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The Brewers had won 12 of 16 before the Mets won last night. The Mets had lost 14 of 18. Those were two things needing to be evened out. It started to happen last night and it continues here. I like the David Peterson side better than the Jose Quintana side in this pitching matchup, too.
The Mets have flip-flopped their lineup around and got a win, but that was only their fourth win in their last 18 games, and I'm betting that they go back to their slumping ways today behind David Peterson, who has lost his last three starts. The Brewers have won nine of their last 12 games, and over the last 12 days, they have the best batting average in baseball, hitting .307. I say the Brewers keep hitting and winning against the Mets. Brewers win.

Over the last month Brandon Nimmo ranks 12th in hits. He provided the spark to lead the Mets to victory with a grand slam in yesterday’s second game of the double header. I would not be shocked for the Mets to chase Brewers starter Jose Quintana out early, as they did to Jacob Misiorowski. Take Nimmo’s total bases over.

Rhys Hoskins has dominated David Peterson in his career, going 7-16 (.438) with 2 home runs and 3 doubles. Peterson enters this game having allowed 10 earned runs over 8.2 innings in his last two starts, so he's not at his best right now. Hoskins has always been strong against left-handed pitchers, with a .890 career OPS against them. Peterson has only given up 6 home runs all season, but 5 of them have come against right-handed batters, who are hitting .256 against him. We set Hoskins' line at +450 to homer.

David Peterson got off to a fantastic start to the season, however he appears to be a regression candidate and has pitched poorly over bis previous two starts. Peterson has surrendered 10 ER without completing the 5th inning in consecutive appearances. He’ll have his work cut out of himself against a Brewers lineup that has been much better recently.
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