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Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and high-volume handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. After joining SportsLine, Matt quickly established himself as a top expert in multiple sports. Over the past four NBA seasons, Matt has returned a whopping $6,634 to $100 bettors. That includes finishing 217-130-1 (plus $2,182) in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over the past four MLB seasons, Matt is up $1,681. And over the past five college basketball seasons, Matt is up $1,008. He also has excelled in two straight NFL seasons, returning $2,010 to $100 players, and is coming off an outstanding NHL season in which he went 235-155-21 (plus $2,022). Matt believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7. He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others. For Matt Severance media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@jordanpaytonsn1
22-14 in Last 36 NFL Player Props Picks
+91
RECORD: 22-14-0
+91
22-14 in Last 36 NFL Player Props Picks

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Matt's Picks (1 Live)

Dec 03 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Boston
@ Detroit
SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+1195.5
16-3-3 in Last 22 NHL ATS Picks
+562
8-1 in Last 9 BOS ATS Picks
Analysis:

The Red Wings are struggling on the power play. ...

Pick Made: Mon 11:00 pm UTC on BetRivers

Matt's Past Picks

Dec 02 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
Utah
3
@ San Jose
6
+1195.5
16-3-3 in Last 22 NHL ATS Picks
+881.5
17-5 in Last 22 SJ ATS Picks
Analysis:

Sharks ATS at home has been the NHL's best bet this season at 13-2. I am not being offered +1 or likely would play that, but this is reasonable all things considered to guarantee a cash simply with a San Jose point. Utah has lost three straight and plays in a third different city in four nights. The Mammoth are likely to be without their best offensive player and leading scorer Logan Cooley (14G, 9A) as he left Saturday's defeat in St. Louis injured.

Pick Made: Mon 2:49 am UTC on BetMGM
Dec 02 2025, 12:30 am UTC
League
McNeese
67
@ Incarnate Word
71
+322.5
15-12 in Last 27 NCAAB Picks
+68.5
3-3 in Last 6 NCAAB ATS Picks
Analysis:

McNeese State is the defending Southland champion and favored to repeat, but Incarnate Word is not too bad -- picked to finish sixth. It's the league opener for both. UIW's Davion Bailey (20 ppg) and Tahj Staveskie (19.1 ppg) lead the Southland in scoring and Harold Woods leads in total rebounds (59). You'd think this is the biggest home game of the year. UIW played Indiana pretty tough a few weeks ago in Bloomington and scored a school-record-tying 117 points last time out against some nobody foe. The only loss for McNeese State was its lone road game at Santa Clara. This simply feels 3-4 points high.

Pick Made: Mon 10:46 pm UTC on FanDuel
Dec 02 2025, 12:00 am UTC
League
Columbus
5
@ New Jersey
3
+618.5
18-9-3 in Last 30 NHL Picks
+651.5
18-9 in Last 27 CLB ML Picks
Analysis:

Columbus is a bit thin at forward down star Kirill Marchenko (8G, 14A) and Mathieu Oliver (3G, 6A), while netminder Elvis Merzlikins was 0-4 in four November starts with a 4.30 GAA. The Jackets have a single win in their past six. Nico Hischier has a 5-game point streak (5G 5A) for New Jersey, which is 9-1-1 at home. It's backup Jake Allen in net, but he's 5-0-0 at home with a 1.76 GAA.

Pick Made: Mon 5:43 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 30 2025, 8:30 pm UTC
League
Anaheim
3
@ Chicago
5
+1195.5
16-3-3 in Last 22 NHL ATS Picks
+613.5
24-11-1 in Last 36 ANA ATS Picks
Analysis:

Anaheim is the better team but playing away for the first time since Nov. 15. It has dropped three in a row on the road. This is mostly a fade of goalie and former Blackhawks Petr Mrazek, who has a 3.69 overall GAA and 3.72 away. Chicago's Spencer Knight (2.48 GAA) is the better player no doubt. The Blackhawks defeated the Ducks in overtime, 2-1, on Oct. 19 at the United Center and are 8-1-1 in the past 10 at home in the series. Knight made 38 saves in that last meeting.

Pick Made: Sun 8:02 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 30 2025, 2:05 pm UTC
League
Brighton & Hove Albion
2
@ Nottingham Forest
0
SpreadNottingham Forest +0.25 -141
LOSS
Unit1.0
+224
5-2-1 in Last 8 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Not the best football Saturday -- if the Canes aren't in the playoff, I will quit that sport truly; go away Texas as Miami sure didn't lose to Florida -- but pretty good futbol. Forest is rolling with three straight wins (five in a row unbeaten) and having scored 3 in each. Quite sure we cash if that happens again. New manager Sean Dyche has essentially transformed the club after replacing the sacked (another great British term) Ange Postecoglou. I hope to never type that last name again as it basically made me cross-eyed for some reason looking at it. Morgan Gibbs-White missed the last match for Forest but is expected to be available. He has four goals in six games since the managerial change.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 9:35 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 30 2025, 3:00 am UTC
League
San Jose
3
@ Vegas
4
+1195.5
16-3-3 in Last 22 NHL ATS Picks
+881.5
17-5 in Last 22 SJ ATS Picks
Analysis:

This absolutely did not work the other night in Denver, but the NHL math tells us it's gonna work more than 85% of the time. The Sharks are definitely not the away cash cow that they are at home, but this is still a rather ridiculously good price at this number. It's the right play, even with a loss. Sometimes those don't always pair up.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 4:50 am UTC on BetMGM
Nov 30 2025, 1:00 am UTC
League
Detroit
138
@ Miami
135
+409.5
18-13 in Last 31 NBA ML Picks
Analysis:

Feels like a horrible spot for the Pistons, the better team otherwise. I'm a little gun-shy on them after burning us last night at home vs. Orlando. But this is a one-game roadie down to Florida and then back home. Also the club's third game in a different city in four nights. Starting center Jalen Duren, who has become a beast, is out. Miami has won six straight and off since Wednesday. If logic matters at all ... (it often doesn't).

Pick Made: Nov 29, 8:30 pm UTC on Caesars
Nov 29 2025, 9:00 pm UTC
League
Mercer
91
@ Elon
84
+451.5
13-7 in Last 20 NCAAB ML Picks
+175
4-1 in Last 5 ELON ML Picks
Analysis:

Not my favorite play ever, but anytime I can make an Elon play I am game. And this is a true home game. Although I am guessing my Twitter (I will never, ever call it X) will get hacked/suspended if I don't back the Fighting Musks. Actually, they are the Phoenix (Musks might be better) and should have the best player on the floor in Chandler Cuthrell, who is second in the CAA and 11th nationally at 22.7 points per game. Cuthrell is the only player in the CAA with two 20-point, 10-rebound performances this season. Home team + best player = yes. Doesn't always work that way, but generally a winning strategy.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 5:32 am UTC on bet365
Nov 29 2025, 9:00 pm UTC
League
Edmonton
4
@ Seattle
0
+1195.5
16-3-3 in Last 22 NHL ATS Picks
Analysis:

I worked at offshore books forever and did some trading, i.e. set the lines. This is stupidly off. Look, I'm not promising anything here, but getting +1.5 at this price? When the Kraken might be better anyways? Sign me up. You have to remember, though, that lines are set at what the books think people will play. And Edmonton thanks to Connor McDavid is a very public team. Fine by me.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 2:34 am UTC on BetMGM
Nov 29 2025, 6:00 pm UTC
League
UTEP
31
@ Delaware
61
+1232.5
58-36-1 in Last 95 NCAAF Picks
+116.5
15-12 in Last 27 NCAAF ML Picks
Analysis:

Might be the first time I've ever played Delaware in football. About all I know about the Blue Hens are their Michigan knock-off helmets (actually, U-M kinda stole too as those originated at Princeton) and Joe Flacco. They were a pretty good FCS program and have transitioned to the FBS well. Just one home loss and a win here gets them bowl eligible -- although as a new FBS member, they'd need not enough teams with the necessary six wins. UTEP has lost four straight, has no bowl shot and has one road victory. It's the Miners' last game as a CUSA member as they will shift to the Mountain West. Really feels like all the motivation is on one side here.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 3:15 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 29 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Ohio State
27
@ Michigan
9
+1232.5
58-36-1 in Last 95 NCAAF Picks
+898
29-17-1 in Last 47 NCAAF ATS Picks
Analysis:

A swarm of locusts descending upon Ann Arbor on Saturday afternoon would be preferred in my eyes to this game actually taking place, but I'll sure be watching and I'm pretty surprised at this number. From a chance to defend the national title, this game really doesn't matter as the Buckeyes will be in the playoff regardless. Obviously, they want to end the skid in this series, but I wonder if the OSU guys are so concerned with laying a beatdown that they lose outright again. U-M hasn't won five straight in the series since the 1920s. Doubt it does that, but I believe keeps fairly close with a rush game that is averaging 232.5 YPG over the past five.

Pick Made: Nov 24, 5:56 pm UTC on DraftKings
Nov 29 2025, 5:00 pm UTC
League
Toledo
21
@ C. Michigan
3
+1232.5
58-36-1 in Last 95 NCAAF Picks
+898
29-17-1 in Last 47 NCAAF ATS Picks
+275
5-2 in Last 7 CMICH ATS Picks
Analysis:

I don't get this number at all. Yeah, Toledo has an outside shot at the MAC title game (but not really) and Central no longer does, but so what. 11.5 on the road seems crazy to me as these teams are not that far from being basically even. Chips Ahoy are bowl eligible for the first time since 2021 and eyeing an unbeaten home slate for the first time since 2019. I think Toledo is slightly better, but yeah an outright CMU win would not surprise me unless I am completely reading this wrong. Which is possible. I did go to a MAC school after all. Let's just say I will be quite stunned if CMU loses by more than 10.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 12:49 pm UTC on DraftKings
Nov 29 2025, 4:00 pm UTC
League
PSG
0
@ Monaco
1
SpreadMonaco +1 -114
WIN
Unit0.5
Analysis:

Was only playing this at +1 as our other books all are offering +0.5. And it may well push. I am obviously no Wile E. Coyote super-genius on soccer (yet) but even I know all about PSG. This would seem to be the home game of the season for Monaco and I'm hopeful for a bit of a letdown via the visitors. Ousmane Dembélé came back from injury in their victory against Tottenham Hotspur in the Champions League on Wednesday. Nuno Mendes was injured in that and out today. Les Monégasques (I thought maybe meant Monkees like the band/show but no; don't know French) will get Team USA star Folarin Balogun back after his ban against Stade Rennes in the last domestic match. Half unit.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 1:48 pm UTC on BetRivers
Nov 29 2025, 3:00 pm UTC
League
Bournemouth
2
@ Sunderland
3
SpreadSunderland +0.25 -121
WIN
Unit1.0
+224
5-2-1 in Last 8 EPL ATS Picks
Analysis:

Why am I converting a bit to soccer? The Black Cats vs. the Cherries. That's just cool. Sounds like an 80s band-off hosted by Martha Quinn at about 11 p.m. ET on Sunday on MTV, and I'd absolutely watch (in college). I also simply enjoy saying Sunderland. It's like an Old Spice commercial: I am awash in "Sunderland" and then somehow a pink unicorn and flowers appear as in those stupid but kinda clever commercials. I have about 45 Spice jokes lined up but most involve Posh or Ginger so I'll just keep quiet. I'm not sure the right team is favored here. They are level in the table. And Bournemouth star Antoine Semenyo is in doubt.

Pick Made: Nov 29, 3:49 am UTC on bet365