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Matt Snyder
Matt Snyder
Stick With What Works
CBS Sports' longest-tenured baseball expert, Matt crushed the 2021 MLB season for SportsLine subscribers, finishing 92-66-2 while returning $2,119 to $100 players. Baseball-obsessed since a young child, a fan of gambling from nickel-and-dime poker as a teen to $5 blackjack as a broke college kid and eventually onto major sports betting, the transition always seemed inevitable for Matt. He teams simple logic learned back from his baseball-playing days, such as "stick with what works," with extensive background analytics. For Matt Snyder media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com
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Kansas City 4 @ Colorado 10 | 05/15 | 12:10 AM UTC

Colorado -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: We took a beating on this one Friday night, but the emotions here don't trump the logic that the Rockies are still the better team and are generally a great team at home. The Royals had to lean heavily on several of their important relievers and Saturday starter Carlos Hernandez is primed to get shelled. The Royals had their fun Friday night; things turn on their head Saturday and we win the Rockies -1.5 run line at +110.

+309 23-17 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS

N.Y. Yankees 2 @ Chi. White Sox 3 | 05/14 | 11:10 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Yankees have won a ridiculous 19 of their last 22 games. Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge feel like they homer every game at this point and now it looks like Josh Donaldson is heating up to join the party. They'll face washed-up lefty Dallas Keuchel and they've crushed lefties this year. The biggest problem with Yankees starter Jordan Montgomery this season has been the lack of run support, but that isn't predictable. It's a coincidence. They'll hit for him Saturday, he'll go a strong 5-6 innings and then Chad Green, Clay Holmes and Aroldis Chapman will bring it home. If it's close. It might not be. They'll win by more than a run, so we're grabbing the -1.5 run line, again, at +100.

+309 23-17 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS

Houston 6 @ Washington 13 | 05/14 | 11:05 PM UTC

Houston -150

LOSS

ANALYSIS: One of the signatures of this Astros' group is they are road warriors. In both 2017 and 2018, they had a better road record than home record, for example. They are 13-7 on the road this season and have now won 11 in a row overall. They are the clear better team here and will continue to hold down the opposing offense. They've only allowed 12 runs total during this 11-game winning streak. That isn't ready to turn yet with the capable Cristian Javier taking on the relatively punchless Nats.

+309 23-17 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS
+805 17-8 IN LAST 25 HOU ML PICKS

Kansas City 14 @ Colorado 10 | 05/14 | 12:40 AM UTC

Colorado -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: It's happening again. From April 25 to now, the Rockies have gone 1-9 on the road and 5-1 at home. They are 10-5 at home overall after going 48-33 at home last year. The Royals are 4-10 on the road and are, in general, a worse team than the Rockies. Royals starter Zack Greinke has been very good this year, but his pitch-to-contact approach isn't well suited for spacious Coors Field, which has a .326 BABIP and .286 overall batting average this year. Plus, Rockies starter Kyle Freeland is going well, pitches well in Coors Field, the Rockies didn't play Thursday while the Royals played in Texas and had to travel. It all comes up Rockies, so much so that we like the run line (-1.5 at +132).

+309 23-17 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS

N.Y. Yankees 10 @ Chi. White Sox 4 | 05/14 | 12:10 AM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Remember when the Yankees lost a series to the Orioles? Yeah, they've gone 18-3 since then. With Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton on, the offense can make some serious noise without much notice. Look at all the crooked numbers on Thursday night. They'll get Vince Velasquez on Friday and while he hasn't been bad this year, it's likely only a matter of time and this offense is well-suited to take him down. The White Sox get to deal with Gerrit Cole while the Yankees late-inning relievers (Michael King, Clay Holmes and Aroldis Chapman) didn't pitch Thursday. Let's take the -1.5 run line at -105 here.

+309 23-17 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS