Caesar’s. Even with a tightened rotation in the first play-in game, there’s not enough usage to go around for De’Anthony Melton, who will continue to come off the bench. Functioning more in an off-ball role, against a team that does well to prohibit secondary action, I like Melton to stay under.

The Phoenix Suns have two question marks tonight with both Mark Williams and Grayson Allen questionable. Even if both play it will remain to be seen if they can be effective. Expect Royce O’Neal to be ready for the moment. Throughout the year he has shown a knack of knocking down a couple of quick threes in a span of a few minutes. The books did a good job on this prop as the half point will be key, for his third basket. Worth the risk in my opinion as I see O’Neal playing an extra 4-5 minutes than normal. Take his over.

A player that may have been overlooked in the Warriors play-in win was Gui Santos. The fourth quarter saw Steph Curry, Draymond Green, Porzingis, and Al Horford all shine. Santos though had an effective game with 20 points. Over his last two matchups he has had seven offensive rebounds. That could be an area tonight we see be a catalyst in helping Santos go over his points prop with a put back or two. Phoenix’s Mark Williams is dealing with a foot issue, and we saw Phoenix have to go small in the second half against Portland. Take Santos points prop over.

The Warriors used only eight players in their win over the Clippers on Wednesday. Gui Santos remained in the starting lineup and scored 20 points over 32 minutes. He went 9-for-13 from the field, continuing an efficient season in which he had a field goal percentage of 50.0%. The Suns are a good defensive team, but they will be focusing their efforts on slowing down Stephen Curry, not Santos. With the expectation that he plays around 30 minutes again, Santos is in a favorable spot to hit this over.

Gui Santos has been called underrated so often lately, it would be hard to give him that label anymore. The 23-year-old Brazilian has an all-around game combined with a high motor. He dished out five assists in the play-in win over the Clippers, and he had seven assists in his most recent matchup with Phoenix. After finishing a game-high plus-16 against the Clippers, Santos should start and play at least 30 minutes. I don't expect him to score as efficiently as he did Wednesday, but I like him to get at least three assists. I would also go Over 3.5 assists at plus money.

DraftKings. It’s a bit nerve-wracking taking an over on a Jalen Green points prop in win-or-home spot. But this is quite the discounted line: Green is averaging 22.3 points per 32 minutes this season, a very conservative minutes projection given his 39 on Tuesday. He’s cleared this line in 13/16 games playing just 28+ minutes with Devin Booker active. Coming off a 35 point performance on 29 shots, Green will be anything but shy on Friday. He’ll face a Warriors team that allowed the 10th most made pull-up jumpers per game on the third highest effective field goal percentage. Green was 10/17 on pull-ups against Portland, and should thrive in that department against the Warriors.