MacKenzie Gore (2-1, 3.00 ERA) faces Bryan Woo (0-2, 2.16). Both pitchers are capable, but the batting orders aren’t the same. Over the last 15 days, the Rangers own a big .802 OPS vs. right-handers. The Mariners vs. left-handers: .363. Gore has allowed four runs over the first five innings of his four starts, Woo has allowed six. Good spot to back a sizeable dog.

Tobias Myers gets a spot start for the Mets. He’s capable, but he’s also likely to not go more than 3-4 innings and the New York bullpen has a 5.70 ERA the last two weeks. Plus, the Cubs are hitting the ball. The Mets are not. Cubbies starter Javier Assad blanked the Rays over 5.2 IP in his first outing and gave up nine runs in his second. Both were on the road; he’s been lights out at Wrigley the last few seasons.

Max Scherzer, 41, hasn’t gotten out of the third inning in either of his last two starts. The D’backs’ offense has been scoring, six-plus in three of four and five-plus in seven of 11. So it should offer support for Zac Gallen, who faces a Toronto offense with a .626 OPS vs. RHPs the last 15 days.

Tarik Skubal has allowed 0-1 runs in three of his four starts, and here faces a Red Sox team that hasn’t hit LHPs very well. Detroit’s bullpen has been nearly as lights out (2.63 ERA last two weeks). The Tigers’ offense has been wildly inconsistent, but it should get enough on the struggling Brayan Bello.

Severino has registered exactly seven K’s in each of his last three starts, and those games ranged from 3.1 to 6.0 innings thrown. Here he gets a White Sox lineup that averages 9.5 strikeouts per game, fifth-most in the majors. On the road, that average leaps to 11.7.

Toronto’s offense has managed 0-2 runs in seven of 18 games. This isn’t a good spot for a significant turnaround. Diamondbacks starter Mike Soroka is 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA, and the Arizona bullpen has a 2.74 ERA in April. On the flip side, Eric Lauer has struggled (7.82 ERA) and the D’backs have been owning left-handed starters this month.

The Reds’ starter has recorded over 14 outs just one time, walking six in just four innings (12 outs) vs. the Angels last time out. The Twins’ offense has been a pleasant surprise. It’s posted no fewer than five runs in five straight games, and its 5.4 runs per game ranks fourth in MLB. Minnesota is also crushing left-handers lately, with a .775 OPS the last two weeks.

Neither team has a pitching edge here. For Houston, Peter Lambert gets called up from Triple-A Sugar Land, where he’s been fine. But the 28-year-old RHP has had stints in MLB between 2019-24 and none went great. Houston’s bullpen owns a 6.56 ERA the last two weeks. St. Louis’ position isn’t a ton better. Its bullpen ERA in that span is 5.36 and starter Kyle Leahy hasn’t gone more than five innings. Houston is crushing right-handers the last 15 days with a team OPS nearing .800.

San Diego has won seven straight, many of which has come with ninth-inning dramatics. The Padres can’t live on that alone – and may not need to here. Mariners RHP Luis Castillo has allowed 11 runs his last two starts, and the Pads have a .772 OPS vs. right-handers the last couple weeks. Walker Buehler will only go 70 pitches before giving way to a solid bullpen 2.76 ERA L15 days). Sounds like a good spot to back plus odds.

The White Sox have already revealed their batting order for Thursday’s game. Five of the top seven are batting .203 or worse; only one player has more than two HR and he’s hitting .179. Steven Matz has allowed three runs on four hits with 15 K’s over the last 11 IP. Tampa, meanwhile, has won five straight, scoring five-plus runs in each.

Chase Burns was knocked around last time out, but that was vs. a hot Angels lineup. This is vs. the Giants, who are averaging two runs per game the last four outings, and have scored 0-2 runs in literally half their games. The Cincy bats at home can get to Tanner Roupp, who historically has not been the same outside of pitcher-friendly Oracle.

Podziemski seems like a player that can fly under the radar, then produce. LA will focus on finally healthy Steph Curry and Kristaps Porzinigs. Podziemski has scored 14-plus points in 10 of 11, the lone blip a meaningless season-ended vs. these Clippers. LA has a stout defense overall, but shooting guard has been a spot where opponents can produce.

Oubre averaged 19.0 P/R on the season, so oddsmakers expect the norm or slightly less. But Oubre feasted on the Magic in his one full game against them with 25 & 10. Someone has to make up for the lost 34.6 P/R of Joel Embiid. In the last 14 games without Embiid, Oubre as a starter has eclipsed 20 nine times. Orlando ranks 28th in PPG allowed to small forward sand 26th in rebounds given up to the spot.

Jesus Luzardo is in a funk for the Phils, allowing five-plus runs in two of his three starts. Both of his duds were at home, and he was worse at Citizens Bank Park last year as well. If the Cubs’ bats can keep it going (they’ve scored 7+ in three straight), Shota Imanaga, who’s given up one run over his last two starts, can limit a Philly lineup that’s 27th vs. LHPs. There’s value in the road dog here.

Veteran Seth Lugo has been pretty good through three starts for KC, but it can’t last forever. Last year he was worse in matinees and worse on the road, and in four games vs. the Tigers gave up 17 runs over 17.2 IP. We’re not all-in on Jack Flaherty, though he limited the hot Twins to one run over 5.2 IP last outing. That’s he’s backed by a bullpen with a 1.75 ERA the last two weeks helps.