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Sun, Oct 025:00 pm UTCNRG Stadium
80 F
Los Angeles
Chargers
LAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L10-7
ATS11-5
O/U7-9-1
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Houston
Texans
HOU
Last 5 ATS
W/L3-14
ATS8-8
O/U7-10-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
10-7
Win /Loss
3-14
11-5
Spread
8-8
7-9-1
Over / Under
7-10-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
LAC @ HOU
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MONEYLINE
LAC @ HOU
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OVER / UNDER
LAC @ HOU
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Houston +6 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1249.5
64-48-5 Last 117 NFL
+460
10-5 Last 15 NFL ATS
Josh's Analysis:

Although Justin Herbert no longer carries an injury designation, he's still clearly not at full strength and the same can be said of pretty much the whole Los Angeles club. The Chargers continue to be hampered by injuries to their receivers and offensive line and also lost Joey Bosa to a groin injury. This is just too many points to give against a Houston club that essentially knocked Los Angeles out of the playoffs last year with an upset at home.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 2:47 pm UTC on WHNJ
L.A. Chargers -6 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1030
28-16-1 Last 45 NFL
+175
6-4 Last 10 NFL ATS
Zack's Analysis:

The Chargers continue to be unable to shake the year-after-year label of being inconsistent. Now, they’re plagued with a combination of injuries that could derail their season. In Week 4, though, they're in a beneficial spot against the Texans. Houston plays a conservative style that allowed Indianapolis and Denver to overcome deficits. Expect the Chargers to take out their frustrations on the Texans.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 1:34 pm UTC on WHNJ
Houston +5.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2425
44-18-4 Last 66 NFL ATS
+655
11-4 Last 15 NFL ATS
Mike's Analysis:

At full strength, L.A. might be justified as a double-digit favorite. But the cupboard has been thinned out by a wave of injuries and could be half-bare come gametime. Out for sure: DE Joey Bosa, OT Rashawn Slater and WR Keenan Allen. Questionable: C Corey Linsley and TE Donald Parham Jr. These guys are cornerstones of the team. QB Justin Herbert will answer the bell, but ailing ribs compromise his effectiveness. Houston's defense is haunting; its opponents' pass completion rate (55.1%) is the league's second best while its sacks total is fifth most. The Chargers have whiffed three times under coach Brandon Staley as away favorites.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 11:22 pm UTC on WHNJ
Houston +5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2450
202-148-2 Last 352 NFL
+300
3-0 Last 3 NFL ATS
Larry's Analysis:

The Texans have played three close games and I think they'll do it again when they host the banged-up Chargers. Rashawn Slater, one of the game's best left tackles, ruptured his biceps tendon Sunday while wideout Jalen Guyton tore his ACL. Edge rusher Joey Bosa left the loss to Jacksonville with a groin injury. Center Cory Linsley (knee), corner JC Jackson (ankle) and wideout Keenan Allen (hamstring) missed Week 3 altogether. It looks like Allen might return vs. Houston, but QB Justin Herbert, continues to be hampered by a significant rib injury. Late last season, the Chargers closed as 13.5-point favorites in Houston and lost 41-29. In that game, Davis Mills hit 21 of 27 throws for 254 yards and two TDs with no INTs. It was part of a pattern in which Mills plays much better at home (14 TDs, 1 INT) than on the road (5 TDs, 11 INTs). Take the points.

Pick Made: Sep 28, 2:38 am UTC on WHNJ
Under 45.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2053
98-78-4 Last 180 NFL
+281
5-2 Last 7 NFL O/U
R.J.'s Analysis:

While Justin Herbert made some great throws last week, he certainly didn't look like himself in the loss to the Jaguars. And I worry this Chargers offense won't look like itself anytime soon with the injuries to the O-line. They couldn't run the ball at all against the Jaguars, and I'm not confident they'll just be able to turn it on against a bad Houston rush defense. The Houston offense is 31st in yards per play and after I praised Davis Mills last week for keeping them in games by avoiding mistakes, he threw a decisive interception to lose to an awful Bears team. This has the makings of an ugly, low-scoring affair.

Pick Made: Sep 26, 4:46 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Los Angeles Chargers
Wednesday, Apr 01, 2026
Avatar
OLB
Bud Dupree
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Kendall Williamson
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Josh Fuga
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
WR
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
HamstringQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Eric Rogers
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Jordan Oladokun
UndisclosedQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Nikko Reed
HamstringQuestionable
Thursday, Feb 12, 2026
Avatar
OT
Rashawn Slater
KneecapQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Junior Colson
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
OT
Joe Alt
AnkleQuestionable
Houston Texans
Wednesday, Apr 01, 2026
Avatar
TE
Dalton Schultz
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Justin Watson
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Jake Hansen
ChestQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Ajani Carter
HamstringQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 11, 2026
Avatar
LB
Azeez Al-Shaair
ThumbQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Tank Dell
Knee - ACL + MCLQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Brevin Jordan
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Cade Stover
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Jaylin Smith
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Kyonte Hamilton
AnkleQuestionable
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