AD is a tough matchup, Green is still not in tip top Draymond shape and he has overachieved. Buy regression

DRuss thrives without LBJ. Russell should thrive and be a facilitator. Love the assists over 6.5 but now that it has jumped to 7.5 let’s pair with points

We are keeping our eyes on the Warriors, who have climbed above .500 with five wins in six before the All-Star break, coinciding with moving Draymond Green to center as Steve Kerr goes full-in on small-ball to get Golden State back to the playoffs. But the Lake Show was also stirring into the All-Star break with wins in seven of ten, and even with LeBron (ankle) apparently out again tonight, remember that the Lakers won at Boston minus King James and AD and also won big at Utah sand Lebron just before the break. D'Angelo Russell will have a clear path to do his thing sans LeBron, and the spread could come into play here as a close contest would hardly surprise. Play Lakers

This line is too inflated from Draymond Green's recent stretch. With 23, 9, 12, and 15 point performances, it's time to regress back. This under is still 8-4 at home with a 9.2 average, as well as 7-4 against the Lakers with a 9.2 average.

No LeBron James so this jumped a bit -- but still feels low to me with how well the Warriors are playing of late. Klay Thompson came off the bench for the first time in the Dubs' last game and blew up. Perhaps he fits best now as a modern-day Vinnie "Microwave" Johnson. LA is 4-3 without James this season.

This is a big number for Draymond who is averaging 22.5 PRA. Green has been playing good basketball recently and the team tends to feed off of Green's energy on both ends of the court. This is a tough matchup against the Lakers and Green will have the unenviable task of trying to slow down Anthony Davis on the defensive end. Furthermore this is the first leg of a B2B for GS and we know Steve Kerr and the Warriors coaching staff will be careful with Draymond's minutes. Between an inflated line, potential foul trouble, limited minutes, and Draymond seemingly always being at risk of being ejected, there are lots of ways he stays under this line.