Alperen Sengun went off against the Trail Blazers back in November, posting 25 points and nine assists. Over the past 10 games, Portland owns the third-worst defensive rating. Look for another big game from Sengun at home in this top-tier matchup.

Kevin Durant has been playing very heavy minutes for the Houston Rockets and this was before being on the back half of a B2B set after playing a whopping 41 minutes in an OT game last night. In addition to not wanting to overload KD, the Rockets take on a short handed Blazers team where they are favored 6.5 points, thus providing some blowout potential. Both of these teams play at a sluggish pace and it wouldn’t surprise me if KD plays a few less minutes tonight. This game has a low projected total and I expect it be paced down.

Reed Sheppard went 6-for-12 from behind the arc against the Warriors on Thursday. That marked his sixth straight game with at least four made three-pointers. He could be a nightmare matchup for the Trail Blazers, who have given up the third-highest three-point shooting percentage in the league over their last 10 games. Also helping Reed’s cause is that this game will be played in Houston, where he shoots 41.6% from three. I’ll pay the juice and take this over.