The Fresno State Bulldogs lost their momentum in last week’s home loss against Utah State. It was a game they led by double digits at halftime, but could not generate anything offensively under quarterback EJ Warner. Warner looked a bit uncomfortable and that is an angle to keep San Jose State in the game with a true freshmen quarterback. Low scoring close game, get the current key number.

Missouri State is a team that far exceeded expectations in their first year of division one football in Conference USA. A common trait of this team has been close games virtually every week. Late into the third and early into the fourth quarter it has truly been anyone’s game to win. Expect that to impact the Bears after coming back to tie against Kennesaw State, and losing in the final minutes against the top team in the conference. Grab Louisiana Tech here.

Utah State is 0-5 on the road this season but finds themselves as a short underdog against Fresno State. The Bulldogs have overachieved in my opinion on both sides of the football over the last two weeks. Defensively they shut down Boise State to seven points, and Wyoming last week to three points. Look for Utah State off a tough double overtime loss last week against UNLV to get off to a fast start against Fresno. Take the points here with Utah State.

As bad as Pittsburgh’s loss was last week to Notre Dame, this week they are back in conference play against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets looked vulnerable in back to back weeks losing to NC State, and nearly losing to a Boston College team that is winless against division one teams. Look for a response from Pittsburgh as they look to jump into a first place tie with Virginia and SMU in the ACC.

On the season Georgia Southern has been excellent at home, where they are 3-1 overall. The one loss was against Southern Miss that is 5-0 in conference, and that was by just three points. Still, I don’t believe the market has caught up on a Coastal Carolina team that has ascended with fourth string quarterback Semari Collier as starter. They are 4-0 ATS and SU in his starts. A loss may happen but they hold within the spread.

There’s no doubt the loss of Dylan Raiola is going to impact Nebraska the rest of Big Ten play. Yet, this week is a matchup they can win with proper execution and running the football with Emmett Johnson. Johnson already has 1,000 yards on the season, and the Bruins defense is coming off giving up a season high fifty six points to Indiana. Take Nebraska to get by in their first game without Raiola.

An unheralded matchup presents value in the American Conference. Tulsa is winless at 0-5 in league play, and has just one division one victory on the season. Still, the offense has shown improvement in the last two weeks scoring 27 and 37 points. Both were season highs against division one schools. Look for that improvement to continue to show on the road against Florida Atlantic. Could be another loss overall, but they get the cover ATS.

Freshmen quarterbacks even the good ones show tendencies. Hawaii’s Micah Alejado has been excellent over his last three starts leading the Rainbow Warriors to over thirty points in all. Disruption of being on the field has been an issue for Alejado. He missed some time and had a poor start against Fresno State, and tonight look for Hawaii’s bye week to disrupt his prior rhythm. San Jose State may be 2-5 but have been in position in several games, and have prolific senior quarterback Walker Eget at quarterback. Take San Jose State.

It’s obvious that John Matter returned from injury at not one hundred percent. Over the Sooners last three games they have lost to Texas and Ole Miss, but it’s also allowed Matter to play and work through the injury. Expect a sharper performance from him tonight and for Tennessee to need to adjust from their typical octane offense that averages forty six points per game. Close game with the Sooners sneaking within the number.

The Florida Gators began the season as a ranked team, that quickly faded and led to the firing of Billy Napier. Billy Gonzales will now step in and look to get the Gators bowl eligible with five gams left. Even though Georgia is 6-1, they have shown vulnerability with several close wins. Take the Gators be the latest to hang around against the Bulldogs, and stay within the touchdown spread.

The MAC has been a conference I’ve stayed clear of thus far this season. Today though I believe there is an opportunity in a battle of undefeated conference MAC teams, as Western Michigan takes on Miami Ohio. Seventh year senior DeQuan Finn has done his most damage in conference with his legs, but we’ve also seen his rushing yards come down each of the last three weeks. Look for Western Michigan to force Finn more into a pocket passer where he has struggled with touchdowns to interceptions. Take Western Michigan.

Bad teams can turn the corner in-conference. Last week Colorado State had an impressive showing defeating Fresno State 49-21. Now they are favored Saturday with a chance to win consecutive games for the first time this year. Look for their new found confidence to slow down a Hawaii offense that has peaked with consecutive games of forty four points. Tail the Rams.

Nebraska did not play their best game last Saturday in a road win against Maryland. It was their first true road game of the season, but the Cornhuskers prevailed thanks to a late touchdown. Expect a much more fluid game for the Cornhuskers and quarterback Dylan Raiola who threw three interceptions against the Terrapins. Lay the touchdown here with Nebraska.

A game that will have a low attention in the betting markets is Louisiana Monroe against Coastal Carolina. Both starting quarterbacks in Tad Hudson and Aidan Armenta are ranked in the bottom twelve in the entire country for average passing yards per game. That means capitalizing on turnovers will be the main factor in a team victory. That’s an area Coastal Carolina has been dreadful, as they rank the third worst team in college football in turnover margin. Expect the outlier plays to benefit the road team in Louisiana Monroe.

UNLV and Wyoming are both coming off a bye week in what is the conference opener in the Mountain West for both. UNLV on the season is undefeated but nothing has come easy as they barely beat both Idaho State and had to come from behind against Miami Ohio. Wyoming has also been a tricky place for the Rebels who have lost five straight matchups there, and last victory was 2003. Look for that to end tonight, as the Rebels offense solidifies an ATS cover.