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Matt Snyder
Matt Snyder
Stick With What Works
Baseball-obsessed since a young child, a fan of gambling from nickel-and-dime poker as a teen to $5 blackjack as a broke college kid and eventually onto major sports betting, the transition always seemed inevitable for Matt Snyder. CBS Sports' longest-tenured baseball expert teams simple logic learned back from his baseball-playing days, such as "stick with what works," with extensive background analytics. He went 26-18 in the 2020 playoffs, including 8-4 in World Series bets.
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Cincinnati 6 @ Arizona 5 | 04/10 | 1:40 AM UTC

UNDER 9

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Reds lead the league in most major offensive categories after feasting on the Cardinals and Pirates pitching staffs in their first homestand. They now leave the safe offensive haven that is Great American Ball Park. They also aren't gonna hit .316/.400/.602 as a team much longer. They've never seen Diamondbacks starter Taylor Widener, who shut down the Padres last time out. Also, the Diamondbacks' offense isn't very good at all and is missing its best player in Ketel Marte. Reds probably win, but it won't be a high-scoring affair.

Oakland 6 @ Houston 2 | 04/10 | 12:10 AM UTC

Houston -1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The Astros have outscored the A's 41-11 in five games so far this season. It has looked every bit that big a difference between the two ballclubs, too. The Astros have the better starting pitcher, the better lineup (by a mile, especially since they feast on lefties and face Sean Manaea here) and better bullpen. It hasn't been close between the two teams thus far in 2021, so we're going to stick with what works. The Astros win by multiple runs. Again.

Philadelphia 1 @ Atlanta 8 | 04/09 | 11:20 PM UTC

Atlanta -125

WIN

ANALYSIS: Zack Wheeler has owned the Braves the last three times out, but familiarity breeds success with good lineups and the Braves saw him six days ago. They are a sleeping giant on offense right now after a brutal start. Plus, it's their home opener after a rough road trip. The 2-4 Braves are a better team than the 5-1 Phillies, too, so we've also got some evening out to be done by the Baseball Gods. Every arrow points to the home team here.

Baltimore 2 @ N.Y. Yankees 7 | 04/06 | 10:35 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: The money line doesn't provide near enough value, so we're going on the Yankees -1.5 run line. Gerrit Cole shutting down this Orioles' offense isn't really too tall an order and the Yankees' offense woke up from a short, early-season slumber on Monday night. Orioles starting pitcher Dean Kremer was actually good in his two starts against the Yankees last year, but they had no familiarity with him. Now that they've seen him twice, they'll get to him. Expect another blowout.

Atlanta 5 @ Washington 6 | 04/06 | 8:05 PM UTC

Atlanta +105

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Picking against an opening day Max Scherzer? I must be mad. It's just that the Nats haven't done much, baseball-wise, in a while and are playing with nine players on the IL, including sluggers Josh Bell, Kyle Schwarber and closer Brad Hand. The Braves have started 0-3 and haven't hit at all, so it's time for the law of averages to kick in. Also, Braves starter Drew Smyly was excellent last season and carried it over in the spring. He'll miss a lot of bats with that depleted Nationals' offense.