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    Sun, Dec 069:25 pm UTCSoFi Stadium
    66 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    New England
    Patriots
    NE
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-9
    ATS7-9
    O/U5-10-1
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Los Angeles
    Chargers
    LAC
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L7-9
    ATS9-7
    O/U9-7-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    7-9
    Win /Loss
    7-9
    7-9
    Spread
    9-7
    5-10-1
    Over / Under
    9-7-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    CB
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    OT
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    DT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    NE @ LAC
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    MONEYLINE
    NE @ LAC
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    OVER / UNDER
    NE @ LAC
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    PUBLIC
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    MONEY
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    0%
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    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadNew England +1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +760
    11-3 in Last 14 NE ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    In seasons past, the Patriots' defense rose to the occasion in cold-weather months under Tom Brady. Even with a depleted roster, the unit is turning the corner once again. The Chargers have found ways to lose late in games all season. Take the Patriots, who are getting value based on a 1-4 ATS road record.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 3:10 pm UTC
    Point SpreadNew England +1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +463
    9-4 in Last 13 NE ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    The return of Austin Ekeler will continue to help the Chargers, but the wrong team is favored in this game. My simulations make the Patriots -1.6 points better in a 2020 "road" game against the rookie QB. Justin Herbert is a solid player, but the Patriots have a massive coaching edge in this one. Take the points.

    Pick Made: Dec 06, 6:42 am UTC
    Point SpreadNew England PK -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1495
    82-60-5 in Last 147 NFL Picks
    +1160
    60-43-5 in Last 108 NFL ATS Picks
    +1678
    29-11-2 in Last 42 LAC ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Patriots offense wants to run the ball, ranking third in rush attempts and fourth in rush DVOA. And that's good news in this matchup, as the Chargers rank 31st in rush DVOA on defense. The New England defense typically owns rookie quarterbacks, and even though Justin Herbert isn't playing like a rookie, Bill Belichick's stop unit has shown up in two of their last three games after struggling earlier in the year. If this game is close, as the line indicates, don't you trust Belichick to make the right calls to win the game? And don't you expect the opposite from Anthony Lynn at this point? Let's play into that coaching mismatch and take the Patriots as a pick 'em.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 9:33 pm UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Chargers PK -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +35
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    If you don't look at which uniforms the players are wearing, it's clear the Chargers have much more talent all over the field than the Patriots do. There's also the fact that New England QB Cam Newton apparently isn't 100 percent with an abdomen injury, which may explain his horrible passing performance last week (not like he's been that great all season). My only concern here is that Bolts coach Anthony Lynn figures out inventive ways to mismanage the clock/blow close games, which is why he will be fired on Black Monday, but the Chargers should win this fairly easily otherwise. They are 7-3 in their past 10 hosting East Coast teams, while New England's lone road win in 2020 is at the Jets.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 1:39 pm UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Chargers PK -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +725
    22-13-2 in Last 37 NFL ATS Picks
    +1546
    29-12-4 in Last 45 LAC ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Pats' defense has been abysmal on the road. They're 1-4 SU and ATS on the road, giving up an average of 28.4 points. Look for Justin Herbert (23 TDs, 7 INTs), Austin Ekeler and Keenan Allen to shine as the Chargers improve to 3-3 at home.

    Pick Made: Dec 04, 2:52 am UTC
    Point SpreadNew England PK -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +175
    5-3-2 in Last 10 NFL Picks
    +85
    3-2-2 in Last 7 NFL ATS Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 LAC ATS Picks
    Tom's Analysis:

    These teams are similar in many ways when you look at the numbers, but this matchup tilts toward New England in my mind. The biggest reason for this is that the Chargers defense ranks 31st in the NFL in Football Outsiders' Rush DVOA metric. That's not good, considering they'll be going against a Patriots offense that ranks fourth in the NFL in Rush DVOA on offense. Also, considering this game is a pick-em, we can expect it to be close. The Chargers are awful in close games. They're 2-7 in one-score games this season and 13-22 in them since Anthony Lynn took over in 2017.

    Pick Made: Dec 03, 3:25 pm UTC
    Point SpreadL.A. Chargers PK -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +490
    25-18-4 in Last 47 NFL Picks
    Hank's Analysis:

    Cam Newton threw for 84 yards and was picked off twice last week, and that was at home. New England has no offense. Justin Herbert continues to impress; he's thrown 23 touchdowns against seven interceptions. Back the Chargers.

    Pick Made: Dec 02, 4:03 am UTC

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    Team Injuries

    New England Patriots
    Thursday, Dec 07, 2023
    Avatar
    WR
    DeVante Parker
    KneeInactive
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    RB
    JaMycal Hasty
    Coach's DecisionInactive
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    CB
    Shaun Wade
    IllnessInactive
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    OT
    Vederian Lowe
    Coach's DecisionInactive
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    RB
    Rhamondre Stevenson
    AnkleInactive
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    WR
    Demario Douglas
    ConcussionInactive
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    WR
    Kayshon Boutte
    ShoulderInactive
    Los Angeles Chargers
    Friday, Dec 08, 2023
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    OT
    Zack Bailey
    BackOut
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    CB
    Deane Leonard
    AnkleOut
    Wednesday, Dec 06, 2023
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    LB
    Amen Ogbongbemiga
    HamstringQuestionable
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    DT
    Otito Ogbonnia
    KneeQuestionable