Adam Thompson

Staff Analyst

Adam Thompson is a thoughtful, Midwestern-based handicapper who destroyed sportsbooks with his MLB picks in 2018. SportsLine's top MLB handicapper hit on 61 percent of his money line picks all season for a profit of $4,062 to $100 players (+$3,655, 60 percent for all picks), ending the season on a 22-4 run, including 100 percent on World Series games. He's also run red-hot streaks in the NFL and college football. Previously the award-winning sports editor of the Green Bay Press-Gazette, Adam spent nearly 20 years covering the NFL, MLB, NBA and major college sports. Now he's sharing the insight he gained with SportsLine members, through well-reasoned picks and thought-provoking articles.

49-36-1 IN LAST 86 NBA ATS PICKS | +922

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Adam's
Picks

Houston -3 HOU -3

Houston 106 @ L.A. Lakers 111
2/22
HOU 106 @ LAL 111
2/22
LOSS
YESTERDAY 3:00 PM

The Rockets get back Clint Capela after 15 games away, and that makes all the difference here. Houston was out-rebounded in 13 of those games. When the Rockets win the boards battle, they're 19-3, when they don't they're 14-21. The Lakers are statistically a solid rebounding team, but that's mostly due to extra shooting attempts by the opponent -- only the Kings allow more offensive boards. LeBron has indicated he'll get into "playoff mode" earlier than usual, but there are matchup issues all over the floor. The Rockets can sneak out of L.A. with a win.

49-36-1 IN LAST 86 NBA ATS PICKS | +922

5-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +391

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAL ATS PICKS | +88

Miami +6.5 MIA +6.5

Miami 102 @ Philadelphia 106
2/22
MIA 102 @ PHI 106
2/22
WIN
YESTERDAY 2:52 PM

Joel Embiid and his 27 points and 13.5 rebounds per game won't be on the court Thursday, and the Sixers are 1-3 on the season when that's the case. Embiid had 35 and 18 in a 10-point win over Miami earlier this season. But that he's not out there gives the Heat some level of confidence. The Heat have been far more successful on the road than at home, and that includes a 17-11 ATS record, third-best in the NBA. Miami can keep it close.

49-36-1 IN LAST 86 NBA ATS PICKS | +922

7-3 IN LAST 10 PHI ATS PICKS | +366

2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ATS PICKS | +89

Milwaukee -5.5 MIL -5.5

Boston 97 @ Milwaukee 98
2/22
BOS 97 @ MIL 98
2/22
LOSS
YESTERDAY 2:44 PM

Not only does Milwaukee have the best record in the NBA, it's the best team against the spread in the NBA. That's because the Bucks have an average scoring differential of 9.8 points, by far the best in the league. The Bucks are also 30-17 with rest between games -- coming out of the All-Star break provided the ultimate rest. Boston is among the bottom-five in road covers. The Celtics' strong depth may be in trouble without Aron Baynes and possible Gordon Hayward. Meanwhile, Nikola Mirotic is expected to make his Bucks debut.

49-36-1 IN LAST 86 NBA ATS PICKS | +922

3-1 IN LAST 4 MIL ATS PICKS | +193

New York +8 NY +8

New York 106 @ Atlanta 91
2/15
NY 106 @ ATL 91
2/15
WIN
Thu 2/14

The Knicks have lost 18 in a row, which is simply unbelievable. But since the trade deadline, they've at least been competitive. Three of their four defeats were by seven points or less and last night they hung with the 76ers before running out of gas. Meanwhile, Trae Young is garnering headlines in Atlanta, but the Hawks had lost three in a row at home before shocking the struggling Lakers. This is the fourth time Atlanta has been favored all season -- they lost all three other instances straight-up, by 19, 3 and 12 points. The Hawks are just 9-16 at home and, while the Knicks are bad everywhere, they've been better on the road.

49-36-1 IN LAST 86 NBA ATS PICKS | +922

5-1 IN LAST 6 NY ATS PICKS | +390

3-0 IN LAST 3 ATL ATS PICKS | +300

Oklahoma City -5 OKC -5

Oklahoma City 122 @ New Orleans 131
2/15
OKC 122 @ NO 131
2/15
LOSS
Thu 2/14

OKC has won 11 of 12, and it's pounding lesser competition, going 6-0 against sub-.500 teams with an average margin of victory of 15.2. The Pelicans haven't managed more than 90 points their last two games in bad losses to the Grizzlies and Magic. New Orleans gave Oklahoma City a game on Jan 23, losing by six without Anthony Davis. But the Pels are in disarray and the Thunder have too much talent not to take advantage.

49-36-1 IN LAST 86 NBA ATS PICKS | +922

4-2 IN LAST 6 OKC ATS PICKS | +173

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