Remember when the Heat were a low-scoring, hard-nosed defensive team? Those days are long gone as the team ranks second in the NBA at 124.3 PPG. But leading scorer Norman Powell (25.0 PPG) is out, which knocked this down a couple. The Mavs are middle-of-the pack defensively overall but top five against the 3-pointer and have allowed at least 123 points just once in their past eight. Our model has Miami at 121. When the teams met recently in South Florida, the Heat won 106-102. Powell missed that, too, but had since returned and totaled 58 points in the past two.
Cooper Flagg has grabbed at least seven rebounds in each of his last six games. The rookie has been playing a ton right away, averaging 34 minutes per game for the season. This should be an up-tempo game with both the Heat and the Mavericks ranked inside the top six in the league in pace of play. The Heat have allowed the second-most rebounds per game in the league, which makes this over appealing. When Flagg faced them last week, he finished with seven rebounds.
Johnson enters his rookie campaign after Dallas selected him ninth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft.
Martin enters 2026-27 as part of a crowded Dallas forward rotation, which could make consistent playing time difficult to secure.
Marshall (hip) signed a three-year, $52.2 million extension with the Mavericks on Sunday, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Adebayo's (back) fantasy outlook should remain strong after Miami acquired Giannis Antetokounmpo, though his offensive role could shift alongside another high-usage frontcourt star, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sentinel opines.
Mitchell could be in line for a larger role after Miami traded Tyler Herro in the deal for Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sentinel reports.
Irving (knee) should be fully healthy by the end of the offseason, per Christian Clark of The New York Times.
The Mavericks signed Howard to a two-way contract Monday.
Risacher was traded to the Mavericks on Sunday as part of a three-team deal that sent Luguentz Dort and Ryan Nembhard (illness) to the Hawks and three second-round picks to the Thunder, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
The Mavericks matched the Knicks' two-year, $4.7 million deal on restricted free agent Cisse, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Cisse agreed to a two-year offer sheet with the Knicks on Saturday, Jake Fischer of The Stein Line reports.
