Cade Cavalli is in a very nice groove right now, notably with 10 strikeouts in each of his last two games. The new front office in D.C. has worked well with him and he's a changed pitcher. The Twins haven't seen him before and rank sixth in K% against righties, too.

Sandy Alcantara hasn't gone more than six innings since April 7, but one of the bigger workhorses in the league is due to go deeper. The Orioles' offense isn't scary at all right now and when Alcantara is throwing well, he loves to get deep into the game. I like a long outing today.

The Mets have now won two straight which coincided with Juan Soto's return, so they're feeling good in that clubhouse and thinking they just needed him back. Now they get to face the Rockies, who are 3-10 on the road and always terrible once they leave Coors. Ace Freddy Peralta is on the hill for the Mets, too. I sense a blowout.

The Cubs offense has somewhat broken out in the last week, but still isn't fully firing. There were good signs from Michael Busch and Alex Bregman on Monday. The Cubs obliterated Jesus Luzardo last week and see him again. Meanwhile, Cubs starter Shota Imanaga has a 1.06 ERA in his last three starts, dominated the Phillies last time out and the Phillies are putrid against lefties (.176/.274/.275).

The gap between these two teams in terms of talent is close to as big as any two in the majors. The Braves are flying high and the Nats' record is still better than it should be. Nats starter Foster Griffin got hit by the Pirates last time out and the Braves' offense is better than the Pirates. Reynaldo Lopez can hold the Nats in check, too, but the biggest difference here is the bullpens. The Nats have a pitiful relief corps while the Braves' back-end stellar trio of Dylan Lee, Robert Suarez and Raisel Iglesias are all rested after not being needed Monday.

Chase Burns was shelled the last time out, but I like a bounce back here against a team that has never seen him and is going so poorly this season. The Giants have actually been arguably the worst team in baseball. I like the now-powerful Reds (Sal Stewart! Elly De La Cruz!) to win easily here at home on getaway day.

The Mets are not in a good place right now and the Dodgers are the best team in baseball, at home. Shohei Ohtani is dominant on the mound when he's right, and he is just that here in 2026. I love the plus money angle here.

Emerson Hancock is very talented and has been great so far. Randy Vasquez has been very good for the Padres. Neither offense is reliable right now, but the bullpens are very much reliable. Last night's total was five and this one will be in similar territory.

After only three runs last night, we're bound to see an offensive explosion in this one. The teams both have firepower and the ballpark is conducive to offense. Starters Kumar Rocker and J.T. Ginn aren't bad, but aren't overly scary here either.

Did the Jays get their mojo back with the late comeback Tuesday evening? That's where I'm betting. Dylan Cease has been great and while Brewers starter Chad Patrick is solid enough, the Milwaukee bullpen is in shambles.

The Yankees are a windmill factory right now, sitting toward the top of the leaderboard in strikeout rate. Jack Kochanowicz struck them out 13 times in 12 innings last season and has interesting enough stuff for me to like this low number at plus money.

The Cubs have struck out 26.9% of the time against lefties this season and it makes sense with lefties Michael Busch, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Moises Ballesteros featured prominently, offensively. Jesus Luzardo is very K-heavy, too, with 26 in 17 1/3 innings this year. Last year, he struck out 15 Cubs in 12 innings.

The Tigers are in a bad way right now, having lost seven of their last nine. The good news is Framber Valdez takes the hill and they've won both of his starts while he's looked like an ace. The Tigers are better than they've been playing and the Twins are probably worse than this. I like a Tigers win and Valdez to work through the middle innings.

The Marlins are 5-1 against the Rockies and White Sox and now 1-4 against other teams. The Reds storming back in the ninth to tie it last night in a Sandy Alcantara start makes me feel like the vibes are all on the Cincy side. I love the plus money play here.