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Expert Picks
The Chiefs will try to win consecutive primetime games after defeating the Buccaneers last Sunday. They’ll face a Raiders team that finally won last week. Although Vegas is 0-2 on the road it has shown a knack for playing in close games. All three of the Raiders' losses have been by six points or fewer. I'm taking the full touchdown here with Vegas.
The Raiders notched their first win and cover last week against the Broncos, who keep stepping on the rake weekly. But the Raiders still have plenty of their own issues regarding execution on offense and stopping teams on defense. Their average score is 24-25 and they’re 0-2 on the road so far. The Chiefs have won eight of the last nine meetings and last season they put 41 and 48 on the Raiders. I like the Chiefs to have their way and cover again Monday.
Needless to say, I highly recommend getting off -7 to -6.5 ... but I think at worst we push here as long as the Chiefs aren't looking ahead to Buffalo. Against a division foe like the Raiders, that seems unlikely. KC plastered the Raiders twice last year. Andy Reid > Josh McDaniels. The Silver & Black are 1-5 ATS in their past six on the road.
The Chiefs have absolutely dominated the Raiders recently, and while their weapons have changed on offense, their defense has stepped up massively this season. Las Vegas’ lone win this year is over a horrendous Denver team, and it has yet to face anything near this level of competition. Patrick Mahomes is once again playing elite football with Kansas City’s offense flourishing coming off a sterling performance at Tampa Bay. Even if this game starts close, the Chiefs should be able to pull away late for a double-digit win. Don’t be surprised if this spread climbs before kickoff.
The Chiefs outscored Las Vegas 89-23 in last year's sweep, and they've averaged 37.4 points over the past eight meetings. K.C.'s defense ranks eighth in yards per play allowed, third in yards-per-carry allowed (3.3), and it should limit Josh Jacobs. The unit also ranks in the top six in pressure rate and sacks. The Raiders' win over Denver was a bit fluky given the fumble-return touchdown they benefitted from. Lay the lumber as Andy Reid continues to dominate this division rivalry.
The Chiefs went on the road for a second straight week and pasted the Bucs, even racking up 189 rushing yards against one of the league's best rush defenses. They might be the best team in the league over the Bills right now, and I have them 7.5 points better than average. Which is why this line is so strange to me, as I would need to think the Raiders are better than average for it to make sense on a neutral, much less in K.C. The pressure is off Josh McDaniels to get his first win, and I don't think his team is ready to hang with potentially the best team in the league. I think this line gets up closer to 10 by kickoff.
Team Injuries








