The Bears are undervalued thanks to the trip to London and the loss of Mitch Trubisky. Kahlil Mack and the Bears defense will be motivated to play the Raiders after the off-season trade. I make the Bears -8 favorites at the neutral site. Lay it.

Don't let Oakland's win over a mediocre Colts team fool you. The Raiders are at best a mediocre team themselves. The Bears on the other hand remain a contender in the NFC. In addition, Khalil Mack has extra motivation to play well against the team that traded him. My model says that Chicago covers more than 60 percent of the time so you're getting good value with the Bears.

The Bears have played just one game this season where the total went over 30, and they'll likely play this one without their starting QB. Maybe Chase Daniel isn’t much of a drop-off, but there’s little reason to believe the Raiders will score very often on a defense (led by a motivated Khalil Mack) that’s allowing 11.2 points a game. Chicago’s games have gone Under the total in three of four weeks. Could Tottenham Stadium see another soccer-style score? Take the Under.

Under Jon Gruden, the Raiders are 0-5 ATS coming off a win. I believe this line should be higher. Indy's defensive injuries made Oakland's offense look better last week than it really is. With Roquan Smith returning to join a highly motivated Khalil Mack, expect Chicago to shut down the Raiders and cover.

Is the Bears offense better off with Chase Daniel at QB instead of Mitch Trubisky? You know what? It doesn't matter. It stinks either way, which is why I'm not trusting the Bears as favorites here, but I do trust that Bears defense to swallow Oakland alive. This is going to be another ugly, low-scoring affair like every Bears game has been this year.

Chicago is better without Mitchell Trubisky. The Bears have dominated this series historically, going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. They come into this one allowing 11.3 points per game. Khalil Mack is going to be real fired up for this one. Lay the points.

While we don't have a huge sample size of London games, the data we do have clearly favors the Bears here. Favorites are 15-9 ATS in London and 9-4 ATS when favored by more than a field goal. Teams out west that have to go to London are 1-5 ATS when facing a team from a Central or Eastern time zone, with the one cover being by a San Francisco team that was favored by 14.5 over the Jaguars. With the Bears getting Roquan Smith back and Khalil Mack seeking revenge, I'm not confident the Raiders offense does much of anything, while I think Chase Daniel can have some success for Chicago.

The first London game of the season features the Bears and Raiders, and both enter with questions at quarterback. Will this Chicago offense look better under Chase Daniel, who is filling in for an injured Mitch Trubisky? And can Derek Carr string two strong weeks together? The former is more likely to happen because of the greatness that is the Chicago Bears defense.

The beautiful new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in North London will use synthetic turf for this game, which will make the Bears defense even faster and scarier. They’ve stayed Under in three of their four games and have averaged a 16-11 score so far, and their scoring offensively should be the same even without starting quarterback Mitch Trubisky. I’m on the Under.