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Matt Snyder
Matt Snyder
Stick With What Works
CBS Sports' longest-tenured baseball expert, Matt consistently demonstrates that expertise for SportsLine members. He went 168-129 over the past two MLB seasons, returning $2,084 to $100 players. Baseball-obsessed since a young child, a fan of gambling from nickel-and-dime poker as a teen to $5 blackjack as a broke college kid and eventually onto major sports betting, the transition always seemed inevitable for Matt. He teams simple logic learned back from his baseball-playing days, such as "stick with what works," with extensive background analytics. For Matt Snyder media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com
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MLB | San Diego 6 @ Philadelphia 10 | 10/22 | 11:45 PM UTC

San Diego -105

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Phillies starter Bailey Falter hasn't thrown since Oct. 5 and that was only one inning. He last got length on Sept. 30. The Phillies used their three most important relievers in Game 3. Jose Alvarado threw over 25 pitches and Seranthony Dominguez went two innings. Meanwhile, the Padres avoided using their four best relievers. I'm not expecting Padres starter Mike Clevinger or Falter to get very deep and the bullpen advantage in this one belongs to San Diego.

+305 12-7 IN LAST 19 PHI ML PICKS

MLB | Cleveland 4 @ N.Y. Yankees 2 | 10/14 | 5:07 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Yankees starter Nestor Cortes has a 1.35 ERA in his last six starts and if you're worried about the layover, he went 10 days between starts around the All-Star break and threw six scoreless innings against the Orioles next time out. Plus, the Guardians' offense is terrible and has only mounted four runs in 32 innings in the playoffs so far. Shane Bieber is very good, but most of his numbers were built against inferior competition this year. Eighteen of his 31 starts were against sub-.500 teams and five more came against the middling and .500 White Sox. He had a 3.91 ERA against winning teams. The only other time the Yankees saw Bieber in the playoffs, they torched him while Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres homered. Yankees should roll, so we're going on the run line (-1.5, +158).

MLB | San Diego 5 @ L.A. Dodgers 3 | 10/13 | 12:37 AM UTC

L.A. Dodgers -190

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Dodgers went 14-5 against the Padres in the regular season while outscoring them 109-47. They took Game 1 after jumping out to a 5-0 lead, though to the Padres' credit, they made it interesting. It'll be interesting again in Game 2, but the Dodgers will win again. Clayton Kershaw was still great this season whenever healthy and he carved up the Padres twice (0.75 ERA, 0.75 WHIP). The Dodgers' new-look bullpen is also great. Runs won't be easy to come by with Yu Darvish on the hill, but the Dodgers' offense will manage enough.

MLB | San Diego 3 @ N.Y. Mets 7 | 10/08 | 11:37 PM UTC

San Diego +158

LOSS

ANALYSIS: No, I don't think the Mets are dead yet or "cooked" or anything like that, but this has set up really well for the Padres. Jacob deGrom allowed at least three runs in each of his last four starts, pitching to a 6.00 ERA in that span and it wasn't exactly against a murderer's row -- the Cubs, Pirates and A's were in there. On the flip side, Padres starter Blake Snell had a 1.76 ERA with 55 strikeouts in 41 innings in his last seven starts. Plus, the Padres didn't have to use any of their best relievers in Game 1. The Padres are really well setup for the upset sweep here.

MLB | Seattle 10 @ Toronto 9 | 10/08 | 8:07 PM UTC

Toronto -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Blue Jays were completely stifled on offense in Game 1, mostly by Luis Castillo in perhaps the best outing of his career. The Jays were only shutout seven times in the regular season and usually responded. They were also first in the AL in average, on-base percentage, slugging percentage and second in runs. It's hard to see them being held in check again. Plus, Mariners starter Robbie Ray has been incredibly inconsistent this season and walks can hurt him. I think the Jays cruise in this one, so we'll take them on the run line (-1.5, +143).