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Mon 07/12 | 12:00 AM UTC | Milwaukee
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Phoenix Suns 65-25, 56-34 ATS
PHO +4.5
PHO +175
Over 220
Milwaukee Bucks 58-33, 41-48 ATS
MIL -4.5
MIL -200
Under 220

Expert Picks

Phoenix 100 @ Milwaukee 120 | 07/12 | 12:00 AM UTC

Milwaukee -190

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Bucks are 15-1 in their past 16 home games. Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday couldn't make anything in Phoenix, but their home splits are way better this postseason. I really have no opinion on the spread (and yep, I will ML some NFL too; better to win some $$$ than nothing on a bad beat) but expect/hope for a close game that the home side will win.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+591 25-15 IN LAST 40 NBA PICKS
+354 19-10 IN LAST 29 MIL ML PICKS
+981 20-7 IN LAST 27 PHO ML PICKS

Season Splits

65-25, 56-34 ATS
58-33, 41-48 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
56-34
41-48-2
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
59%
26-18
23-21
52%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
68%
13-6
38-40-2
48%
When Spread was +3 to +6
SPREAD
When Spread was -6 to -3
75%
6-2
8-14
36%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
78%
11-3
22-19
53%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
74%
32-11
19-20
48%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
62%
54-33
40-47-2
46%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
63%
46-27
36-39-2
48%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PHO
100%
4-0
0-4
0%