The Cowboys' run defense ranks near the bottom of the league at 31st in yards per carry allowed ...

The 49ers have struggled in one facet of their defense, and Ashton Jeanty is looking to rebound after his Week 8 demotion. ...

The Rams managed just two drives over 23 yards in their most recent win before sealing the game late. ...

The Texans face a winless Chargers squad that hasn't scored an offensive touchdown since Week 5 ...

Chicago's strong performance against a top defense raises questions about Tampa Bay's ability to slow the Bears’ offense ...

The Broncos have the worst yardage differential of any team to start 6-2 or better in NFL history ...

The Packers' defense has held three straight opponents to 20 points or less, facing Cowboys, Lions and Panthers ...

Buffalo's offense has scored 24+ in every game, while Minnesota has scored six offensive touchdowns since Week 2 ...

Bhayshul Tuten hasn't practiced this week and is listed as questionable to play Thursday. Even if he's active, there's a good chance that Rodriguez sees more workload than usual in a game where the Jaguars are expected to win by multiple scores. His 28-yard touchdown against the Colts gave him three scores in the last five games, while the Ravens have surrendered seven rushing touchdowns to running backs in eight games. If Tuten is inactive, Rodriguez should become a moderate favorite to reach the end zone, and even if Tuten plays, I think he has a better than 50% shot of getting there.

The Ravens are massive home underdogs due to their QB situation, but that should be good news for Hill in the passing game. He had eight targets last week with Joe Fagnano throwing 21 of the team's 25 pass attempts, getting to 20 yards in a game where the Ravens had just 91 passing yards. He also had 26 yards on three catches (four targets) against the Bengals the previous week when the Ravens lost by 22, and it was his fifth straight game with at least three targets. Expect a few checkdowns to go his way here, and I think he has a great chance to get to 20 yards for a third straight game.

The Seahawks offense got back on track against the Chiefs by turning the ball over only once. Now they'll get to face a Bears defense allowing a league-worst 6.3 yards per play. That means we should expect another strong performance from Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and it'll be on the Bears offense to keep up, But they'll be on the road against the best defense in the league. The Seahawks lead the league with just 4.4 net yards per pass attempt, giving up no more than 176 net passing yards in a single game. Their rush defense is second in yards per attempt, and NFL leading rusher Kenneth Walker managed just 2.6 yards per carry on Sunday night. This line should be closer to Seahawks -6.

The Eagles remain beset by injuries heading into another primetime matchup, but they held their own against the Cowboys and held a lead late in the third quarter. Ultimately their defense was not able to get enough stops on a dangerous Cowboys offense, but this is a step down in quality of opponent, especially with Terry McLaurin and Jacory Croskey-Merritt sidelined. Washington's one win this year featured just one drive longer than 43 yards but somehow 33 points on the scoreboard, and they have the 31st scoring defense in the league. I don't think these units collectively deserved to be favored by this much against basically anyone, so I'm fading the massive market line move on this game.

The Chiefs just got dominated, while the Broncos offense looked the best it has all year. But that comes down to opposition, as the Chiefs faced the best defense in the league while the Broncos faced one of the worst. When these teams met in Week 1, the Broncos managed just 176 yards of offense and had no answers for Kenneth Walker, who had 191 yards of offense himself. Now Jaylen Waddle is in question for this matchup due to a chest injury, so I don't know how the Broncos move the ball consistently and score points. This is a good buy-low spot for Kansas City and a sell-high spot for Denver, and I'd make this line Chiefs -3.

The Broncos have won five of their last six games, but their offense has rarely looked like a unit capable of getting to the playoffs, thanks largely to the conservative play of Bo Nix. He finally put together a respectable performance against an awful Cardinals defense, but 99 of his 222 yards came on two plays: one a screen pass behind the line of scrimmage, and the other a nice read on a deep pass to Marvin Mims with both defenders understandably crashing the shorter target. Nix had just 131 yards against the Chiefs in Week 1, so he could improve some and still stay under this line, though if Jaylen Waddle is out or limited, improvement may be a lot to ask already.

The Patriots ruled out A.J. Brown and TreVeyon Henderson on Saturday, and that's enough to push me to taking the Dolphins as a home 'dog. Miami has an underrated home-field advantage that has helped the team go 26-16-3 ATS as home 'dogs. The Dolphins have been competitive in many games this year despite a tough pre-bye schedule that saw them face the final three undefeated team in three straight weeks, and their rushing attack in particular has excelled even without De'Von Achane. The Pats are undoubtedly going to put up points, but I'll take the Dolphins to score enough to hang around the entire game in a spot that has been profitable for the franchise.