There hasn't been any Ohio State team that's been 11-0, covering nine of the games with one loss and one push. It’s amazing that a team can have the highest rating in college football, and it's still not high enough because Ohio State keeps covering every inflated number that is thrown their way. They haven't beaten Michigan the last 4 years for whatever reason Ryan Day is trying to figure out, but this team will excel at Michigan regardless of Day. The No. 1 defense in college football that allows only 206 yards and 7.6 points a game. This is a special Ohio State squad, maybe the best I've ever seen out of Ohio State, that also covers the spread in just about every game.

Alabama has won the last two seasons against LSU and four of the last five meetings. They come off a 7-point win over South Carolina, which did not cover the 12.5 spread. But they've had a week off to game plan for LSU, and I think they come out fired up like they were against Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Georgia, and Missouri. Alabama is coming with the 24th-ranked defense that allows 312 yards per game. LSU's offense imploded internally, and they only average 355 yards per game, which ranks 98th. That's basically why LSU hasn't lived up to its potential. LSU's offense only scores 25 points per game, and Alabama's defense only allows 18 points per game. I think Alabama wins by two touchdowns or more.

Cincinnati lost its first game of the year against Nebraska 20-17, but since then has reeled off seven straight wins. They've covered six of those games, and I like them to cover at Utah Saturday night. It's going to be a wild scene in Salt Lake City with Utah (6-2) and its 12th-ranked defense that allows only 283 yards per game. The reason No. 17 Cincinnati wins this game is because of Brendan Sorsby, who doesn't make mistakes. He's got 19 touchdowns and only one interception, and he's been the reason Cincinnati is tied atop the Big 12 at 5-0. I look for Cincinnati to win, but I'll take the points to be conservative.

UNLV had the week off and returns home this week, where they face 5-3 New Mexico. UNLV comes off a loss at Boise State, which was their first loss of the season, making them 6-1. No sweat on undefeated UNLV talk because it's never happened. Their average score is 37-33 with a balanced offensive attack, but the 131st-ranked defense is allowing 461 yards per game. However, they don't make mistakes. They are No. 2 in the nation with a +10 turnover margin. I think UNLV wins this game with an extra week to prepare.

Arizona State got some bad news that Sam Leavitt’s going to be lost for the season with a foot injury, meaning that 6-year player Jeff Sims will start at quarterback, which means I’m betting against ASU. Sims spent 3 years at Georgia Tech, and they got better when he left. He spent one year at Nebraska, and they, too, got better when he left. This is his second year at ASU. He was 18 of 38 for 124 yards against Utah and was sacked five times in a 42-10 loss. The Cyclones have lost three straight games, but they'll be ready for this one, which is a rematch of the Big 12 championship game last season. Iowa State to cover.

Houston is having a great season with a 6-1 record and 5-2 against the spread while also going over the total five of their seven games mostly due to the quarterback Connor Wiegman who transferred over from Texas A&M. They have the 31st ranked defense that allows 317 yards per game which is just ahead of the ASU defense ranked 36th that allows 327 yards per game. Houston's only loss this season was to Texas Tech, who ASU beat last week. But this is a game I see Arizona State struggling with, like it was with TCU. ASU might be without WR Jordyn Tyson, who injured his leg last week. It's a new area for ASU to be in, favored by so much.

It's Year One at North Carolina for coach Bill Belichick with 70 new players, and it hasn't been a good year so far as they're 2-4 and 3-3 against the spread. They come off a 21-18 loss at Cal last week and have lost three in a row, while Virginia has won five games in a row, covering four of them and five on the season. Virginia averages 40 points a game, but for some reason, I see this as a come-together moment for Carolina after so many troubling times this season. They're learning on the fly together. They're figuring things out, figuring out Belichick's way. I think North Carolina stands up and maybe wins this game, but plays a close one, closer than 10.5.

Ty Simpson has been a great quarterback this season and a Heisman contender for sure, completing 70.9% of his passes for 1,678 yards and 16 touchdown passes with only one interception. He's led Alabama out of difficult situations after losing the opener to Florida State. Alabama has only two turnovers this season, and they've turned over other teams 11 times for a turnover margin of +9. Alabama has lost two of the last 3 years at Tennessee, but winning at Alabama is another thing, especially this team, which beat Wisconsin, at Georgia, Vanderbilt, and at Missouri in a row the last 4 weeks. The kid is going to go for the Heisman, and Alabama wins by 10 or more.

Arizona has run into a little trouble in Big 12 play with two losses in its last three games, with its one win in between coming at home against Oklahoma State as 20.5-point favorites. With losses at home to BYU last week and at Iowa State, where they lost 39-14, it suggests to me that this road game may be difficult for Arizona. Houston is 5-1 this season, with their only loss coming against a powerhouse in Texas Tech. Both teams have covered four games each. Connor Weigman, the transfer from Texas A&M, was outstanding in his last game, completing 70% for 306 yards and two touchdowns. Weigman is going to be the difference maker for Houston at home. Houston to cover.

Oregon has an 18-game winning streak at home, which leads the nation, and they've had two weeks to prepare for Indiana after beating Penn State 30-24 as 3.5-point underdogs. Now they get Indiana coming to Oregon, and the spread is only -7. Oregon’s home field is worth 5.5, so I look at -7 and think there's no way that Oregon is only going to be -1.5 on a neutral field. Indiana is a nice team that crushed Illinois, 63-10, and struggled at Iowa, 20-15, but this is another class, and we saw how Indiana did last year playing better classes as they lost at Ohio State and to Notre Dame in the playoffs. They are outclassed by Oregon here and are cheap.

UNLV is 5-0 on the season, and they face the worst defense in college football, with 1-4 Air Force, which allows 476 yards per game. UNLV's edge is not turning the ball over and creating turnovers, as they're No. 2 in the nation at a +8 turnover margin. UNLV scores 35 points per game, and Air Force allows 37 points per game. UNLV comes off two road wins, and their last home win was against UCLA, which now proves to be impressive, and it was in front of 36,000 fans. I expect a big crowd and a home edge, which we haven't been able to say in the past. UNLV to cover.

Missouri is averaging 45 points a game and is 5-0 on the season, covering three times. They face Alabama this week, who lost their first game at Florida State, and they’ve won and covered their last four games. They mean business, and also the fact that I've never seen Missouri beat Alabama. Missouri hasn't played anybody other than a mediocre Kansas and South Carolina this season, and they didn't cover against Massachusetts. Alabama has already won at Georgia, defeated Vanderbilt soundly, and crushed Wisconsin. Alabama also leads the nation in turnover margin at +9, turning the ball over only once. No fumbles the entire year so far. Alabama is looking to recreate past glory, and it re-establishes it against Missouri. Alabama covers.

Miami and Florida State have stayed under the total in their last four meetings, but this will be the first time since 2016 that both teams are ranked for the matchup. No worries that Miami is playing its first road game of the season. I like the over in this game because of Florida State's offense, which has totaled more than 500 yards in its last three games. They can move the ball and score quickly, which is why they are 4-0 to the over. I'm not worried about Miami's scoring because it's what they do; Carson Beck has completed 73% of his passes this year. Miami averages 36 points a game, and Florida State's defense allows 19 points a game. Just the over.

The weather is going to be the main issue in Wyoming, with a 76% chance of rain at 53° and wind blowing in at 12 mph. That's good football weather and the type of weather that gives Wyoming football five points for a home-field advantage. An example of how large Wyoming's home edge is that Alabama and Penn State get 6 points for home-field advantage, while Bowling Green gets 2 points. UNLV averages 450 yards per game, but this game figures to be won on the ground, and UNLV has the 34th-ranked running game, averaging 206 yards per game, which is one area that Wyoming hasn't excelled at this year, allowing 163 yards per game. UNLV to stay undefeated.

Washington got a wake-up call last week with their first loss against Ohio State, but there's no shame in that. The Buckeyes are going to make a lot of teams look bad. What I liked about Washington was their quarterback, Demond Williams stood strong and had a good game, completing 18 of 22 for 81% despite the Buckeyes coming at him. Washington has gone over three games this season, and they average 43.2 points per game. Maryland scores 32 points per game, and this will be their stiffest test of the season. Just the over.