loading...
Mon 12/12 | 1:20 AM UTC | Inglewood
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Miami Dolphins 9-8, 9-8 ATS
MIA -3-115
MIA -170
Over 55-110
L.A. Chargers 10-7, 11-5 ATS
LAC +3-105
LAC +143
Under 55-110

Expert Picks

NFL | Miami 17 @ L.A. Chargers 23 | 12/12 | 1:20 AM UTC

L.A. Chargers +3.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: At first glance this looks like a mismatch, but I like fading the Dolphins on the road, where Tua Tagovailoa is 6-8-1 ATS compared to 12-4 ATS at home. The Chargers are floundering but Justin Herbert is the kind of QB you want to back as an underdog. He can get us the backdoor cover. With Mike Williams practicing on a limited basis, Herbert should have enough weapons against a suspect Dolphins' pass defense. Take the Chargers +3.5 at -120.

author-image

Larry Hartstein

Senior Analyst
+440 43-34-3 IN LAST 80 NFL PICKS
+760 22-13 IN LAST 35 MIA ATS PICKS
+1056 23-11-4 IN LAST 38 LAC ATS PICKS
+328 9-5 on Props Picks

Season Splits

9-8, 9-8 ATS
10-7, 11-5 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
6-6
7-5
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
33%
2-4
2-3
40%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
57%
4-3
3-1
75%
When Spread was -4.5 to -1.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +1.5 to +4.5
60%
3-2
1-1
50%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
33%
1-2
1-0
100%
vs Teams That Win 40-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
0%
0-1
2-0
100%
vs Teams Allowing >25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
50%
1-1
3-0
100%
After <=8 Days Off
REST
After <=8 Days Off
44%
4-5
5-4
56%
vs LAC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
0%
0-0
0-0
0%