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The Raiders have a few big play weapons on both sides of the ball and the Patriots really don't. If Bill Belichick gets destroyed by his Padawan trainee Josh McDaniels, it's time to hang up the hoodie.

Stevenson torched the Raiders for 172 rushing yards in last year's matchup, and this feels like a get-right spot for the top offensive threat on a dreadful club that has scored 3 combined points over the past 2 weeks. The Patriots would be wise to give him a steady workload against a Raiders defense that allowed Packers backup RB A.J. Dillon to rush for 76 yards last week.

Awfully low total, but the NFL Network reported today that Jones has a very short leash -- think that was kinda common sense, but we have to lean Under for that reason.
Any Raiders issues seem relatively minor by comparison to the Patriots' woes, especially as the Maxx Crosby-led defense just put the clamps on the Pack last Monday. Even with ongoing questions regarding the Vegas offense (Why wasn't Davante Adams targeted more often vs. Green Bay? When is Josh Jacobs going to have his breakout game? Why is Josh McDaniels still making strategic blunders?) , New England looks in a lot more trouble at the moment, and not even Belichick's familiarity with McDaniels will likely help the sagging Patriots, now without a TD in ten straight quarters..
Under 41.5 - Both teams are 4-1 under due to the fact both offenses are very anemic. New England has yet to score more than 20 points in a game this year while the Raiders have yet to score more than 18 points in their first five games. The Patriots have scored just 55 points in their five games, averaging just 11 points per game. This is somewhat of a rivalry between Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels with both needs badly needing the victory. We think both teams’ punters will be on display.
Did a double-take upon seeing this total not in the 30s. The Patriots have scored a measly three points in the past two weeks and own up to by far the smallest scoring average in the NFL. Stubborn coach Bill Belichock sticks with Mac Jones. Though the putrid output is not his fault entirely, a change in QBs appears called for. The Pats likely won't find a cure here, what with the Raiders allowing 13 points in the last six periods. Only one of Las Vegas' games has exceeded this number, in large part because the offense has yet to escape the teens in scoring.

Davante Adams has an elite target profile and we're getting him at steep discount after one his worst games he's played since his rookie season. The Raiders have a hyper condensed target distribution and the New England defense is middling without Christian Gonzalez. Look for a big bounce back performance from Adams.
The Raiders haven't scored more than 18 points in a game and shouldn't be laying a full field goal, even against the seemingly hapless Patriots. New England should get two key offensive linemen back this week in Cole Strange and Michael Onwenu. That will help Mac Jones and the running game. It's extremely hard to back a team that's looked lifeless the past two weeks, but this is a step down in class. New England allows 4.6 yards per play, fifth-fewest, and has played a murderous schedule so far.
New England is a professional football team, and they know that being outscored 72-3 in their last two games is unacceptable. I believe the Patriots will have success running the ball against a defense ranked 23rd against the run. Las Vegas will have one less day to prepare for the game. This doesn't bode well, especially since head coach Josh McDaniels has a career record of 19-30, including 7-12 after a win. The Patriots had a franchise-low 3rd down conversion rate of 7.14% against the Saints and failed to enter the red zone. NE owns the better 3rd down defense and has played a much tougher schedule. Belichick is 23-14 straight-up after losing two or more consecutive games, including 6-0 over the last three seasons.
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