ANALYSIS: If the playoffs had not been extended, the Chiefs would be resting up on a bye while the Steelers' season would've already been over. Instead, we have a rematch of a 36-10 drubbing from last month, a game in which Kansas City was short-handed yet still absolutely dominated Pittsburgh. What I can't figure out is how to give the Steelers an edge here. The Chiefs are better on both sides of the ball, and the coaching matchup is at least a wash. In the wild card round, double-digit home favorites are 5-0 ATS since 2003, covering those spreads by nearly a touchdown on average. Unless Kansas City takes its foot off the gas late or completely fails to block T.J. Watt, I don't know how Pittsburgh stays within two touchdowns. A teaser with the Bucs (-7 to -1) is interesting if this spread is too high for you.