

Thomas Casale
Casale on Campus
A frequent guest on national radio and TV shows to discuss college sports, Tom has been betting -- and winning -- for more than 30 years. He sets his own lines for each game, then looks at the metrics to see where he can find an edge in the number. Over the past four college basketball seasons, Tom is 470-290 (62 percent) -- all publicly documented. He joined SportsLine in early 2024 and has gone 157-96 in college basketball, returning $5,098 to $100 players. When the SportsLine Discord launched in November 2024, Tom became a constant presence there, releasing plays early and answering questions from subscribers. He has released 47 CBB plays exclusively in the Discord, going 33-14 for a profit of 20.82 units. You can find his bets only on SportsLine and in the SportsLine Discord. In addition, Tom produces in-depth analysis on college basketball and college football that goes way beyond game picks. He is a frequent guest on CBS Sports HQ and "Early Edge." Casale previously worked for the Action Network and theScore as an editor and analyst. He also co-hosted the BetQL U college basketball podcast with Eli Hershkovich. Always looking to beat the odds, Thomas turned his two sons into long snappers so they can get scholarships and attend college for free. For Thomas Casale media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
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Thomas's Picks
2 Live PicksIs this the week the 49ers' offense leans on Christian McCaffrey?...
The Jets are a couple plays away from being 3-0...
I like Buffalo in its home opener -1.5 at +120. I think this line should be closer to -110. The Sabres lost their opener at Columbus, but I expect them to still be a scoring machine at home this season. While I think the Blackhawks are improved from last season, they have a tough start to the year with three straight road games versus playoff teams. They already lost to Utah and Vegas, and now have to travel across the country to face Buffalo. The Sabres have won the last five meetings by a combined score of 27-8 and covered the puck line each time. I like that trend to continue on Saturday.
I was a little greedy on this one. Instead of grabbing 13.5 early, I waited to see if money would come in on the home dog. I'm going to hit Ohio State now at -14. This is an awful matchup for Iowa. They can stay with teams like Michigan because the Wolverines don't score. Plus, Iowa did Iowa and returned a kick for a TD. Michigan racked up 429 total yards, including 153 on the ground. If the Buckeyes can run the football on Saturday, it's game over. I just can't see the Hawkeyes scoring much here, and I like the fact that Ohio State has already lost a game. I think this one could get ugly. Lay it with the Buckeyes.
Buffalo is a bad team, but this early number is a little high. I made Western Michigan -11.5 on the road. Both teams play slow, and I think it will be an ugly, low-scoring rock fight. This is also a bad spot for the Broncos after getting hammered at home by Boise State in a game where they were sky-high. I will be at this game. My son is visiting UB and I have seats right behind the team. If things go bad, at least I'll get my money's worth yelling at the players. I took +15.5 for a Half Unit. Bet Buffalo at +14.5 or better.
The rain in Starkville looks like it will hold off until Sunday, so I expect a high-scoring game. Alabama’s offense is rolling. The Crimson Tide are averaging 48 points with dual-threat quarterback Keelon Russell under center. Russell has 1,297 total yards and 11 touchdowns through four games. Not to be outdone, Mississippi State star QB Kamario Taylor has thrown 14 touchdown passes and just two interceptions in leading the Bulldogs to a 4-0 record. While Taylor has the offense humming, Mississippi State’s defense is still a work in progress. The Bulldogs allowed 34 points to South Carolina, while Missouri ran 75 plays and piled up over 400 yards last week. This should be a fun game. Bet the over up to 62.5.
The Blues are my sleeper team this season. I love the trio of Dylan Holloway, Robert Thomas, and Jimmy Snuggerud, while the combination of Joel Hofer and Jordan Binnington should give St. Louis quality goaltending most nights. The Stars are still the Stars, I just think the market is too low on the Blues to start the season. I'll back St. Louis +159 for a half unit.
I played Denver last week, and while the bet cashed, I actually thought Jacksonville was the better team. The Jags didn't put the game away when they had the chance, which let the Broncos seize momentum in the fourth quarter and steal the win. I like Jacksonville to bounce back at home this week. The Patriots beat an average Steelers team, although I still wasn't overly impressed with the performance. Even though the Jags lost in Denver, I view them as a legit Super Bowl contender. I'll lay under a field goal early with Jacksonville at home. I think this number might get to 3 or 3.5 during the week.
I was high on Utah State this year, but they have started the season 0-3. Granted, the loss to FCS Idaho State is disappointing. However, the other two losses were to Utah and a close 16-14 defeat at Washington. I think that is creating a little value here with the Aggies at home. Troy struggles on offense and the Trojans haven't been overly impressive against a much easier schedule. This is also a tough travel spot for Troy, going across the country after facing Missouri. Look for Bronco Mendenhall's defense to dominate, as Utah State gets its first win of the season. I took the ML -130 for a Half Unit.
I'm going to hit the Oregon ML on a buy-low spot with the Ducks. I don't know if Oregon has worked out all their issues, but I like this matchup for them. USC has played a weak schedule so far, and the defense still looks like a liability. The Trojans gave up 65 points in their last two games to offensive powerhouses Rutgers and Louisiana. USC also allowed an average of 157 rushing yards in those matchups. I have concerns about Oregon's offensive line, although USC doesn't put much pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The Trojans will score, but I don't think the defense can stop Oregon. I'd play the ML up to -130.
I'm going to lay the 9.5 with Auburn here. Vanderbilt is coming off one of the luckiest wins I've ever seen over NC State. Let's not forget, the Wolfpack led 24-7 in the third quarter and 31-21 in the fourth. They controlled most of that game. I think Vandy is closer to the team that struggled to beat Delaware and was down double-digits to an average NC State squad at home. True freshman QB Jared Curtis will make just his second start and his first career road start. I believe Auburn will improve throughout the season under new head coach Alex Golesh. It starts here with a big win at home.
I love this matchup for the Irish. Purdue's rush defense is abysmal. The Boilermakers gave up 369 rushing yards to UCLA and 186 to Wake Forest. Notre Dame has used some different backs after losing two first-round draft picks. I was waiting for them to settle on Nolan James Jr. Last week, James ran for 121 yards on 26 carries vs. Michigan State. I expect him to have a huge game Saturday. Notre Dame hung 56 and 66 on Purdue the last two years. I think it's more of the same against a Boilermakers' defense that allowed 90 points the last two weeks. I grabbed -27.5 early. Look for ND's offense to get rolling here. This feels like a 52-13 kind of Irish domination.
I really liked the Broncos and Chargers entering the season, but both laid an egg in Week 1. Denver didn't match Kansas City's intensity in Patrick Mahomes' return from a knee injury. But what really stood out was that the Broncos' defense missed the most tackles in a game since 2018. That issue will get fixed. Denver's defense is too talented to play that way moving forward. Bo Nix looked dreadful, but we all know you can't overreact to one game in the NFL. I thought Jacksonville was a bit undervalued entering the season, although I don't believe this line should be below three. I still expect the Broncos to be tough at home and think they'll rebound on Sunday.
I'm always looking to back good teams in Week 2 who looked flat in the opener. No team fits that theory better than the Chargers. Credit to Arizona's coaching staff for having the Cardinals ready to play, but the Chargers looked like they were in slow motion. Jim Harbaugh said he should have played his starters more in the preseason, and I expect Los Angeles to be more focused on Sunday. I'm projecting Ladd McConkey to be out, but I expect the Chargers' defense to dominate here after the Raiders averaged just over 4.0 yards per play against what I think is the worst team in the NFL. If the Chargers won last week, this line is -9. I'll take LA to roll at home.
Tetairoa McMillan's yardage totals are still too low. He easily went over 57.5 last week against the Bears with 75 yards on five receptions. Going back to 2025, McMillan has exceeded this total in six of his last seven games. I expect Atlanta's defense to be tougher against the run than the pass this year, so look for Bryce Young to have another good game on Sunday. Play McMillan's over receiving yards up to 59.5.

