These clubs have played two grinders that both went Under, and the circumstances Saturday would seem to bode for another. The Rams have the league's top-rated defense and Seattle's defense cam up big down the stretch. But the Rams have been effective against Seattle this season, they just don't have many points to show for it. Also look for Russell Wilson and friends to break out of their recent funk and send this meager total Over the number.

For L.A. at QB, it’s either the inexperienced John Wolford in his second career start or the slumping veteran Jared Goff coming off a broken thumb. Either option is undesirable against a vastly improved defense. Seattle yielded a mere 13.7 points per game over the season’s latter half. The problem is, the Seahawks’ offense has plummeted and is not likely to fully heal versus the Rams D. However, the battered offensive line has recovered and is intact for the sixth time all year. Bottom line: QB Russell Wilson is 5-0 straight-up at home in the postseason. He tends to find a way.

Both games during the regular season went Under the total. Rams QB Jared Goff is questionable, and my feeling is he will be nowhere near 100 percent coming off thumb surgery. During the regular season the Rams finished with the second-best Under record at 12-4. Seattle started the year 6-2 for the Over, however it finished 7-1 Under in the last eight games.

This line finally has dropped to -3, so now we shall make a pick. I don't trust a healthy Jared Goff in a big game, so I certainly will not trust him here -- if Goff even plays. He's a potential game-time call following thumb surgery that kept him out Week 17. I certainly don't trust John Wolford if Goff doesn't play. Meanwhile, Russell Wilson has never lost a home playoff game. I realize home-field advantage doesn't mean as much this year with few/no fans, but the Seahawks were 7-1 at home (6-2 ATS) with a plus-73 point differential. While that very good L.A. defense gets all the hype, Seattle has the best scoring defense in the NFL since Week 10.

These teams produced 39 points and 29 points in their two matchups this season. Jamal Adams isn't on the final injury report, providing a boost to Seattle's improved defense. The Rams' elite defense knows how to control Russell Wilson. No matter which QB starts for the Rams, I'm expecting a grinder with a heavy emphasis on the running game. Go Under.

The 20-9 Seahawks win a few weeks ago is a little misleading; the Rams had five of the seven longest drives in the game but came away with zero points on two of them and zero TDs on the others against Seattle's mid-tier red zone defense. And I'm not discounting the Rams offense a bunch with John Wolford after watching him look capable in a playoff-type scenario against the Cardinals last week, as their offensive output was virtually identical to what they've gotten from Jared Goff over the final stretch. Seattle, meanwhile, has thrown for less than 200 yards in three straight and faces the No. 1 defense in yards per play for a third time this year. This one feels like a FG game.