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    Tue, May 141:30 am UTCAmerican Airlines Center
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Oklahoma City
    Thunder
    OKC
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L63-28
    ATS52-38
    O/U47-41-3
    FINAL SCORE
    100
    -
    96
    Dallas
    Mavericks
    DAL
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L57-36
    ATS54-37
    O/U40-50-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    63-28
    Win /Loss
    57-36
    52-38
    Spread
    54-37
    47-41-3
    Over / Under
    40-50-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    C
    Avatar
    PG
    Avatar
    SF
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    OKC @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    OKC @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    OKC @ DAL
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    44%
    PUBLIC
    56%
    MONEY
    23%
    PUBLIC
    77%
    MONEY
    Over92%
    PUBLIC
    Under8%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsChet Holmgren Over 25.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -120
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +410
    13-9 in Last 22 NBA Player Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Chet usage will be enough to justify and go over this prop. Half unit play

    Pick Made: Mon 10:31 pm UTC
    Total Home PointsDallas Under 108.5 Total Pts -125
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +200
    4-0 in Last 4 NBA Team Props Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Dallas is playing even slower….and they are now a dead under team. 109 will require above metric shooting. Under.

    Pick Made: Mon 9:40 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 216 -120
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +688
    22-13 in Last 35 NBA Picks
    +250
    5-0 in Last 5 NBA O/U Picks
    +150
    3-0 in Last 3 DAL O/U Picks
    Erik's Analysis:

    Most experts know Game 7s traditionally go under…..but so do Game 5s that are 2-2. In this case the Mavs are 18-7 under in last 25 and OKC is 8-3 under in the last 11. Luka is hobbled. Slow is now even slower. Under.

    Pick Made: Mon 9:39 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rebounds + AssistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 13.5 Total Rebounds + Assists -147
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    Larry's Analysis:

    A close game is expected in Dallas on Monday, which should mean at least 40 minutes for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. SGA has cleared this combo prop in all three games in this series, and an offensive bounceback from OKC could help his assist total.

    Pick Made: Mon 9:33 pm UTC
    Point SpreadDallas -1 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1097
    55-43 in Last 98 NBA Picks
    +909
    45-33 in Last 78 NBA ATS Picks
    Jason's Analysis:

    Luka still looks slowed, but the Mavs have cranked up the defensive intensity and seem better primed to win lower-scoring games. Playoff series tend to be a grind, and winning ugly is key. DAL is dominating offensive boards (5% higher in OReb%), and taking away one of OKC super powers. Thunder led NBA in drives/G, points off drives (36.5) and 2nd in drive FG% (53.6%) in reg season. In this series those numbers drop to 30 drive PPG, and 41.8% drive FG%. Forcing OKC to try to make up for that scoring loss from range, where they are hit or miss. Holmgren can get tossed around by Dallas bigs and even with SGA going off, OKC scoring is too streaky from the supporting cast.

    Pick Made: Mon 2:34 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 214 -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3654
    189-139-2 in Last 330 NBA Picks
    +1267
    84-65 in Last 149 NBA O/U Picks
    +370
    7-3 in Last 10 OKC O/U Picks
    Bruce's Analysis:

    Tempo-wise, this matchup has slowed down since the regular season. With Luka Doncic hobbling, this is the pace at which the Mavs have to play...and they can do it, because Luka remains lethal in halfcourt sets. His usage rate is down in the playoffs, perhaps a reason scorelines have been a bit lower. Make no mistake, however, Dallas can play at this type of pace, though what we're not sure is if PJ Washington can keep scoring at the rate (28 ppg) he has the past two games. The 3s haven't been falling as consistently for OKC the past two games, and both of these sides have been trending "under" (Mavs 18-7 since late in reg. season, Thunder 8-3 last 11). Play Thunder-Mavs "Under"

    Pick Made: Mon 3:32 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + ReboundsChet Holmgren Over 22.5 Total Points + Rebounds -127
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +4695
    313-225 in Last 538 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    Chet Holmgren has had a terrific rookie season and his excellent play has carried over to the playoffs where he is averaging 15/8/3. Holmgren has been a bit quiet so far against Dallas but I like this as a buy low spot for the young Center, considering Holmgren averaged 24.4 PR in the regular season, despite logging significantly fewer MPG than he is in the playoffs. So far Derrick Lively and Daniel Gafford have done a good job on Chet, however I believe we'll see him be more aggressive in Game 4 and I like his chances to have his best game of the series.

    Pick Made: Mon 2:44 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total PointsPJ Washington Under 15.5 Total Points -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +4695
    313-225 in Last 538 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    PJ Washington has come up clutch and has dropped back to back huge performances which had led to Dallas winning two consecutive games. Washington dropped 29 points in Game 2 and then followed that up with a 27 point performance in Game 3. OKC is a very good defensive club and I have confidence that they adjust, in addition to Washington likely coming back down to earth.

    Pick Made: May 12, 2:28 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Olivier Sarr
    AchillesOut
    Dallas Mavericks
    Friday, May 17, 2024
    Avatar
    PG
    Luka Doncic
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    SF
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper
    AnkleOut
    Sunday, May 05, 2024
    Avatar
    C
    Maxi Kleber
    ShoulderOut
    Thursday, Apr 18, 2024
    Avatar
    SF
    Greg Brown
    PersonalOut