DraftKings. Across 25 games with at least 24 minutes, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and without Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren averaged 28 combined points plus rebounds, and had a 72% success rate on this line. This is a solid matchup for Chet, where his height poses a mismatch offensively, and defensively he can float and crash the glass. I’d bet this to over 25.5.

In the last four playoff games, the Lakers have scored 96, 93, 98, and 90 points. During the seven postseason games, the Lakers' pace of play at 92.55 is the second-slowest of all playoff teams. Versus the Thunder this year, L.A. has 92, 110, 96, 87, and 90 points, with the last 3 coming in April or Tuesday's Game 1. The Lakers know the best way to slow down the Thunder is to limit the possessions. They had 53 points at halftime of Game 1, and still ended with only 90.

In each of the past two games -- Game 1 vs. the Lakers and Game 4 at Phoenix -- Chet Holmgren grabbed 12 boards. I like him to continue that pace, or close to it, against the offensively-challenged Lakers. Holmgren averaged 9.7 rebounds at home during the regular season, compared to 8.2 on the road. He is a total mismatch for LA, so he should see plenty of minutes before garbage time.