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    Fri, Mar 013:00 am UTCBall Arena
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Miami
    Heat
    MIA
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L46-36
    ATS40-38
    O/U37-45-0
    FINAL SCORE
    97
    -
    103
    Denver
    Nuggets
    DEN
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L57-25
    ATS39-40
    O/U36-44-1
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    46-36
    Win /Loss
    57-25
    40-38
    Spread
    39-40
    37-45-0
    Over / Under
    36-44-1
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SF
    Avatar
    SG
    Avatar
    SG
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    SF
    Avatar
    PG
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    MIA @ DEN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    MIA @ DEN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    MIA @ DEN
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    58%
    PUBLIC
    42%
    MONEY
    24%
    PUBLIC
    76%
    MONEY
    Over50%
    PUBLIC
    Under50%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsMichael Porter Jr. Over 21.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -127
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    Erik's Analysis:

    Porter Jr. should get looks and make shots. Plus he will thrive with Joker in the zone. Over!

    Pick Made: Mar 01, 12:03 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Points + Assists + ReboundsMichael Porter Jr. Over 21.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -127
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +3975
    320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
    Alex's Analysis:

    We're getting a nice discount on this combo line for Michael Porter Jr who is averaging a combined 24.6 PRA on the season. MPJ has been playing great basketball as of late and is averaging 18/7/2 through the month of February. Look for the talented forward to play upwards of 35 minutes tonight in a rematch of the NBA finals.

    Pick Made: Mar 01, 12:00 am UTC
    Total Home PointsDenver Over 108.5 Total Pts -120
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +80
    2-1 in Last 3 NBA Team Props Picks
    Mackenzie's Analysis:

    This feels like a dramatic adjustment to last year's finals. While that was a low scoring affair, this is not playoff basketball. The Sportsline Model does account for back to backs, and still projects the Nuggets to come in over this number. I understand that Miami's defense allows an impressive 107 on the road, but this is still a Nuggets offense averaging 119 at home, and are on a particularly high streak since the break. While I don't think they will score their typical home average, I believe they can get over this number.

    Pick Made: Feb 29, 8:35 pm UTC
    Money LineDenver -192
    WIN
    Unit0.25
    +2001.25
    170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
    +1841
    107-55 in Last 162 NBA ML Picks
    +729
    25-10 in Last 35 DEN ML Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    NBA Finals rematch. It is the second of a back-to-back for Denver, but no one played super-crazy minutes in Wednesday's blowout home win over Sacramento so I'll have to hope no one sits. Considering the opponent, I tend to doubt it barring a nagging injury. This ML may get too high to play soon, though, so we'll chance it. Kevin Love and Josh Richardson remain out for Miami and Tyler Herro could miss a third game in a row. The Heat look to finish off a 6-0 road trip that was split up by the All-Star break.

    Pick Made: Feb 29, 4:24 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Miami Heat
    Thursday, Jun 13, 2024
    Avatar
    PF
    Nikola Jovic
    AnkleQuestionable
    Thursday, May 02, 2024
    Avatar
    SF
    Jimmy Butler
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    SG
    Josh Richardson
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    SG
    Terry Rozier
    NeckQuestionable
    Avatar
    SF
    Jaime Jaquez Jr.
    HipQuestionable
    Denver Nuggets
    Monday, May 20, 2024
    Avatar
    SF
    Vlatko Cancar
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    PG
    Collin Gillespie
    KneeQuestionable