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Matt Snyder
Matt Snyder
Stick With What Works
Baseball-obsessed since a young child, a fan of gambling from nickel-and-dime poker as a teen to $5 blackjack as a broke college kid and eventually onto major sports betting, the transition always seemed inevitable for Matt Snyder. CBS Sports' longest-tenured baseball expert teams simple logic learned back from his baseball-playing days, such as "stick with what works," with extensive background analytics. He went 26-18 in the 2020 playoffs, including 8-4 in World Series bets.
LAST 104 MLB ML PICKS
+3276
Record: 70-34
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Atlanta @ Houston | 10/28 | 12:09 AM UTC

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ANALYSIS: Can the Astros even the series? ... Join SportsLine here for the full pick!

+3276 70-34 IN LAST 104 MLB ML PICKS
+891 13-4 IN LAST 17 HOU ML PICKS
+608 10-4 IN LAST 14 ATL ML PICKS

Atlanta 6 @ Houston 2 | 10/27 | 12:09 AM UTC

Atlanta +125

WIN

ANALYSIS: This one feels like a toss up, so taking the underdog here makes sense. The Braves were a great road team this season, going 46-35 away from home. They split games in Milwaukee in the NLDS and were one late meltdown away from taking two of three in Dodger Stadium. Charlie Morton was better on the road as well. He's been here before, having already pitched in the World Series for the Astros (and Rays). He was brilliant in the 2017 World Series. I'll go with him shutting down his former teammates here.

+3276 70-34 IN LAST 104 MLB ML PICKS
+891 13-4 IN LAST 17 HOU ML PICKS
+608 10-4 IN LAST 14 ATL ML PICKS

L.A. Dodgers 2 @ Atlanta 4 | 10/24 | 12:08 AM UTC

Atlanta +135

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Dodgers have won four straight elimination games against the Braves in the NLCS, but that streak stops here. Walker Buehler on short rest worked out in the NLDS, but only for 4 1/3 innings. He wasn't good in his next start, which was Game 3 of this series. He'll be compromised and the Braves will get to him. Braves starter Ian Anderson has major first-inning issues, but so long as he doesn't get crushed there, they are set up well. Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and A.J. Minter were avoided in Game 5, so they've all had two days of rest. An early Braves lead means Brian Snitker can shorten the game.

+3276 70-34 IN LAST 104 MLB ML PICKS
+608 10-4 IN LAST 14 ATL ML PICKS
+275 8-5 IN LAST 13 LAD ML PICKS

Boston @ Houston 5 | 10/23 | 12:08 AM UTC

Houston -111

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Astros are the better team. They were 51-30 at home this season while the Red Sox were 43-38 on the road. Thanks to the incredible work of Framber Valdez in Game 5 and the off day, they no longer have major concerns on the pitching side. Even if starter Luis Garcia can't go deep, the Astros can piece things together with their good bullpen arms. Red Sox starter Nathan Eovaldi is very good, but he's not untouchable. The Astros have gotten him for seven runs in six innings of work this series. Even if he pitches well for a bit, the Astros' relentless offense will take care of business eventually. They are headed to another World Series.

+3276 70-34 IN LAST 104 MLB ML PICKS
+891 13-4 IN LAST 17 HOU ML PICKS
+189 4-2 IN LAST 6 BOS ML PICKS

Atlanta 2 @ L.A. Dodgers 11 | 10/22 | 12:08 AM UTC

Atlanta +125

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I've been saying all series the Dodgers are too good for things to keep happening for the Braves, but at this point it sure looks like the Dodgers are cooked. Absolutely everything except, really, one inning in Game 3 has gone the Braves way. As such, the Dodgers have seemed pretty lifeless these last two games aside from the huge rally. Now the Dodgers are sitting on a bullpen game while the Braves have Max Fried pitching on full rest. In his last 11 regular-season starts, Fried had a 1.46 ERA and the Braves won 10 of them. In two playoff starts, he has a 1.50 ERA and the Braves have won both.

+3276 70-34 IN LAST 104 MLB ML PICKS
+608 10-4 IN LAST 14 ATL ML PICKS
+275 8-5 IN LAST 13 LAD ML PICKS