Sadly, we won't get to see Mike Evans and Marshon Lattimore duel (or fight) as Lattimore is again out for the Saints, who are pretty banged up in their secondary. I really don't understand why Dennis Allen continues to start Andy Dalton at quarterback. Dalton is 0-12 in his last dozen prime-time games on the road.

This line has fallen three points from opening with the Buccaneers now sitting as a field-goal favorite instead of a touchdown favorite. While the Saints have largely had Tom Brady's number, those New Orleans teams were far better than this one. Technically, the same is true of Tampa being far below what it had been the last couple seasons. The Bucs offensive line is a M*A*S*H unit, for sure, but NO is now missing Marshon Lattimore among its own extended list of inactives; that should be huge for Brady and Mike Evans. Outside of beating and covering against the lowly Rams, the Saints are 0-3 ATS and SU since the start of November with every loss by 10+ points. Two of those games were on the road where they scored a combined 10 points. They are also 0-5 ATS on the road this season. Shop around and see if you can get this -3 (-115) before kickoff, but if you notice the line going up, hop on quick and avoid the hook in a low-total game that should also fall under barring some defensive scores.

The Bucs are surprisingly under .500 heading into December but still sit atop the awful NFC South with three games left to play in division. They've won just three games since Week 2, none by more than six points, and they just lost Tristan Wirfs to injury. But the Saints have struggled to run the ball over the last month, and the Bucs defense has been elite against the pass all year, ranking fourth in yards per play and third in sack rate. The Saints are relatively unlikely to swing the game on turnovers, with Tom Brady throwing only two picks all year and the Saints last in interception rate. With the Saints offense held to 260 yards or less in three of their last four, the Bucs offense doesn't have to do much to cover here.

Tampa Bay's offense had a dream matchup last week versus the Browns, but the Bucs put up just 17 points and lost All-Pro right tackle Tristan Wirfs (knee) in the process. Now Tampa hosts a Saints defense that's getting healthier and just held the 49ers to 3.3 yards per carry, 4.7 yards per play and 13 points. Teams off a shutout loss have been very profitable historically, and I'll bet against Alvin Kamara fumbling twice again. This line has come down but there's still value on a Saints team that's won seven of the past nine meetings straight-up.