

Matt Snyder
Stick With What Works
CBS Sports' longest-tenured baseball expert, Matt consistently demonstrates that expertise for SportsLine members. Baseball-obsessed since a young child, a fan of gambling from nickel-and-dime poker as a teen to $5 blackjack as a broke college kid and eventually onto major sports betting, the transition always seemed inevitable for Matt. He teams simple logic learned back from his baseball-playing days, such as "stick with what works," with extensive background analytics. Matt is 307-272 over the past four MLB seasons, returning $789 to $100 players. For Matt Snyder media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
MattSnyderCBSGet Access ToALL PICKS FROM MATT & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS
Matt's Past Picks
The Rockies won Tuesday, so we don't have to worry about "the Padres' winning streak has to end at some point" here, and San Diego bounced back Wednesday. The pitching matchup also heavily favors the much better team, with Michael King facing Colorado and the Rockies sending Tanner Gordon, who has a 6.35 career ERA at Coors Field.
Blake Snell has a 1.04 ERA and 46 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings since returning from the injured list, while the Reds have the highest K% in baseball.
The Phillies are fighting to keep a playoff spot and grab home-field advantage for the Wild Card Series, while still holding out hope for the NL East title. The Nationals have packed it in, going 15-28 since July 28. Cristopher Sanchez vs. Jackson Kent also sets up a lopsided pitching matchup.
The Rays are the best team in the AL and have a 50-25 record at home. The A's are awful. Griffin Jax on the mound for the Rays has mostly been good with a few clunkers mixed in, but the A's lineup -- especially on the road -- these days isn't scary. A's starter Jack Perkins has a 6.53 ERA. This won't be close.
The Yankees are on an extended run, having won 15 of their last 22. They're 5-2 this month and face a flailing Rockies' squad that is ready to pack things up for the season. Max Fried will easily be able to work the five required innings and will get enough support here for the W.
The Braves have lost six of their last nine games and are in danger of being swept by a superior Rays team. Rays starter Nick Martinez has been excellent this season and has a 2.95 ERA in his last three starts. Meanwhile, Braves starter Martin Perez is showing signs of regression with a 4.91 ERA in his last four. I like the value on the Rays here.
The Dodgers will win this game and this is the best way to get the odds as close to even as possible. Skubal is good for six innings and only one run, if that, allowed, while the Dodgers should get to Nick Lodolo.
I really like the number here given the pitching matchup. AJ Smith-Shawver has been terrible in his four starts back from injury with a 7.13 ERA. Meanwhile, I kept saying the Rays would fix Freddy Peralta and he's been outstanding in his last two starts (5 H, 1 ER in 12 IP).
Luis Castillo has a 6.45 ERA since joining the White Sox and that includes one stellar home start (7 IP, 0 R) that was a total outlier for the season. Hunter Brown is reverting back to ace form and the back-end of the Astros' bullpen is great. This shouldn't be close.
Bryce Miller is on the mound for the Mariners. He has a 7.19 ERA in his last eight starts. And get this: The Mariners have allowed double-digit runs scored in each of his last four outings (11, 10, 22 and 19, respectively).
The Phillies are worse on the road than at home and worse against lefties. Reid Detmers has 104 strikeouts in 85 innings at home this season.
Cam Schlittler only struck out four in six innings last time out. The Red Sox have seen him three times this season and are a low volume strikeout team. It's a combination of that along with his workload (164 innings in all last season compared to 158 right now) that leads me to believe he won't miss a ton of bats.
The Brewers are the better team here and they are sending the best pitcher in baseball to the mound in Jacob Misiorowski. The Mets are sending Sean Manaea and his 4.31 ERA to the mound. I'll lay the -1.5 with the Brew Crew.
Noah Cameron is on a run right now where he's got a 1.05 ERA in his last six starts. He's gone at least seven innings in four of his last six and that includes two 8-inning outings and one complete game. The Royals can get to Spencer Arrighetti and the Blue Jays' bullpen, too.
The White Sox are 40-27 with a +55 run differential at home. The Rangers are 30-38 with a -41 run differential on the road. Rangers starter MacKenzie Gore has a 5.42 road ERA. White Sox starter Sean Burke has a 2.36 ERA in his last 12 starts, during which the White Sox are 9-3.






