ANALYSIS: My simulations have the Jaguars winning 79% of the time and are projecting a 10-point margin. Southern is covering the spread 67% of the time, bringing excellent value at this number. Alcorn has won six in a row, but the Jaguars have won six of seven and are 13-5 ATS this season. Southern has covered the spread in all three of its home games, winning by an average of almost 18 points. It averages almost nine points more per game than Alcorn State and shoots 7.5% better from three-point range.

ANALYSIS: My model has this total coming in at around 245 points and hitting the Over 70% of the time. The Sixers have gone over the total in 27 of 45 their games, and the Over has hit in 15 of Sacramento’s 24 at home. The Kings are the league’s highest-scoring team at almost 120 points per game. They have topped 130 points in five of their past seven. Philly is a more defensive-minded team, but the 76ers are fourth in the league in three-point shooting (37.9%) and average almost 114.

ANALYSIS: My model has the Dons winning outright in 70% of simulations and covering in 65%, with a projected winning margin of seven points. San Francisco is playing its third straight at home, and the Cougars have lost three of their five true road games. The Dons average 76 points and shoot more threes at home, making 9.6 per game. BYU averages 69 points on the road. The Dons won the most recent meeting by 12, at BYU last March.

ANALYSIS: My model has this one going Over 70% of the time and the total coming in close to 150 points. The Irish are 9-8 to the Over, while the Orange are 10-7. Neither defense is good, with both allowing 69.5 points per game. Syracuse is averaging 80 points in its past nine games, going 7-2 over that span. The Irish are 308th in the nation in shooting defense, with opponents making 45.9% of their attempts.

ANALYSIS: My model has the Timberwolves winning outright more than half the time, and they cover the spread in 59% of simulations. Minnesota is 13-9 at home, while the Cavaliers are 9-12 in road games, and Cleveland is wrapping up a five-game road trip. The Cavs have had a day off but traveled from Portland and will be ready to get back home. On top of that, top scorer Donovan Mitchell is dealing with an illness and could sit out. Minnesota comes in off a five-point home victory against the Suns.