ANALYSIS: The Bills won't be shy to use Dalton Kincaid Sunday. He had 3 receptions for 26 yards last week in the first 3 quarters. This Raiders defense is not nearly the level of the Jets defense he faced. Buffalo has been using 21 personnel, allowing for plenty of opportunity for him. We project Kincaid to have 39 yards, look for him to get targeted early and often.
ANALYSIS: Whoever lines up with Rashid Shaheed will be no match. Carolina's corner Jaycee Horn is out, and with all the the attention on Chris Olave and Michael Thomas, this "WR3" has a chance to expose some version of a third corner or safety. Shaheed hit his over in 6 of his last 7 games, accounting for 24% of this offenses's receiving yards on 16% of their receptions. I'm just asking for him to have an average game. The Model has him projected for 51 yards, and I think we can get there with just one or two explosive plays. One more big game from Shaheed and we will start to see this line move 10+ yards. Buy him low this week while you can.
ANALYSIS: This is the right matchup for AJ Brown. We're talking about a Vikings defense that helped Daniel Jones lock in a contract extension, take with that what you will. They ranked 2nd to last in opponent passing yards last season, allowing 266.9 per game. Brown makes up 33.4% of the Eagles' receiving yards, which would imply an 89-yard game given the Viking's 226.9 opponent YPG. The model has him projected at 84 yards. Look for him to exploit this Viking's secondary.
ANALYSIS: Trevor Lawrence has the capability to be a running quarterback. He has a high first down rate among quarterbacks in the league, but could still take advantage of his legs more. Lawrence has gone over this number three of four times against the Colts, and averaged 17.1 rushing yards last season. The model has him projected for 19 yards. Look for him to escape the pocket this weekend.
ANALYSIS: This is an already struggling Rams offense. Now without Cooper Kupp, things look even worse for them. The Rams averaged 18 points per game last year and only 14 on the road. This Seahawks defense is no joke at home, allowing under 20 PPG last season. The Model's projected score is 26-18. The Seahawks have enough offensive weapons to take control of this game on the ground, and allow their defense to take care of the Rams' offense, keep them under 20 points, and cover this spread.