Tom Fornelli

#TrustTheProcess

A CBS Sports college football writer since 2010, Tom Fornelli is a consistent winner when it comes to ATS picks. He's a wallet-fattening 108-79 in his popular "Six Pack" column the past two years. And his renowned "Twitter Tips" are 105-76 in college football the past three seasons, 57-39 in all other sports. Basically, he crushes every single sport. Look for increased access to Fornelli's picks on SportsLine. For Tom Fornelli media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

68-40 IN LAST 108 NBA PICKS | +2389

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Tom's
Picks

Tampa Bay -120 TB -120

Boston 6 @ Tampa Bay 4
4/19
BOS 6 @ TB 4
4/19
LOSS
Fri 4/19

A Tampa offense that's hitting the ball harder than any other team in baseball will face a starter in Eduardo Rodriguez who is prone to giving up fly balls. Fly balls that are hit hard tend to travel pretty far! Combine that with a Boston bullpen that currently has a 5.15 ERA, and I like the Rays at this price. If the Red Sox were the same team but named the Orioles the Rays would be at least -150 in this spot.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +80

3-1 IN LAST 4 BOS ML PICKS | +180

Oklahoma City -8 OKC -8

Portland 108 @ Oklahoma City 120
4/20
POR 108 @ OKC 120
4/20
WIN
Fri 4/19

The home team has been favored in each of the last five meetings, and it's gone 4-1 ATS in those five meetings. On the season Portland is 26-16-1 ATS at home and 34-19-1 ATS as a favorite, but it's only 21-20 ATS on the road, and 13-17 ATS as an underdog. As an underdog on the road, the Blazers are 9-15 ATS. Furthermore, the Thunder have played Portland at home twice this season, and they won both games by nine points.

68-40 IN LAST 108 NBA PICKS | +2389

3-0 IN LAST 3 OKC ATS PICKS | +300

3-0 IN LAST 3 POR ATS PICKS | +300

UNDER 9.5 UNDER 9.5

L.A. Dodgers 3 @ Milwaukee 1
4/19
LAD 3 @ MIL 1
4/19
WIN
Thu 4/18

The total seems too high, and it's at a good price. These are two good offenses, but the Under has gone 6-2-1 in their last nine matchups, and it's 22-7-1 in Zach Davies' last 30 starts, including 7-2 in his last nine at Miller Park. The Dodgers have stayed Under in their last five as well.

6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB O/U PICKS | +369

5-1 IN LAST 6 MIL O/U PICKS | +402

UNDER 11 UNDER 11

Philadelphia 2 @ Colorado 6
4/19
PHI 2 @ COL 6
4/19
WIN
Thu 4/18

Kyle Freeland is starting at home for the Rockies tonight, and that means I'm taking the Under because I always take the Under when Freeland starts at Coors Field. It's 26-6 during his career at home.

6-2 IN LAST 8 MLB O/U PICKS | +369

11-1 IN LAST 12 COL O/U PICKS | +1012

Atlanta -161 ATL -161

Arizona 4 @ Atlanta 1
4/18
ARI 4 @ ATL 1
4/18
LOSS
Thu 4/18

Arizona starter Luke Weaver has been the victim of some bad luck, as suggested by the fact his ERA is 5.17 while his FIP is at a more respectable 3.81, but other peripherals suggest there may not be more pleasant results in the future. Plus, while Weaver gets a lot of groundballs, the amount of flyballs he allows is a concern. Particularly in SunTrust Park during the day with the wind blowing out strongly to left field.

2-1 IN LAST 3 MLB PICKS | +80

3-2 IN LAST 5 ATL ML PICKS | +99

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