ANALYSIS: Both QBs get a much-needed two weeks to recuperate

ANALYSIS: The Bengals-Chiefs game has a higher chance of being a shootout with Patrick Mahomes practicing in full all week, which has caused the total to rise. Chase didn't get as much work as usual last week with the Bengals in control in the snow, but prior to that he had reached seven receptions in every one of his games since Week 4. The only time he didn't have double-digit targets in that stretch was against Cincinnati, but he still managed seven catches on eight targets there. The gameplan for Cincinnati should remain getting the ball out quick and into Chase's hands, and it'll be hard to stop him getting seven receptions.

ANALYSIS: The health of Patrick Mahomes has had an impact on the spread and total for this game, but with Andy Reid saying the injury isn't as bad as one Mahomes played through in 2019, we have to expect he'll be in there. He may not have his entire bag of tricks at his disposal, but the Chiefs have scored 24 points every week since the weird Titans game where they dominated statistically otherwise. On the other side, the Bengals have scored 27 in each of their three wins over the Chiefs, and the Titans are the only team since Week 8 to hold them under 22 points. Even with Mahomes' health, these two offenses should put this one into the 50s.

ANALYSIS: The 49ers are coming off gutting out a 19-12 win against the Cowboys, their lowest point total in a Brock Purdy game. Now they'll travel cross country to face the only defense with a better sack rate than Dallas, and it's by a wide margin. That's not a situation where I'd expect Purdy to succeed, and we haven't really seen what he looks like running the offense when down more than a few points. While I think Philly's offense is good enough to have some success against the 49ers defense, I also don't see a big point total on their side. This may be similar to last week's 49ers game, just with San Francisco on the losing end this time.

ANALYSIS: The Bengals won't be lacking in confidence after beating the Chiefs three times in the last 13 months. The health of Patrick Mahomes has swung the line to Bengals being favored as everyone rushes to predict the home team loses. We'll see if the Bengals offensive line can hold up without the benefit of snow slowing down the pass rush, and what worked against Josh Allen (blitzing to kingdom come) isn't going to work against Mahomes, no matter his health. The Chiefs feel less dangerous than last year without Tyreek Hill, but Mahomes' season numbers were actually better. I'll take the home 'dog (5-2 ATS in this round since 2000) as a great value play at this number.