No Jaylen Waddle for Miami but Pro Bowl offensive tackle Terron Armstead is set for his season debut while Denver is down a couple of key defenders and it's still really hot in south Florida so the Broncos may wear down.

Smythe is essentially the only healthy tight end the Fins have and never leaves the field. He has had 3 catches in each of the first two weeks and should see at least a few more targets with Jaylen Waddle out and Denver focusing on Tyreek Hill.

The news isn't all bad for the Broncos, who, as they were for most of the lost Nathaniel Hackett season, are still losing close, and there have been times (just not enough of those) when Sean Payton seems to have unlocked the old Russell Wilson, who also was running at times last week like he was back at NC State, gaining 56 YR out of the pocket. A potentially thinned Broncos secondary this week was also avoided as S Kareem Jackson was spared a suspension following his late hit on Logan Thomas' TD catch and ejection against Wash last week. If Denver plays to form, it's another loss...but probably close.

Tua Tagovailoa, welcome to the No Fly Zone. If you have ever taken in The Early Edge you know what that means, Tua is putting up a pick Sunday. Now to be fair so is Russell. This game is going to be a mess. Seriously, go look at the weather forecast. Downpours. Denver's defense is good enough to take one from Tua under normal conditions but if this game is tight and with precipitation I like the chances even more.

There's a very likely chance this game Sunday is played in bursts of downpours and not only are we riding the under 48 here but I also like both QB's to throw an interception as well. Give Denver credit, the offense has looked improved from 2022 thus far however there's still much room to grow and this feels like the classic spot to try and do too much, too soon. Russ will put one up for Miami to pick off. And to save you a scroll, so will Tua.

There's a good chance this game gets sloppy in a hurry which is why I like the under here. First, Denver's defense is good enough to slow down Miami's offense from time to time. Miami's defense at home can do the same to the Broncos. Plus, this total could plummet once the public finds out about the weather on Sunday. There could be explosive plays in this one no doubt, but I'm not counting on it consistently. Give me the under.

It's looking like Jaylen Waddle (concussion) won't play Sunday against the Broncos, which means an even bigger workload for Tyreek Hill. Hill has 24 targets through two games, and that was with Waddle playing. Braxton Berrios and River Cracraft are the next men up for Miami, so you can bet Tua Tagovailoa will be looking for Hill constantly.

I typically avoid RB receiving props as they are high variance and with a wide range of outcomes as RBs are rarely a QBs primary first/second read and as a result their target floors are almost non existent. That being said, this is an exception. Since Russell Wilson has landed in Denver he has targeted his RBs as much as any QB in the league. Perine leads all Denver RBs with a 53% route participation and projects to be the snap leader this week. Considering Wilson is not throwing the ball downfield and this game is likely to feature an uptick in passing volume, this checks all the boxes for me.

Through the first two weeks of the season the Dolphins have been the best passing offense in the league by a significant margin. Miami is first in every relevant passing metric and the Dolphins and Tyreek are in line for a huge performance against a Broncos pass defense that has been completely dismal ranking 29th in defensive EPA per dropback and 27th in defensive coverage grade. Jaylen Waddle also appears iffy to suit up and whether he plays or not, we can't ask for a much better matchup on paper.

Despite being bottled up by a Bill Belichick-schemed defense last week, Hill has 24 targets in two games and is third in the league in receiving yards through two games. With Jaylen Waddle's status (concussion) murky this week, Miami's top WR should seemingly get 30%+ target share against a primarily man-to-man defense which he can exploit. Hill leads the NFL in yards per route run thus far and considering the likely volume, a 100+ yard day seems probable for the speedster.

Perine was signed to a two year, $7.5 million contract in the offseason for a reason. He's a top pass catching running back playing for a coach (Sean Payton) who utilizes his RBs this way. In two games thus far this season, Perine has recorded reception stat lines of 4-37 and 3-20, yet his total this weekend is less than those? Especially in a game where Denver projects to be trailing in the second half. Seems like the right play is to go over on Perine's receiving yards.

Miami is in the middle of a division sandwich, having played New England last week and set to visit Buffalo in Week 4. Denver is ranked No. 1 in points per drive and will be going all out to avoid an 0-3 start. This line has "trap" written all over it. All the bets are coming in on Miami, yet the line hasn't moved. Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle could be out with a concussion. There is a 75% chance of thunderstorms, and a wet field will slow down Miami's offense. I like the Broncos in this spot.

Miami leads the NFL in yards per play at 7.4 and Denver is #5 at 5.9 yards per play. The Dolphins throw the ball 60% of the time while Denver is throwing it 63% of the time. Tua is having a solid start to the season and Russell Wilson is a new QB under Sean Payton. Wilson's completion percentage is up 8 points while throwing 5 TD pass to just 1 int. He is on the pace to 42.5 TD pass after thowing just 15 all of last season. Defensively the Broncos are bottom five in the league and Miami ranked between 10th and 15th. Temperatures in the mid 80's feeling like 95 with humidity.

The Broncos lost two tight home games to weak opponents and now have to travel to face the high-flying, undefeated Dolphins. But getting on the road could be the best thing for Sean Payton and Russell Wilson after dealing with huge expectations at home. Denver leads the NFL in points per drive, Jerry Jeudy is back in the lineup, and rookie speedster Marvin Mims is producing explosive plays on offense and special teams. Dolphins wideout Jaylen Waddle (20.5 yards per catch) is in concussion protocol, leaving his status uncertain. If he can't play, elite corner Patrick Surtain will undoubtedly be focused on Tyreek Hill. Look for Miami to improve to 3-0 but for Denver to cover, possibly through the back door.

The Dolphins may have picked up another injury to a key player when Jaylen Waddle had to exit Sunday's game, but even if he's unable to go this week, I'm not sure it matters. The Broncos defense looked awful against a mediocre Washington offense, giving up four TDs and four FG attempts in 10 meaningful drives, and Jimmy Garoppolo carved them up the week prior. Miami should score plenty of points, and despite a brief flash of excellence early in Week 2, Russell Wilson is unlikely to keep up with Tua Tagovailoa and Co. After allowing a 32-3 run to Washington to turn a big lead into a double-digit deficit, I don't know how you trust Denver to keep things close against good teams.