Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Both the Lions and Raiders have been hovering around .500. Both offenses have shown sparks of brilliance, but maintaining it for four quarters has been the issue. After consecutive long road trips, look for the Raiders to get back to the basics. Running back Josh Jacobs should keep the chains moving and clock running. A time of possession advantage and better execution will lead to a Raiders cover. Grab Oakland.
Almost everything here points toward a ton of points. The Lions have allowed the second-most yards per game in the league, and their games have gone Over the total five times out of seven. The Raiders also feature a decent offense and bad defense, and their games have gone Over more often than not (4-3) as well. Matthew Stafford and Josh Jacobs are both set up to have big days. Take the Over.
Going off of Football Outsiders' DVOA stat, this is a matchup of two bottom 10 defenses and two top 13 offenses. Oakland's defense is even worse against the pass, which is where Detroit and Matt Stafford have found the most success. This has all the makings of an entertaining shootout, and it could blow way past this total.
Oakland has the 31st-ranked pass defense, and the Raiders are dealing with offensive line injuries, too. Matthew Stafford is playing great, he's got two really good receivers. Oakland has to be travel-weary after not playing at home since mid-September.
Neither of these defenses has played well at all this year, with both ranking in the bottom five of points allowed per drive. Detroit's one good defensive game on the scoreboard (a 13-10 win over the Chargers) still involved them allowing 424 yards. The one thing the Lions do well is pass the ball (top five in net yards per attempt on offense), and that's the Raiders' biggest weakness, as they rank 28th in net yards allowed per pass attempt and have given up a league-worst 19 passing touchdowns. That tells me we should expect to see a higher-scoring game in this one.
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