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Thu, Feb 292:00 am UTCBall Arena
Sacramento
Kings
SAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L46-36
ATS42-39
O/U36-44-2
FINAL SCORE
96
-
117
Denver
Nuggets
DEN
Last 5 ATS
W/L57-25
ATS39-40
O/U36-44-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
46-36
Win /Loss
57-25
42-39
Spread
39-40
36-44-2
Over / Under
36-44-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SAC @ DEN
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
SAC @ DEN
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OVER / UNDER
SAC @ DEN
Subscribers Only

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31%
PUBLIC
69%
MONEY
10%
PUBLIC
90%
MONEY
Over45%
PUBLIC
Under55%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsDomantas Sabonis Over 31.5 Total Points + Rebounds -119
LOSS
Unit1.0
Erik's Analysis:

DS has had some tough matchups lately (including Miami) but he should thrive tonight v the champs. I project the game over and Sabonis over this number. Grab it now. Assist to Alex S. On this one

Pick Made: Feb 28, 9:51 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsDomantas Sabonis Over 31.5 Total Points + Rebounds -119
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This number is too low for Sabonis who averages 33.2 points + rebounds on the season. Sabonis is the best Center is the league not named Nikola Jokic (since Joel Embiid is hurt) and is certainly playing like it, the big man is on his way to All-NBA honors. In his last six head to head matchups against Jokic, Sabonis has piled up 33, 42, 32, 41, 30, and 47 Points and Rebounds. I think its also fair to argue that Sabonis is playing the best basketball of his career at the moment as well. Look for the big man to pile up plenty of points and rebounds tonight in Denver.

Pick Made: Feb 28, 9:47 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDenver -7.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+378
16-11-1 in Last 28 NBA ATS Picks
Brad's Analysis:

The Nuggets have been on cruise control all season, but it's go time now. They've won three straight coming out of the All-Star break and Nikola Jokic is on a heater. The numbers don't support this bet. The Nuggets are under-.500 at home ATS while the Kings are 18-12 on the road. All the more reason to take Denver. That factors into this line. It's a different time of year for a different Nuggets team.

Pick Made: Feb 28, 9:08 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsMichael Porter Jr. Over 25.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -108
LOSS
Unit1.5
+326
9-6 in Last 15 NBA Player Props Picks
Jimmie's Analysis:

I really like this spot for Porter, who is averaging 18.4 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game in the month of February. He has attempted six or more 3-pointers this month, and I don't see him slowing down there anytime soon. I expect the 6-foot-10 shooter to finish with 20+ points and push this number in that category alone.

Pick Made: Feb 28, 8:48 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsKentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 10.5 Total Points -101
WIN
Unit1.0
Zack's Analysis:

Kentavious Caldwell Pope has a proper matchup to attack his points over tonight. He will face a Sacramento Kings team that was completely flat defensively against a Miami Heat team missing three key players. Typically this year the Kings woes carry over into the next game. Caldwell Pope get over this number by a basket.

Pick Made: Feb 28, 6:16 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total ReboundsDomantas Sabonis Over 13.5 Total Rebounds +100
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Sabonis is averaging 14 rebounds/G in February and he's been in great form since the AS break and he's been a force in three wins over Denver, grabbing 17, 15 and 13 boards. He's over this in 6 of his last 9 road games and had 13 in one other game. These triple double battles with The Joker seem to bring out the best in Sabonis.

Pick Made: Feb 28, 2:45 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadSacramento +7.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 DEN ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

SAC is 3-0 straight up and ATs vs the Nuggets and just won on the ML as 5.5 point dogs at Denver Feb. 14. DEN is just 5-8 as a home favorite since Christmas, while the Kings are 10-6 ATS as road dogs. Kings beat the Nugs in a low-scoring close game, a high-scoring close game and blowout (135-106). Seems like a bad match-up for Denver. Kings playing more solid defense lately. They can keep this game close. I will probably sprinkle on the ML as well

Pick Made: Feb 28, 2:12 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Sacramento Kings
Friday, Dec 19, 2025
Avatar
SF
Doug McDermott
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
C
Domantas Sabonis
KneeOut
Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025
Avatar
SG
Zach LaVine
AnkleOut
Saturday, Dec 13, 2025
Avatar
C
Drew Eubanks
ThumbOut
Denver Nuggets
Friday, Dec 19, 2025
Avatar
SF
Peyton Watson
SideQuestionable
Sunday, Nov 23, 2025
Avatar
PF
Aaron Gordon
HamstringOut
Friday, Nov 14, 2025
Avatar
SF
Christian Braun
AnkleOut
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