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    Sun, Sep 245:00 pm UTCHard Rock Stadium
    84 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Denver
    Broncos
    DEN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L8-9
    ATS6-10
    O/U8-9-0
    FINAL SCORE
    20
    -
    70
    Miami
    Dolphins
    MIA
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-6
    ATS10-7
    O/U9-8-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    8-9
    Win /Loss
    11-6
    6-10
    Spread
    10-7
    8-9-0
    Over / Under
    9-8-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    TE
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    SAF
    Avatar
    SAF
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OLB
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    LB
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    LB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DEN @ MIA
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    DEN @ MIA
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    DEN @ MIA
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    47%
    PUBLIC
    53%
    MONEY
    29%
    PUBLIC
    71%
    MONEY
    Over74%
    PUBLIC
    Under26%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadMiami -6 -110
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +742.5
    50-27-2 in Last 79 NFL Picks
    +290
    4-1 in Last 5 NFL ATS Picks
    +557.5
    9-3 in Last 12 DEN ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    No Jaylen Waddle for Miami but Pro Bowl offensive tackle Terron Armstead is set for his season debut while Denver is down a couple of key defenders and it's still really hot in south Florida so the Broncos may wear down.

    Pick Made: Sep 24, 4:21 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsDurham Smythe Over 2.5 Total Receptions -156
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    Matt's Analysis:

    Smythe is essentially the only healthy tight end the Fins have and never leaves the field. He has had 3 catches in each of the first two weeks and should see at least a few more targets with Jaylen Waddle out and Denver focusing on Tyreek Hill.

    Pick Made: Sep 24, 12:28 am UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadDenver +6.5 -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +739
    47-36-4 in Last 87 NFL ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 MIA ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    The news isn't all bad for the Broncos, who, as they were for most of the lost Nathaniel Hackett season, are still losing close, and there have been times (just not enough of those) when Sean Payton seems to have unlocked the old Russell Wilson, who also was running at times last week like he was back at NC State, gaining 56 YR out of the pocket. A potentially thinned Broncos secondary this week was also avoided as S Kareem Jackson was spared a suspension following his late hit on Logan Thomas' TD catch and ejection against Wash last week. If Denver plays to form, it's another loss...but probably close.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 10:25 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Avatar
    Total Passing InterceptionsTua Tagovailoa Over 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions +116
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Allan's Analysis:

    Tua Tagovailoa, welcome to the No Fly Zone. If you have ever taken in The Early Edge you know what that means, Tua is putting up a pick Sunday. Now to be fair so is Russell. This game is going to be a mess. Seriously, go look at the weather forecast. Downpours. Denver's defense is good enough to take one from Tua under normal conditions but if this game is tight and with precipitation I like the chances even more.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 7:07 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Passing InterceptionsRussell Wilson Over 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Allan's Analysis:

    There's a very likely chance this game Sunday is played in bursts of downpours and not only are we riding the under 48 here but I also like both QB's to throw an interception as well. Give Denver credit, the offense has looked improved from 2022 thus far however there's still much room to grow and this feels like the classic spot to try and do too much, too soon. Russ will put one up for Miami to pick off. And to save you a scroll, so will Tua.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 7:01 am UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderUNDER 48 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 MIA O/U Picks
    Allan's Analysis:

    There's a good chance this game gets sloppy in a hurry which is why I like the under here. First, Denver's defense is good enough to slow down Miami's offense from time to time. Miami's defense at home can do the same to the Broncos. Plus, this total could plummet once the public finds out about the weather on Sunday. There could be explosive plays in this one no doubt, but I'm not counting on it consistently. Give me the under.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 6:55 am UTC on DraftKings
    Avatar
    Total ReceptionsTyreek Hill Over 6.5 Total Receptions -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1656
    123-86 in Last 209 NFL Player Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    It's looking like Jaylen Waddle (concussion) won't play Sunday against the Broncos, which means an even bigger workload for Tyreek Hill. Hill has 24 targets through two games, and that was with Waddle playing. Braxton Berrios and River Cracraft are the next men up for Miami, so you can bet Tua Tagovailoa will be looking for Hill constantly.

    Pick Made: Sep 22, 3:00 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsSamaje Perine Over 16.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    I typically avoid RB receiving props as they are high variance and with a wide range of outcomes as RBs are rarely a QBs primary first/second read and as a result their target floors are almost non existent. That being said, this is an exception. Since Russell Wilson has landed in Denver he has targeted his RBs as much as any QB in the league. Perine leads all Denver RBs with a 53% route participation and projects to be the snap leader this week. Considering Wilson is not throwing the ball downfield and this game is likely to feature an uptick in passing volume, this checks all the boxes for me.

    Pick Made: Sep 22, 8:51 am UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsTyreek Hill Over 84.5 Total Receiving Yards -135
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +845.5
    74-54 in Last 128 NFL Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Through the first two weeks of the season the Dolphins have been the best passing offense in the league by a significant margin. Miami is first in every relevant passing metric and the Dolphins and Tyreek are in line for a huge performance against a Broncos pass defense that has been completely dismal ranking 29th in defensive EPA per dropback and 27th in defensive coverage grade. Jaylen Waddle also appears iffy to suit up and whether he plays or not, we can't ask for a much better matchup on paper.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 11:00 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsTyreek Hill Over 84.5 Total Receiving Yards -135
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Despite being bottled up by a Bill Belichick-schemed defense last week, Hill has 24 targets in two games and is third in the league in receiving yards through two games. With Jaylen Waddle's status (concussion) murky this week, Miami's top WR should seemingly get 30%+ target share against a primarily man-to-man defense which he can exploit. Hill leads the NFL in yards per route run thus far and considering the likely volume, a 100+ yard day seems probable for the speedster.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 10:27 pm UTC on Caesars
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsSamaje Perine Over 16.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Perine was signed to a two year, $7.5 million contract in the offseason for a reason. He's a top pass catching running back playing for a coach (Sean Payton) who utilizes his RBs this way. In two games thus far this season, Perine has recorded reception stat lines of 4-37 and 3-20, yet his total this weekend is less than those? Especially in a game where Denver projects to be trailing in the second half. Seems like the right play is to go over on Perine's receiving yards.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 10:21 pm UTC on Caesars
    Point SpreadDenver +6.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    +1898
    20-7-1 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +1895
    12-1-1 in Last 14 NFL ATS Picks
    Jeff's Analysis:

    Miami is in the middle of a division sandwich, having played New England last week and set to visit Buffalo in Week 4. Denver is ranked No. 1 in points per drive and will be going all out to avoid an 0-3 start. This line has "trap" written all over it. All the bets are coming in on Miami, yet the line hasn't moved. Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle could be out with a concussion. There is a 75% chance of thunderstorms, and a wet field will slow down Miami's offense. I like the Broncos in this spot.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 1:45 pm UTC on Caesars
    Over / UnderOVER 47.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +642
    21-14 in Last 35 NFL O/U Picks
    +380
    6-2 in Last 8 MIA O/U Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    Miami leads the NFL in yards per play at 7.4 and Denver is #5 at 5.9 yards per play. The Dolphins throw the ball 60% of the time while Denver is throwing it 63% of the time. Tua is having a solid start to the season and Russell Wilson is a new QB under Sean Payton. Wilson's completion percentage is up 8 points while throwing 5 TD pass to just 1 int. He is on the pace to 42.5 TD pass after thowing just 15 all of last season. Defensively the Broncos are bottom five in the league and Miami ranked between 10th and 15th. Temperatures in the mid 80's feeling like 95 with humidity.

    Pick Made: Sep 20, 6:25 pm UTC on FanDuel
    Point SpreadDenver +7 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2220
    202-150-2 in Last 354 NFL Picks
    +1644
    79-56-2 in Last 137 NFL ATS Picks
    +830
    25-15 in Last 40 MIA ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Broncos lost two tight home games to weak opponents and now have to travel to face the high-flying, undefeated Dolphins. But getting on the road could be the best thing for Sean Payton and Russell Wilson after dealing with huge expectations at home. Denver leads the NFL in points per drive, Jerry Jeudy is back in the lineup, and rookie speedster Marvin Mims is producing explosive plays on offense and special teams. Dolphins wideout Jaylen Waddle (20.5 yards per catch) is in concussion protocol, leaving his status uncertain. If he can't play, elite corner Patrick Surtain will undoubtedly be focused on Tyreek Hill. Look for Miami to improve to 3-0 but for Denver to cover, possibly through the back door.

    Pick Made: Sep 19, 6:58 pm UTC on DraftKings
    Point SpreadMiami -6.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +560
    7-4 in Last 11 DEN ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Dolphins may have picked up another injury to a key player when Jaylen Waddle had to exit Sunday's game, but even if he's unable to go this week, I'm not sure it matters. The Broncos defense looked awful against a mediocre Washington offense, giving up four TDs and four FG attempts in 10 meaningful drives, and Jimmy Garoppolo carved them up the week prior. Miami should score plenty of points, and despite a brief flash of excellence early in Week 2, Russell Wilson is unlikely to keep up with Tua Tagovailoa and Co. After allowing a 32-3 run to Washington to turn a big lead into a double-digit deficit, I don't know how you trust Denver to keep things close against good teams.

    Pick Made: Sep 18, 3:01 pm UTC on FanDuel

    Team Injuries

    Denver Broncos
    Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Blake Watson
    UndisclosedOut
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    TE
    Adam Trautman
    AbdomenQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Delarrin Turner-Yell
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Caden Sterns
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Greg Dulcich
    HamstringQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jonah Elliss
    Shoulder - LabrumQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Audric Estime
    KneeQuestionable
    Thursday, May 30, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Drew Sanders
    AchillesOut
    Miami Dolphins
    Tuesday, Jul 16, 2024
    Avatar
    SAF
    Mark Perry
    UndisclosedOut
    Tuesday, Jul 02, 2024
    Avatar
    OLB
    Bradley Chubb
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Cameron Goode
    KneecapQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jaelan Phillips
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Salvon Ahmed
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Zeke Vandenburgh
    UndisclosedQuestionable