Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    The Commandos broken defense guarantees volume in the pass game for Howell and even when they turn it over 6 times in a game - like against the NYG at home last time out - he still goes over this total. Plenty of guys who can catch the ball for him. They are awful at home and will get behind double digits and maybe could back door this. Howell is over this total in 5 straight and has 107 completions in his last 3 home games (again, where the offense tends to sputter and have to throw like crazy in the second half). We like playing Howell props. You are never out of it

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 6:05 pm UTC
    Point SpreadWashington +9.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +687
    40-30 in Last 70 WAS ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Dolphins are expected to keep rolling this week against another bad team, but I'm surprised the market is putting Washington at the same level of the Jets (this line is identical to last week's Miami line). Washington has been much better offensively, averaging more than 400 yards over their last five games despite facing some good defenses in that stretch. Miami's defense should take a step back after the injury to Jaelan Phillips, and without his pass rush ability it should be easier for the Commanders to backdoor a cover if needed. Last week was the first time Miami won by more than seven on the road, and I project this line should be right on Miami -7.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 4:09 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Anytime Touchdown ScorerTyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown Scorer -125
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    This game presents a massive mismatch in one area, with the Commanders giving up the most receiving yards and TDs to wide receivers in the league. They'll face the league's best receiver in Tyreek Hill, who has scored in nine of his 11 games and is lined over 100 receiving yards at many books. Let's just take the need for 100 yards out of the equation and bank on him scoring from somewhere on the field against this defense that has allowed multiple pass TDs on all but one game (at Patriots) since the start of October, including in both Giants games.

    Pick Made: Nov 30, 3:59 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Miami Dolphins
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Isaiah Wynn
    QuadricepsQuestionable
    Avatar
    OLB
    Bradley Chubb
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Keion Crossen
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    OLB
    Andrew Van Ginkel
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    OLB
    Jerome Baker
    WristQuestionable
    Avatar
    OL
    Connor Williams
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Cameron Goode
    KneecapQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jaelan Phillips
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Salvon Ahmed
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Zeke Vandenburgh
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Erik Ezukanma
    NeckQuestionable
    Friday, Jan 19, 2024
    Avatar
    CB
    Xavien Howard
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    SS
    DeShon Elliott
    CalfQuestionable
    Avatar
    FS
    Jevon Holland
    KneeQuestionable
    Washington Commanders
    Sunday, Feb 18, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Curtis Hodges
    BackQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Charles Leno Jr.
    CalfQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Tyler Larsen
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Kendall Fuller
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Jeremy Reaves
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Efe Obada
    Lower LegQuestionable
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    DT
    Curtis Brooks
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Christian Holmes
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Armani Rogers
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jamin Davis
    ShoulderQuestionable
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    SAF
    Darrick Forrest
    ShoulderQuestionable
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    CB
    Tariq Castro-Fields
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Percy Butler
    WristQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Chris Rodriguez Jr.
    AnkleQuestionable
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    OG
    Braeden Daniels
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Dax Milne
    GroinQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Brandon Dillon
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    C
    Ricky Stromberg
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    David Bada
    TricepsQuestionable
    Saturday, Jan 20, 2024
    Avatar
    DE
    Jonathan Allen
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    DE
    Casey Toohill
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Andrew Wylie
    ElbowQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Kamren Curl
    QuadricepsQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Jartavius Martin
    AnkleQuestionable