Usually I bet over on these but will throw a half unit on the Under as it really seems like throwing no INTs is hugely important to Prescott this year. And he may not need to throw -- or even play -- all that much in this one.

Half of Dallas’ offensive line is listed as questionable. The Cowboys also lost Trevon Diggs on the defensive side of the ball to a torn ACL this week in practice. Arizona had zero expectations coming into this season, and despite being 0-2, they’ve been keeping games close, -7 point differential. It will be a very tough test against this Cowboy offense, but the Arizona defense is better than people think. The Cardinals are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

The Cardinals led the Commanders by six and the Giants by 14 heading into the fourth quarter of each their games but lost both. While it would be shocking if they did the same against the Cowboys, the fact they've covered twice shows they're not as historically bad as the market value suggests. Despite the close loss for Arizona, this has moved significantly off the lookahead of Cowboys -10.5 even though Dallas did what was expected against a bad Jets offense. With Trevon Diggs out, this inflated line shouldn't still be rising, but it is. I have Arizona as the worst team in my power ratings with only a one-point home-field advantage, and I'd only make this line Cowboys -11. The value's on Arizona again.

Ceedee Lamb has been excellent through two weeks of the season and despite the Cowboys dominating their opponents 70-10, Lamb has still managed to pile up 220 receiving yards. I would even argue what we've seen is closer to Lamb's floor than his ceiling. Lamb looks like he is ready to challenge Tyreek Hill and Justin Jefferson as the league's premiere WR1. Dallas will face an Arizona defense that is still a pass funnel and if they can push the Cowboys or remain competitive for even one half, Lamb should easily clear this number. Even in a blowout, Lamb should receive 8-10 targets.

So here's my thinking here: Arizona likely will be getting blasted, so Dobbs will be throwing a ton -- unless Micah Parsons decapitates him; "his capa was detated from his head!" -- and the Cowboys today lost Pro Bowl cornerback Trevon Diggs to a season-ending injury in a major blow. That obviously doesn't hurt Dobbs' potential chances for a decent game. The SL Model has him with 193 yards and that was before the Diggs news. The abominable Zach Wilson managed 170 vs. the Cowboys on Sunday and that was in Dallas and with Diggs. I'd think Dobbs can get 12 more than that. Maybe the Cowboys just own NY quarterbacks.

The Cardinals are 0-2 but have been surprisingly feisty, with Josh Dobbs avoiding interceptions and James Conner looking rejuvenated. The Cowboys are the far superior team but their key injuries are mounting. Dallas simply wants to win and avoid more injuries. Arizona also fits several strong betting systems, including: 0-2 teams getting 3.5 or more points have cashed two-thirds of the time since 2010, per analyst Steve Makinen.

Right now we're seeing great complementary football going on in Dallas with how the Cowboys offense and defense are in unison. This game would've been a lot different had the Cardinals not blown a big lead vs the Giants. It's a situation where we'll see one loss become two for the Cardinals.