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Wed, Apr 0310:45 pm UTCNationals Park
51 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L76-86
ATS86-75
O/U77-81-4
FINAL SCORE
3
-
5
Washington
Nationals
WAS
Last 5 ML
W/L71-91
ATS89-73
O/U78-77-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
76-86
Win /Loss
71-91
86-75
Spread
89-73
77-81-4
Over / Under
78-77-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PIT @ WAS
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MONEYLINE
PIT @ WAS
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OVER / UNDER
PIT @ WAS
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86%
PUBLIC
14%
MONEY
77%
PUBLIC
23%
MONEY
Over25%
PUBLIC
Under75%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineWashington +130
WIN
Unit1.0
+409
9-4 in Last 13 MLB ML Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

I expect to mostly stick to props on the MLB side, but I have to jump on this money line number as a Pirates fade. This is a team that's finished over .500 once in the last eight seasons and was projected for a similar result this year just a week ago. That was before stringing together five straight road wins to start the year, which has inflated their odds in this road matchup to a point that is shocking for this franchise. Mitch Keller didn't pitch well in the opener, so I see real value playing against the Pirates at this number.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 4:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LinePittsburgh -145
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3481
94-55 in Last 149 MLB Sides Picks
+3381
93-55 in Last 148 MLB ML Picks
+484
24-17 in Last 41 WAS ML Picks
Zack's Analysis:

With the New York Yankees losing yesterday there are just three teams remaining in MLB undefeated. Pittsburgh at 5-0, will get to see Trevor Williams make his first start of the season for the Washington National’s. Although Mitch Keller has struggled with runs allowed, look for the Pirates potent bats to continue to carry Pittsburgh to victory.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 4:37 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePittsburgh -145
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1708
63-43-2 in Last 108 MLB Picks
+634
20-14 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+1772
27-12 in Last 39 WAS ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

Mitch Keller became the Ace of the Pittsburgh Pirates last season when he started the first half of the season and was one of the best in baseball. He came out in spring for solid outings and gave up six runs in 12 innings. He gave up four runs and 5.2 innings on opening day but the Pirates scored a ton and that's something you have to take into account the Pirates are raking right now and that's the reason for this bet. Pirates to win.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 4:32 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadWashington +1.5 -127
WIN
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+314
6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Good for the Pirates on their 5-0 start; figured they would be better, but they still don't have enough pitching. Mitch Keller starts this one and he was quite bad in his season debut in allowing five runs and seven hits over 5.2 innings in Miami, but his teammates bailed him out. The Marlins are true swill offensively (again), so that makes me think Washington might have a decent day at the plate. Keller really struggled on the road in 2023 as well. The Pirates should not be this heavily favored away yet, in my opinion, to where I get +1.5 this cheap.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 2:36 am UTC on Consensus

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates
Saturday, Apr 05, 2025
Avatar
LF
Tommy Pham
IllnessProbable
Thursday, Apr 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Carlson Reed
BackIl
Monday, Mar 31, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
Sunday, Mar 30, 2025
Avatar
RP
Burch Smith
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Tanner Rainey
UndisclosedIl
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
Avatar
2B
Nick Gonzales
AnkleIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
1B
Spencer Horwitz
WristIl
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Johan Oviedo
LatIl
Wednesday, Feb 19, 2025
Avatar
RP
Dauri Moreta
ElbowIl
Washington Nationals
Saturday, Apr 05, 2025
Avatar
1B
Andres Chaparro
ObliqueIl
Friday, Apr 04, 2025
Avatar
SP
Mike Soroka
BicepsIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
RP
Zach Brzykcy
QuadricepsIl
Wednesday, Mar 26, 2025
Avatar
RP
Derek Law
ForearmIl
Avatar
SP
Cade Cavalli
ElbowIl
Avatar
SP
Davidjohn Herz
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Feb 19, 2025
Avatar
RP
Mason Thompson
ElbowIl
Sunday, Feb 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Josiah Gray
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
83%
5-1, +436
2-3, -17
40%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
83%
5-1, +436
1-1, +27
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
0%
0-1, -100
2-3, -17
40%
When Line was -166 to -136
MONEY LINE
When Line was +112 to +142
0%
0-1, -100
1-1, +27
50%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0%
0-1, -100
1-1, +27
50%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
50%
1-1, -8
2-3, -17
40%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
83%
5-1, +436
2-3, -17
40%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
50%
1-1, +8
2-1, +183
66%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PIT
50%
1-1, -8
1-1, +27
50%
when Mitch Keller starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Trevor Williams starts
50%
1-1, +8
1-0, +127
100%
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