Simulation Picks

Expert Picks

Feb 24 2026, 7:00 pm ET

Bulls

85

@ Zips

99

Over / UnderOver 157.5 -110

WIN

Unit1.0

Matt Severance

Severance Pays

Profile →

+240

4-1 in Last 5 NCAAB O/U Picks

Matt's Analysis:

Akron is one of the top offensive team in the country in averaging 89.4 PPG. So if it gets there, can't Buffalo score about 68 points? The Bulls average 78.6 PPG and are expected to get back leading scorer Daniel Freitag (20.0 PPG) tonight. He has been out since Feb. 3. Our model has 164 points scored, and Torvik has about the same.

Pick Made: Feb 24, 3:30 pm ET on FanDuel

Team Injuries

All Games

ALL

All Games

60%

15-10

13-12

52%

On Road

LOCATION

At Home

71%

10-4

5-6

45%

As Underdog or PK

STATUS

As Favorite

53%

7-6

12-12

50%

When Spread was +13.5 to +17.5

SPREAD

When Spread was -17.5 to -13.5

0%

0-0

1-0

100%

As Road Underdog

LOCATION & STATUS

As Home Favorite

62%

5-3

5-6

45%

vs Teams That Win >65% of Games

OPP WIN%

vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games

50%

4-4

3-3

50%

vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG

OPP DEFENSE

vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG

61%

13-8

10-11

47%

After <4 Days Off

REST

After 4+ Days Off

50%

4-4

7-9

43%

vs AKRON

HEAD TO HEAD

vs BUFF

0%

0-1

1-0

100%

OPPONENT	W/L	ATS	ML	O/U
@TOLEDO03/06/2026	78-98LOSS	+5.5LOSS	+208LOSS	155.5OVER
EMICH03/03/2026	67-72WIN	-5.5LOSS	-258WIN	144.5UNDER
CMICH02/28/2026	75-70LOSS	-5.5LOSS	-277LOSS	150.5UNDER
@AKRON02/24/2026	85-99LOSS	+15.5WIN	+945LOSS	160.5OVER
@UMASS02/21/2026	86-82WIN	+7.5WIN	+287WIN	154.5OVER

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