Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-4
ATS5-5
O/U5-5-0
FINAL SCORE
123
-
118
Memphis
Grizzlies
MEM
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-4
ATS7-4
O/U5-6-0
Last 5 ATS
6-4
Win /Loss
7-4
5-5
Spread
7-4
5-5-0
Over / Under
5-6-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
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Edey won't play in Friday's game against the Pelicans due to left ankle injury management.
Nembhard was assigned to the G League's Grand Rapids Gold on Thursday.
Whitmore was assigned to the Grand Rapids Gold on Thursday.
Spencer provided 15 points (5-7 FG, 3-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three rebounds, three assists and one block across 20 minutes during Wednesday's 123-118 loss to Denver.
Wells accounted for 22 points (6-13 FG, 5-10 3Pt, 5-5 FT), two rebounds and one assist over 31 minutes in Wednesday's 123-118 loss to Denver.
Coward finished with 15 points (5-12 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 4-4 FT), 11 rebounds and four assists over 27 minutes in Wednesday's 123-118 loss to the Nuggets.
Jerome produced 22 points (9-18 FG, 1-5 3Pt, 3-3 FT), two rebounds and five assists over 32 minutes in Wednesday's 123-118 loss to the Nuggets.
Johnson registered 23 points (9-15 FG, 4-7 3Pt, 1-1 FT), four rebounds, three assists and one steal over 30 minutes in Wednesday's 123-118 victory over the Grizzlies.
Murray popped off for 30 points (12-19 FG, 4-7 3Pt, 2-3 FT), four rebounds, eight assists and two blocks over 32 minutes in Wednesday's 123-118 win over Memphis.
Jokic racked up 27 points (10-16 FG, 1-3 3Pt, 6-8 FT), 11 rebounds, eight assists, one steal, one block and one turnover in 37 minutes during Wednesday's 123-118 win over the Grizzlies.
Nikola Jokic grabbed 29 rebounds in his last two games, and I like him to collect at least 12 on Wednesday. I'm expecting a fast pace against a Grizzlies team that definitely will be missing Quinten Post and could be without Isaiah Stewart. Either way, Jokic should play heavy minutes in this competitive atmosphere.
Memphis has a clear edge, with a +7.0 net rating (ninth in the NBA) compared to Denver’s +0.8 (seventeenth). The Grizzlies are strong on the boards, holding a +6.4 rebounding advantage while Denver sits at -2.3. Memphis also creates second-chance opportunities on nearly 30% of its missed shots. On defense, Denver ranks 20th with a 115.5 rating and gives up 2.7 more three-pointers per game than it makes, which could be a problem against Memphis’s second-ranked three-point shooting. Denver leans heavily on Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, both of whom have logged extensive minutes recently. Now, the team plays its third road or neutral-site game in five days. With a bench ranked 24th in scoring, the Nuggets are 0-4 ATS against winning teams.
Grizzlies forward Cedric Coward is averaging 8.4 rebounds. He has cleared this prop total in eight of nine games, the miss coming last time out in a 28-minute outing in Toronto. On Wednesday, Coward plays at home against the Nuggets in what should be a paced-up environment. Quentin Post is out for the Grizzlies, while Isaiah Stewart is questionable. I'm expecting a close game, which should mean 30 minutes for Coward.
Ty Jerome averages 31 minutes per game and has a 32.3% usage rate. That has helped him average 26.7 points through nine games. Wednesday’s matchup against the Nuggets is at home, where Jerome shoots 59.3% from the field and 42.4% from three. In his four home games, he scored at least 23 points three times. The one time he didn’t, he scored 21 points against a stellar defensive team in the Thunder. The Nuggets are 20th in defensive rating, so don’t count on them to slow down Jerome.
