If any team is capable of quick recovery, it's the Tigers, who also have Tarik Skubal on the mound with a score to settle from last night when the Birds romped 10-1. It's also a chance to go against Baltimore's erratic Dean Kremer, who has stabilized somewhat since a poor April when posting a 6.75 ERA, though he had problems last Friday in Sacramento vs. the A's, allowing five runs and eight hits across just 5 1/3 IP in a Baltimore loss. As for Skubal, nothing bad to say, especially his last three starts, allowing just one run and 12 hits across 24 1/3 IP (0.37 ERA!) while striking out 26 and walking ZERO! Play Tigers on Run Line

I'm expecting a nice bounce-back from the Tigers after the 10-1 loss to the O's Wednesday. Plus, Tarik Skubal is on the mound. He's the best pitcher in baseball and the Orioles are bad against lefties. Dean Kremer does have good numbers at home, but it's a limited sample held up by performance against bad offenses. The Tigers aren't that. It'll be a multi-run Detroit win.

Spencer Torkelson is showing off the power that made him the #1 overall pick several years ago. He comes into this game riding a 5-game hit streak with 2 home runs over that span. After allowing 10 home runs in his first 9 starts of the season, Dean Kremer hasn't allowed a home run in his last 4 starts. However, he is giving up 7.5 hits per game over those last 4 outings. We expect regression to kick in, with some of those hits turning into home runs. We set the line at +410 for Torkelson to homer.

We're can't post the alternate levels for strikeouts but I am going to play a ladder at 9,10,11 K's. It's high, but Tarik Skubal had 11 strikeouts against the O's last time and other top lefties had similar fates - MacKenzie Gore nine and eight strikeouts, Garrett Crochet eight strikeouts. Baltimore's lineup has been better of late against lefties but I'm not convinced by their success, as those numbers are from a mix of lefty openers and lower strikeout pitchers. Tarik Skubal is running an extreme swinging strike rate near 18%, and he had eight strikeouts in six straight starts before missing recently in tougher matchups against the Cubs and Royals. Betting Skubal stacks the punchouts tonight after an abysmal loss for Detroit on Wednesday.