CJ McCollum is going to get a ton of minutes and usage in this play-in game versus Oklahoma City. He has one of the best matchups on the floor, and Jose Alvarado remains out. Last time the Pelicans faced the Thunder, on March 12 in New Orleans, McCollum put up 26 points, eight assists and seven rebounds in 39 minutes. Look for similar minutes and similar output Wednesday and go Over 33.5 combined points, rebounds and assists.

The Thunder were tough away from Oklahoma City, going 21-11-1 against the spread as a road underdog. They were one of the more pleasant surprises in the league, in general, emerging from their rebuilding phase to grab a spot in the play-in tournament. Defeating the Pelicans in New Orleans won’t be easy, but with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams playing so well, look for the Thunder to a least keep things close enough to cover.

This is a Joel Embiid/Luka Doncic-type PRA number. Since March 17, Ingram is averaging 28.6 points, 8.1 assists and 6.6 rebounds and has had his first two career triple-doubles in that stretch, but those averages would fall short of this number. I mean, he could go 30-10-5 and still not top this. Also think there's a realistic chance the Pelicans drub the playoff-newbie Thunder, so Ingram's minutes could be limited ahead of Friday's second play-in game. The SL Model has Ingram finishing with a total PRA of 40.4.

Big number for Williams who averaged 7.8 combined rebounds and assists in the regular season. Williams also averages 7.4 RA compared to 10.2 RA with and without Sha Gilgeous Alexander in the lineup. SGA will obviously be active for this match up. This is also Williams first playoff appearance and these games are likely to be paced down compared to the regular season. I think this number should be 7.5 and I also think there is some value on fading Williams PRA line. I would shop around to see if you can pay less juice.