Scottie Barnes and RJ Barrett are each averaging close to 25 ppg for the Raptors this series. One of them is scoring 20+ again here. I learn Barrett because the Cavaliers rank 27th in ppg allowed to the power forward spot, and the Cavs' defense, average in general, is focusing more on other spots. RJ can take advantage again.

The PRA totals for Donovan Clingan in Games 2 and 3 when Victor Wembanyama didn’t play: 19 and 18. The PRA totals in Games 1 and 4 when Wemby did play, either fully or even partially: 11 and 11. This is a guy who averaged 23.7 P/R in 77 games this season. He’s outmatched here. The Blazers know it. He played just 14 minutes in Game 4, down from 20 minutes in Game 3 and 24 in Game 2.

In the four games this series vs. Atlanta, Knicks forward OG Anunoby has brought in between 8-10 rebounds. In three regular-season games vs. the Hawks, he secured 10, 10 and 5 rebounds. He averages 5.5 rpg on the season but has been far better vs. the Hawks. Anunoby isn’t the exception. Every power forward has found success on the glass vs. Atlanta. The Hawks allow 10.7 rebounds per game to PFs on the season.

Kelly Oubre was the big statistical loser with Joel Embiid back on the court for the 76ers. After scoring 10, 12 and 17 points in the first three games, Oubre went 0-for-6 from the field and was blanked in the Game 4 loss to the Celtics. The only matchup between these teams in the regular season after Nov. 11, Oubre scored just four points on 2-for-10 shooting. Boston ranks No. 1 in fewest points allowed to small forwards.

Jayden McDaniels averaged 4.2 rebounds over the course of the season, but in this series, he’s snagged at least eight boards in three of the four games. He’s also generated three assists in all four matchups with the Nuggets. Someone has to make up for the 8.1 rebounds/assists lost to Anthony Edwards, and McDaniels, the starting SF averaging 36 minutes per game, is the prime candidate.

Yankees starter Max Fried must go 6.1 innings to get the Over here at plus odds. He’s already done it five of his six starts this season; the lone blip he struggled but still threw 93 pitches. He can get back to six-plus frames vs. Texas, which has had issues vs. LHPs.

Each team starts a left-hander, which is better news for Cleveland. The Guardians’ .858 OPS vs. southpaws the last 15 days ranks fourth. They also trot out the better LHP, Tyler Messick (3-0, 1.76 ERA) over Steven Matz, and a better bullpen. Half-unit play.

Ryne Nelson allowed eight runs over one-third of an inning last time out, blowing up his stats. That said, he also had a start in which he gave up seven runs, only two earned, deflating them. Those were his two home starts in 2026. For what it’s worth, the Padres are the top Sunday-hitting team in MLB. Michael King (2.28 ERA) and the SD bullpen (2.86 L2 wks) can hold down the Snakes.

This seems low for a red-hot Blazers PG averaging 23.3 ppg in three games this series. Wemby is back for the Spurs, so scoring inside will be more challenging. But Scott has hit five 3’s in each of the last two games. He also scored 20 in his lone regular-season matchup vs. the Spurs. We'll ride all the trends.

The Phillies are MLB’s biggest underachievers, so we’ll ride that train until it comes to a stop. They’ve especially struggles vs. LHPs, so here comes one of the premier southpaws in Chris Sale, who already mowed them down eight days ago and has mowed them down three straight times (19 IP, 2 runs). He’s allowed 0-1 runs in four of his five starts. Aaron Nola has given up 3+ runs in four of five. The Braves’ bats are still hot.

In two games this series, Ausar has P/R totals of 19 and 15. There’s no reason he shouldn’t keep that up; Orlando ranks 28th in points allowed to opposing small forwards and 26th in rebounds allowed, combining for over 33 P/R per game over 48 minutes. His regular-season average vs. the Magic was 17.3.

Over the first five innings, Marlins starter Sandy Alcantara has a 5.40 ERA in the opening frame but allowed only 3 ER in innings 2-5 combined. Giants starter Adrian Houser has allowed four runs in three straight starts and has a 6.75 ERA in both the first and second innings, and a 9.82 ERA in the fifth. Neither team is mashing right now, but the Giants rank dead-last in home OPS (.560) and are averaging 2.6 runs per game at Oracle Park. Miami’s a respectable 16th in road OPS.

Since getting knocked out the first inning by the Mets on Opening Day, Paul Skenes is 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA over four starts. Milwaukee’s offense has sputtered, but the bigger issue for the Brew is the bullpen. Usually a team strength, the pen ranks 24th in WHIP, 27th in average and the last two weeks has a 6.14 ERA. Brandon Woodruff has struggled the second time through lineups, so it’s likely the bullpen plays a key role. Pittsburgh’s pen has been far better and the order is hitting better, too. We’ll ride recent trends.

Angels LHP Yusei Kikuchi owns a 3.27 ERA in two starts at home, 7.62 in three away. But look at the lineups he’s faced: The Cubs, Braves and Yankees in succession. His last start, he blanked a potent Padres order for six innings. Here he gets a break against a Royals team that ranks 27th in OPS vs. left-handers. On the flip side, the Angels own an .816 OPS vs. LHPs the last two weeks, and KC starter Noah Cameron has given up five runs in back-to-back starts.

Minnesota has lost five of six, and let the Mets snap their 12-game losing streak on Wednesday. The Twins have the matchups here, however. New York’s offense is still a disaster vs. right-handers (.535 OPS last 15 days) and Joe Ryan has allowed five hits over his last 13 innings. The Mets counter with Christian Scott, who makes his first MLB start since Tommy John surgery in 2024. He’ll give way to a bullpen with a 6.00 ERA the last two weeks.