

R.J. White
Super Stat Geek
CBS Sports' managing editor of Fantasy and gambling, R.J. twice has cashed huge in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. In 2017 he tied for 18th out of 2,748 contestants with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. In 2015 he tied for 39th out of 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record. Over the past 11 years, R.J.'s Vegas contest picks are 508-424-28 (54.5 percent). R.J. consistently crushes the NFL: He went 803-705-41 on ATS picks from 2017-25, returning more than $2,700 to $100 players as SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert in against the spread picks. R.J. has many years of experience analyzing NFL statistics and trends, beginning with Super Bowl XXV, and it shows in his insightful writeups and winning picks. For R.J. White media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
@rjwhite1.bsky.socialGet Access ToALL PICKS FROM R.J. & THE REST OF OUR EXPERTS
R.J.'s Picks
5 Live PicksThe Rams could be without Puka Nacua tonight ...
This could be the battle of backup QBs after Jayden Daniels suffered an elbow injury Sunday ...
Both these teams have started 0-2, but this line is telling us not to worry about the Texans ...
The Chargers are an absolute mess right now ...
The Falcons have had the worst QB play in the league this season led mainly by Cooper Rush ...
The Chiefs looked better than anticipated in the Week 1 win over the Broncos, with UDFA left tackle Kahlil Benson holding his own, though it took time for Patrick Mahomes to get in rhythm. He certainly looks healthier than Daniel Jones, who led a mediocre passing attack in a blowout loss to the Ravens in Week 1. The Colts' defense looked even worse, surrendering more than 200 rushing yards while allowing 7.9 yards per play. That doesn't bode well with a Chiefs attack built around the run game, and I don't have confidence in Jones to rally for a cover if down. I'd make this Chiefs -8.5.
The Seahawks head into this game with Drew Lock at QB, and I thought he looked solid in a tough spot in the opener, going 16 of 22 for 187 yards and a score. This should be an easier matchup, and the Seahawks' OL should block this Cardinals' front better than the Chargers did. The Cards scored 26 but had just one long TD drive, scoring their other TD off a blocked punt. I like the Seahawks defense to control this game and Lock to do enough to get outside this number by the second half, and it'll be tough for Jacoby Brissett to rally for a backdoor cover.
We found out something about the Dolphins' offense in Week 1, and that's that Washington and Caleb Douglas are going to play a lot. Washington was on the field for 98% of the snaps and led the team with eight targets, though he only caught three for 53 yards. Douglas is the highlight after his 94-yard game, and while I think both are worth playing over their total in this matchup, where the Dolphins are likely chasing points, I'll take the lower number here with Washington, considering he played a little more and was targeted one more time than his counterpart.
The 49ers are massive favorites against the Dolphins, and in that type of game script, we should expect a lot of running the ball in the second half. We'd also expect the star RB to eventually hit the bench in favor of a talented backup who can push for first downs and chew up clock. Black proved plenty capable in the opener, leading the team in rush attempts while averaging 4.6 yards per rush en route to 65 yards. Black is favored to get to 10 carries, and anything around that workload should result in 40+ yards against a defense that gave up 143 rushing yards to the Raiders' top two RBs without any hint of a pass attack to defend.
The Broncos were scheduled for the final game of Week 1, so we don't know how they'll look as of this writing. However, I have enough confidence in this team that I want to lay the -2.5 while it's available. The No. 1 seed last year got better in the offseason with the acquisition of Jaylen Waddle, and while the Jaguars defense looked great in their opener, it was against an awful Browns defense. If the expected regression from last year comes this week, the Broncos could run away with this game. Teams often struggle to play at altitude in Denver early in the year as well. I have this at -4 per power ratings and would still lean Denver at that number.
The Broncos offense had an awful day against the Chiefs in the opener, and while this seems like a bounceback spot, we may have learned something about the pecking order at receiver. Jaylen Waddle had only three targets, and that'll surely go up after the investment made to bring him aboard in the offseason. But it was Pat Bryant dominating the work at receiver, catching four of six targets for 42 yards, while Sutton caught two of five targets for 11 yards. Buzz around Denver camp was that Bryant was in line for a breakout season, and there just aren't enough passes to go around to get Sutton to 40 yards consistently if that's the case.
The Chargers suffered an ugly loss in their opener, and while it brings questions about their offense, I expect this will be an easier matchup with the respective quality of the interior defensive front in Arizona and Vegas. The Raiders won 27-13 but did not look as impressive as that final score, averaging just 4.3 yards per play on offense. Even if Ladd McConkey is unavailable, the Raiders defense will be up against a much stronger set of weapons here. I like fading the overreaction move on this spread, but it's just a strong lean at -7.
Nico Collins has been ruled out for this game, putting the Texans down two key WRs with Jayden Higgins out for the year. That's going to make it difficult to score points on what looks like an improved Bengals defense. Cincinnati's offense can get stymied on the road against great defenses (remember Week 1 at Cleveland last year), and Joe Burrow appears to be less than 100 percent while dealing with a back injury. We're getting this on the right side of a key number to go with the Under.
The Texans had a weird game, looking strong on offense but weak on defense. I'll chalk that up to the matchup against Buffalo. The Bengals benefited from fumbles in a win over the Bucs, but I think it was a step forward for their defense overall, and the offense showed it can be effective without leaning on its primary receivers, in case the Texans' corners have a rebound performance. I put this as a 2-point line, and I want to jump on the Bengals before this comes off the 3.
The Patriots have had plenty of time to stew over their loss in the opener, and I expect the defense will come to play against this suspect Steelers offense. Pittsburgh played an even game against a Falcons team riddled with injuries and won thanks to one great play by T.J. Watt. Their defense should have success against this still-questionable Patriots offensive line, and without A.J. Brown, the passing attack looked poor in general last week. I don't think this one gets close to 40.



