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    Sun, Sep 245:00 pm UTCHard Rock Stadium
    84 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Denver
    Broncos
    DEN
    Last 3 ATS
    W/L0-3
    ATS0-3
    O/U1-2-0
    FINAL SCORE
    20
    -
    70
    Miami
    Dolphins
    MIA
    Last 3 ATS
    W/L3-0
    ATS3-0
    O/U1-2-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 3 ATS
    0-3
    Win /Loss
    3-0
    0-3
    Spread
    3-0
    1-2-0
    Over / Under
    1-2-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    LB
    Avatar
    FS
    Avatar
    NT
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OT
    Avatar
    OL
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    SS
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    DEN @ MIA
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    MONEYLINE
    DEN @ MIA
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    OVER / UNDER
    DEN @ MIA
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    47%
    PUBLIC
    53%
    26%
    PUBLIC
    74%
    Over26%
    PUBLIC
    Under74%

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadMiami -6 -110
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +510
    14-5 in Last 19 NFL Picks
    +91
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    +440
    6-1 in Last 7 MIA ATS Picks
    +140
    3-1 in Last 4 MIA Picks
    +323.5
    12-5 on NFL Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    No Jaylen Waddle for Miami but Pro Bowl offensive tackle Terron Armstead is set for his season debut while Denver is down a couple of key defenders and it's still really hot in south Florida so the Broncos may wear down.

    Pick Made: Sep 24, 4:21 pm UTC
    PropDurham Smythe OVER 2.5 Total Receptions -156
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +510
    14-5 in Last 19 NFL Picks
    +323.5
    12-5 on NFL Props Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Smythe is essentially the only healthy tight end the Fins have and never leaves the field. He has had 3 catches in each of the first two weeks and should see at least a few more targets with Jaylen Waddle out and Denver focusing on Tyreek Hill.

    Pick Made: Sep 24, 12:28 am UTC
    Point SpreadDenver +6.5 -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +80
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +80
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    The news isn't all bad for the Broncos, who, as they were for most of the lost Nathaniel Hackett season, are still losing close, and there have been times (just not enough of those) when Sean Payton seems to have unlocked the old Russell Wilson, who also was running at times last week like he was back at NC State, gaining 56 YR out of the pocket. A potentially thinned Broncos secondary this week was also avoided as S Kareem Jackson was spared a suspension following his late hit on Logan Thomas' TD catch and ejection against Wash last week. If Denver plays to form, it's another loss...but probably close.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 10:25 pm UTC
    PropTua Tagovailoa OVER 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions +116
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +155
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL Picks
    Allan's Analysis:

    Tua Tagovailoa, welcome to the No Fly Zone. If you have ever taken in The Early Edge you know what that means, Tua is putting up a pick Sunday. Now to be fair so is Russell. This game is going to be a mess. Seriously, go look at the weather forecast. Downpours. Denver's defense is good enough to take one from Tua under normal conditions but if this game is tight and with precipitation I like the chances even more.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 7:07 am UTC
    PropRussell Wilson OVER 0.5 Total Passing Interceptions -114
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +155
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL Picks
    Allan's Analysis:

    There's a very likely chance this game Sunday is played in bursts of downpours and not only are we riding the under 48 here but I also like both QB's to throw an interception as well. Give Denver credit, the offense has looked improved from 2022 thus far however there's still much room to grow and this feels like the classic spot to try and do too much, too soon. Russ will put one up for Miami to pick off. And to save you a scroll, so will Tua.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 7:01 am UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 48 -112
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +155
    5-3 in Last 8 NFL Picks
    +88
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL O/U Picks
    Allan's Analysis:

    There's a good chance this game gets sloppy in a hurry which is why I like the under here. First, Denver's defense is good enough to slow down Miami's offense from time to time. Miami's defense at home can do the same to the Broncos. Plus, this total could plummet once the public finds out about the weather on Sunday. There could be explosive plays in this one no doubt, but I'm not counting on it consistently. Give me the under.

    Pick Made: Sep 23, 6:55 am UTC
    PropTyreek Hill OVER 6.5 Total Receptions -133
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +419
    10-5 in Last 15 NFL Picks
    +64
    3-2 on NFL Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    It's looking like Jaylen Waddle (concussion) won't play Sunday against the Broncos, which means an even bigger workload for Tyreek Hill. Hill has 24 targets through two games, and that was with Waddle playing. Braxton Berrios and River Cracraft are the next men up for Miami, so you can bet Tua Tagovailoa will be looking for Hill constantly.

    Pick Made: Sep 22, 3:00 pm UTC
    PropSamaje Perine OVER 16.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Alex's Analysis:

    I typically avoid RB receiving props as they are high variance and with a wide range of outcomes as RBs are rarely a QBs primary first/second read and as a result their target floors are almost non existent. That being said, this is an exception. Since Russell Wilson has landed in Denver he has targeted his RBs as much as any QB in the league. Perine leads all Denver RBs with a 53% route participation and projects to be the snap leader this week. Considering Wilson is not throwing the ball downfield and this game is likely to feature an uptick in passing volume, this checks all the boxes for me.

    Pick Made: Sep 22, 8:51 am UTC
    PropTyreek Hill OVER 84.5 Total Receiving Yards -135
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Alex's Analysis:

    Through the first two weeks of the season the Dolphins have been the best passing offense in the league by a significant margin. Miami is first in every relevant passing metric and the Dolphins and Tyreek are in line for a huge performance against a Broncos pass defense that has been completely dismal ranking 29th in defensive EPA per dropback and 27th in defensive coverage grade. Jaylen Waddle also appears iffy to suit up and whether he plays or not, we can't ask for a much better matchup on paper.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 11:00 pm UTC
    PropTyreek Hill OVER 84.5 Total Receiving Yards -135
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +464
    14-9 in Last 23 NFL Picks
    +240
    12-8 on NFL Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Despite being bottled up by a Bill Belichick-schemed defense last week, Hill has 24 targets in two games and is third in the league in receiving yards through two games. With Jaylen Waddle's status (concussion) murky this week, Miami's top WR should seemingly get 30%+ target share against a primarily man-to-man defense which he can exploit. Hill leads the NFL in yards per route run thus far and considering the likely volume, a 100+ yard day seems probable for the speedster.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 10:27 pm UTC
    PropSamaje Perine OVER 16.5 Total Receiving Yards -119
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +464
    14-9 in Last 23 NFL Picks
    +240
    12-8 on NFL Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    Perine was signed to a two year, $7.5 million contract in the offseason for a reason. He's a top pass catching running back playing for a coach (Sean Payton) who utilizes his RBs this way. In two games thus far this season, Perine has recorded reception stat lines of 4-37 and 3-20, yet his total this weekend is less than those? Especially in a game where Denver projects to be trailing in the second half. Seems like the right play is to go over on Perine's receiving yards.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 10:21 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDenver +6.5 -110
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    Jeff's Analysis:

    Miami is in the middle of a division sandwich, having played New England last week and set to visit Buffalo in Week 4. Denver is ranked No. 1 in points per drive and will be going all out to avoid an 0-3 start. This line has "trap" written all over it. All the bets are coming in on Miami, yet the line hasn't moved. Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle could be out with a concussion. There is a 75% chance of thunderstorms, and a wet field will slow down Miami's offense. I like the Broncos in this spot.

    Pick Made: Sep 21, 1:45 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOVER 47.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +190
    3-1-1 in Last 5 NFL O/U Picks
    +95
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    +600
    6-0 in Last 6 MIA Picks
    +400
    4-0 in Last 4 MIA O/U Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    Miami leads the NFL in yards per play at 7.4 and Denver is #5 at 5.9 yards per play. The Dolphins throw the ball 60% of the time while Denver is throwing it 63% of the time. Tua is having a solid start to the season and Russell Wilson is a new QB under Sean Payton. Wilson's completion percentage is up 8 points while throwing 5 TD pass to just 1 int. He is on the pace to 42.5 TD pass after thowing just 15 all of last season. Defensively the Broncos are bottom five in the league and Miami ranked between 10th and 15th. Temperatures in the mid 80's feeling like 95 with humidity.

    Pick Made: Sep 20, 6:25 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDenver +7 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +927
    16-6 in Last 22 NFL ATS Picks
    +419
    10-5 in Last 15 NFL Picks
    +64
    3-2 on NFL Props Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Broncos lost two tight home games to weak opponents and now have to travel to face the high-flying, undefeated Dolphins. But getting on the road could be the best thing for Sean Payton and Russell Wilson after dealing with huge expectations at home. Denver leads the NFL in points per drive, Jerry Jeudy is back in the lineup, and rookie speedster Marvin Mims is producing explosive plays on offense and special teams. Dolphins wideout Jaylen Waddle (20.5 yards per catch) is in concussion protocol, leaving his status uncertain. If he can't play, elite corner Patrick Surtain will undoubtedly be focused on Tyreek Hill. Look for Miami to improve to 3-0 but for Denver to cover, possibly through the back door.

    Pick Made: Sep 19, 6:58 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMiami -6.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +1057
    19-11-1 in Last 31 NFL Picks
    +407
    10-7-1 in Last 18 NFL ATS Picks
    +640
    21-13 in Last 34 MIA Picks
    +585
    16-9 in Last 25 MIA ATS Picks
    +300
    3-0 on NFL Props Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Dolphins may have picked up another injury to a key player when Jaylen Waddle had to exit Sunday's game, but even if he's unable to go this week, I'm not sure it matters. The Broncos defense looked awful against a mediocre Washington offense, giving up four TDs and four FG attempts in 10 meaningful drives, and Jimmy Garoppolo carved them up the week prior. Miami should score plenty of points, and despite a brief flash of excellence early in Week 2, Russell Wilson is unlikely to keep up with Tua Tagovailoa and Co. After allowing a 32-3 run to Washington to turn a big lead into a double-digit deficit, I don't know how you trust Denver to keep things close against good teams.

    Pick Made: Sep 18, 3:01 pm UTC

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    Team Injuries

    Denver Broncos
    Friday, Sep 29, 2023
    Avatar
    LB
    Frank Clark
    HipOut
    Avatar
    NT
    Mike Purcell
    RibsOut
    Avatar
    ILB
    Josey Jewell
    HipOut
    Monday, Sep 25, 2023
    Avatar
    FS
    Justin Simmons
    HipQuestionable
    Miami Dolphins
    Friday, Sep 29, 2023
    Avatar
    LB
    Jaelan Phillips
    ObliqueOut
    Wednesday, Sep 27, 2023
    Avatar
    OT
    Terron Armstead
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    SS
    DeShon Elliott
    AnkleQuestionable
    Monday, Sep 25, 2023
    Avatar
    RB
    Salvon Ahmed
    GroinQuestionable
    Sunday, Sep 24, 2023
    Avatar
    OL
    Connor Williams
    GroinQuestionable

    Season Splits

    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    0%
    0-2
    2-0
    100%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    0%
    0-0
    1-0
    100%
    When Spread was +4.5 to +7.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -7.5 to -4.5
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%
    vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
    0%
    0-1
    0-0
    0%
    vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
    0%
    0-1
    1-0
    100%
    After <=8 Days Off
    REST
    After <=8 Days Off
    0%
    0-1
    1-0
    100%
    vs MIA
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs DEN
    0%
    0-0
    0-0
    0%