Northern Arizona hasn't won on the road all season...

We’ve got a Patriot League matchup with first-place Navy traveling to Lafayette. Navy is 9-1 in conference play and 17-6 overall, riding a five-game win streak, and has covered its last four. Lafayette has lost five of their last eight and is 3-5 ATS in their last eight. Navy plays a solid defense, allowing opponents to shoot 40.4% while also having a good shot selection, hitting 47.1% from the field on offense. I made this game Navy -11, and it came -4.5 and settled at -3.5. Navy to cover.

We have a Missouri Valley Conference clash: Valparaiso (11-11) visits Bradley (15-8). Valparaiso has covered 15 of its 21 lined games, and Bradley has covered only 8 of its 22 lined games. Valparaiso has only won twice on the road, but they're currently on a cover streak of five games in a row, losing twice to first-place Belmont over that span. Bradley has won two of their last four games and has only covered once in their last five. Bradley averages a 78-73 score on the season. Valparaiso has covered two of the last three meetings, while Bradley has won nine games in a row. Valparaiso to win.

Horizon League matchup here: Wright State (13-8) is in first place and plays at Milwaukee (9-13). I've got the biggest disparity of the day with this game on the spread: I made Wright State -9, and it opened -2 and settled at -3. What I like about Wright State is that they shoot 49.4% from the field, and there aren't many teams that defend worse than Milwaukee, allowing 47.6% shooting. Wright State also shoots 36.3% from 3-point range, and they average 80.8 points per game. Wright State has won eight of its last nine games and has gone over the total in its last five. Milwaukee has lost seven of its last nine games, covering only twice in its last eight.

Big East matchup here with Providence (9-12) playing at Villanova (15-5). Villanova only scores 77.4 points a game, but they're going to be hard-pressed not to score on Providence, which allows 86.1 points a game while scoring 88.8 a game. The Friars have lost six out of their last seven games in Big East play, with their only win coming against Creighton, but they've also gone over six of their last seven games. They're 15-6 to the over this season. I'm looking at for a shootout tonight with Providence playing well and controlling the pace. The over is the play.

We've got an Atlantic 10 matchup with Saint Joseph's at 12-8 visiting Loyola-Chicago, who's 5-16 and dead last in the conference at 1-7. Saint Joseph’s might be playing their best ball of the season right now, covering in five straight games with their only loss coming at VCU as 14.5-point underdogs. Loyola has lost seven straight, covering twice over that span, and averages a 67-77 score overall. Saint Joseph's with the cover.

Coach Fred Hoiberg has his Nebraska Cornhuskers 20-0 on the season, and his team rolls into Ann Arbor as double-digit underdogs like every Michigan opponent has been for the last 2 months since they got +2.5 and beat Gonzaga by 40. But coach Dusty May's Wolverines have hit a lull over their last six games, as they haven't covered, and they lost at home to Wisconsin 17 days ago. They don’t look as intimidating. Nebraska has covered five of its last six games, and I think they will be ready for their toughest test of the season. Nebraska is allowing only 64.9 points per game during Big Ten play. Nebraska has won two of the last three meetings with Michigan. I'm on Nebraska.

Arizona (20-0) is ranked No. 1 in the nation and travels to Provo to face No. 13 BYU (17-2) for a Monday night Big 12 clash. They met twice last season, with Arizona winning the first meeting at Provo and BYU returning the favor and winning at Arizona. Both games went over the total. The last four meetings have gone over the total, and I'm expecting this game to also get over the total. Arizona has gone over only 11 out of 20 games because its defense dominates with 39% shooting allowed. But BYU shoots 49% from the field while Arizona shoots 51.6%. Both have good shot selection. Arizona scores 89.8 points per game; BYU scores 86.8 per game. Over.

We got a Big Ten matchup in the far West with the Oregon at 8-11 traveling to Washington, who's 10-9. I'm looking at the total here, which is about 9 points more than I thought it should be, and I'm taking the under. Washington stays under in 12 of their 19 games, and Oregon has stayed under in 10 of their 19 games. Oregon has a five-game losing streak, and they've stayed under in their last four games and six of seven. Washington has lost five of its last six games, and it has stayed under in its last five. I like this game to stay under.

We got a MAC matchup with U-Mass (12-8) visiting Buffalo (13-6), and I think the wrong team is favored tonight. Buffalo has lost their last four games, but they were against the four best teams in the conference. They were an underdog in all four games and covered against undefeated Miami-Ohio as a 10.5-point underdog. I have Massachusetts on a neutral court favored by 1, but on Buffalo's home court, the Bulls should be at least -2 in this game. Buffalo shoots 47.7% from the field and 38.8% from three-point range, which ranks 13th in the nation. Buffalo at home gets the win.

UNC Wilmington has gone 17-2 this season, but its competition has been very weak to mediocre. They lost their first lined game of the year at Kent, 86-77, as an underdog, and since then they've been favored every game, eight of them by double digits. In their last 10 games, they've failed to cover in nine of them, and they also lost to Howard University, 67-66, as a 15.5-point favorite. William & Mary is 12-6 and 7-0 at home while covering 11 games. One team is slightly overrated, and William & Mary is underrated. Wilmington has won and covered the last four meetings. William & Mary's edge is that they play a sticky perimeter defense that allows 29.3% shooting, which is 27th in the nation.

We've got an ACC battle with Syracuse at Georgia Tech, with both teams having five losses, and this will be the first road game for the Orange. Georgia Tech has a home edge at 10-1 so far this season, and they play some serious perimeter defense, holding opponents to 39% from the field, which ranks 25th, and 27.8% from the three-point range, which is 10th in the nation. My rating in this game has Syracuse 1 point better than Georgia Tech on the neutral court, but when we put the home court advantage in, where Georgia Tech gets 4 extra points, they should be a 3-point favorite in this game. Georgia Tech to win.

SEC hookup with Georgia at Florida, where the Bulldogs get a major test on their 13-1 season. Florida has already lost five games so far, and they've only covered four out of 14 games. Overrated? Georgia won the last time they played, but the last time they were in Gainesville, they lost 89-59. That's the danger and fear of betting on Georgia tonight. Georgia has built a strong resume so far, shooting at 49.5% and scoring 99.4 points per game. Florida lost its last game at Missouri as a 7.5-point favorite. This bet suggests that Florida is not as good as we think. Georgia to cover.

We've got an Ohio Valley battle with Tennessee State (7-5), facing Tennessee Tech, which is 6-7 on the season. This is an odd moment for Tennessee Tech because they're the favorite, and the last time they were favored in a game, they were -3.5 against West Georgia and lost 61-59 at home. They lost their last game to Tennessee-Martin as a 2-point dog, and they lost 86-62 at home. After losing at Tennessee on November 20th, Tennessee State has won five of its last seven games, including the win at UNLV as 13-point underdogs. Tennessee State should be favored in this game, so I'm taking them to win.

We've got an AAC battle with Temple at 8-5 against Charlotte at 6-7. Temple has been overrated in most of their wins, but Charlotte has been underwhelming this year. After losing four of five games, Charlotte has won their last two. Temple comes in on a four-game winning streak, which is one of the reasons I played them today. Temple has the momentum tonight as well as shooting 47.3% from the field while hitting 37.5% of their three-point shots. But maybe best of all, it's Temple that doesn't turn the ball over, only 8.6 per game. I'm going to play Temple like the favorite they should have been. I just don't have to lay any juice on the money line and get plus-money.