Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
I recommend buying this down to -2.5 but since that's not an option here will go with the moneyline now that Aaron Rodgers has been cleared to play. While he missed just one game, Russell Wilson missed several so he figures to be a bit rusty -- Wilson himself admits he's not 100 percent yet with his finger issue.
This game is Packers or nothing for me with Aaron Rodgers cleared to play. And given it appears the hook is on its way, it's time to jump at a field goal. Yes, Russell Wilson is back for the Seahawks in a must-win game, but the Packers are home with Rodgers dying to silence his critics. Green Bay has been rolling anyway on an 8-0 ATS streak that we've ridden to great success, while Seattle has not impressed this season. The lone knock on the Packers is that Rodgers has not practiced with the team this week. He's the franchise player, and we're talkin' about practice?! I'm talkin' about the game. Back the Pack.
This line is way too low. I think Aaron Rodgers badly wants to play well to get the COVID controversy behind him. He will be facing a terrible Seahawks defense that allows the second most yards per game in the league. I think the Packers roll and cover this line easily.
Aaron Rodgers is back. The Packers are at home. And Davante Adams is healthy. So how did this spread get so low? The Packers have covered eight straight games while the Seahawks have the third-worst defense, but Vegas sees these two teams almost equal. Rather than waste any more time on trying to figure out why this is a dumb number, I just bet it. Packers to cover.
Both these teams are getting their star quarterbacks for this game after Aaron Rodgers sat for a week due to COVID protocols and Russell Wilson spent time on IR recovering from a finger injury. But think back to before Wilson's injury, when the Seahawks offense didn't seem to be clicking and the defense struggled massively. I don't know that we can just expect Wilson to juice this Seattle attack to a level it wasn't playing at before his injury. While the Seahawks defense has gotten better in the last few weeks, so has the Packers defense, and I don't have the same questions about Aaron Rodgers and Co. scoring points. I'm playing this at +100, so hopefully you can find a -3 to lay.
I know he's Aaron Rodgers and it shouldn't matter too much, but there has to be some kind of negative impact from Rodgers not being able to spend any time with the team before Saturday. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are getting both Russell Wilson and Chris Carson back this week, and will be as close to full strength as they have been in a while.
So the question in this game is whether Aaron Rodgers is playing or not. This pick is assuming he does...and if it's Jordan Love somehow, well, I love it even more. Russell Wilson is making his return to the starting lineup and while he'll put up some points there will be some rust on a few throws as well. Aaron Rodgers on the other side won't have any practice time this week either, and while with him that isn't a massive issue or anything, it's *something*. Add in that weather and temperature could be a factor here as well, I love getting the hook at that key number of 49.
Russell Wilson looks good to go, but Aaron Rodgers' status is unknown. Seattle's QB is champing at the bit after sitting out three weeks following finger surgery and will reignite the offense. Even though teams have fared poorly following a bye week this season, the Seahawks should profit from the rest. Rodgers can't be cleared from the COVID-19 list until late in the week. Even if he is green-lighted, the Packers QB will be denied practice minutes, as well as time to make amends with some disgruntled teammates.