One reason why I prefer the Premier League to all others is simply I can, you know, understand what they are saying. I can go read the BBC or Premier League site, etc. Other leagues I'm basically at the mercy of Google translate. You have no idea the spam I get now having gone to all these German/Spanish/Italian/French sites. Think I accidentally bought some paella or a Volkswagen or something (I'd be cool with the paella). Believe City wins here -- Everton hasn't won in the series since 2017 -- but a very fair price to just lose by a goal for the hosts. It's Man City's first-ever visit to Everton's new home of Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Whenever you see Manchester City play a game from now till the end of the season, I would advise you to bet the over. Manchester City are in a position where if they can win out the remainder of their games, and beat Arsenal in goal differential, they will win the league. Right now, Manchester City does have a game in hand and are one goal behind Arsenal on GD, so they need to not only win, but beat up their remaining opponents and run up the score. I know this is juicy, but don't be afraid to just take City goals if you want plus odds!
I would rather set $10 dollars on fire than put money on Chelsea with the form they are in right now. Chelsea are the only team in the entire league who have lost their last five league matches in a row. On top of that, they haven't scored in any of those five matches. They lost 1-0 to Man United, 3-0 to Brighton and Manchester City , and 1-0 to Newcastle. With Nottingham Forest finding incredible form and Chelsea being... Chelsea, this one feels as close to a free win as we can find.
I probably should stop pressing my luck (stop, stop, whammy!) after a 2-0 morning in the EPL so will limit this to a half but may as well ride the gravy train while it lasts. Villa is playing for Europe next season and Spurs to not be relegated. The visitors are missing a ton of guys due to injury and the like. Penultimate home game of the season for Villa, which has been slumping but would be pretty safe for Europe with a win.
Aston Villa specifically when they play at home, are a bit of a problem for other teams in the league. They have played 17 games at home in Premier League play and have only lost twice. Not only are they better at home, but they're in good goal scoring form right now with Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers. Their last home matches saw them beat Sunderland 4-3, Bologna 4-0 and West Ham 2-0. This team always presses for goals, especially against a limping Spurs side. I think Aston Villa could get three by themselves.
Currently, Spurs are sitting in the relegation zone, two points behind West Ham. They have 34 points in 34 games. They have four matches left to make something happen, and to avoid one of the most embarrassing relegations in EPL history. The problem is, their next game is against and Aston Villa side, playing at Villa park, who need points. I am shocked this is plus odds. Spurs have been horrendous for months, and Aston Villa have been monsters at home all season long. Not only, do I have Aston Villa winning this game, but I have them doing it by more than one goal. This is a wild line. Full unit for me!
Whomever invented Draw No Bet -- and I actually did look but could not find a definitive answer -- is my uncomfortable hug buddy. You know, wanna lean in but that'd be weird. Feels like a super-generous price here. Major European qually on the line. United won the reverse in October and weren't even good then. May well draw but I don't see a loss.
Ding, ding again. Outlier number. All of our books have -1 otherwise. The Cherries haven’t lost a Premier League match since January. Almost a throwaway game for CP as it can't really move up domestically and has a much bigger match vs. Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Conference League semis on Thursday.
I'm a big Bournemouth fan. More specifically, I'm a big fan of teams that score a lot of goals, which Bournemouth happens to be! They've been having one heck of a season sitting seventh on the table, with a solid chance of finishing in a UEFA finishing spot. They've seen 104 goals in their 34 matches, and they have the second highest BTTS hit rate in the league. While Palace hasn't been the most exciting team this season, I expect a rampaging Cherries team to push for goals once again in what should be another exciting fixture.
Newcastle stink right now. They have lost five straight, and it feels like Eddie Howe is running out of answers. This turns into a must-win spot for them, but it is hard to trust this team in its current form. Brighton, on the other hand, come into this match beaming with confidence, having won four of their last five. Newcastle have also struggled badly in this matchup, winning just two of their last 17 meetings with Brighton.
I am a firm believer that West Ham will avoid the drop and will still be in the Premier League next season. The team is sitting just two points above the line at the moment, and every match could be the difference between survival or not. West Ham cannot afford to slow down, and in the last couple weeks, they've done well. They've only lost one of their last five matches, as they scrape by sneaking points off of each opponent. Brentford will be motivated to grab a European finishing spot, but they haven't won any of their last five. I expect West Ham to at least get the draw.
I like the over 2.5, but if you don't like that juice, add BTTS or even take over 3.5 goals. West Ham have to press and push for goals, but their defense is just awful. They won't win this game keeping a clean sheet so expect the goals to flow as every minute adds more desperation to the visitors. West Ham have conceded 58 goals this season, and a good, strong scoring Brentford team, will be able to get through their backline. I think this match ends in a 2-2 draw.
Leeds are now six points clear of the drop, but Daniel Farke has made it clear they are not safe yet. They should, and likely will, play on the front foot against a Burnley side that averages just 40% possession away from Turf Moor. Beyond struggling to win the ball, Burnley are conceding at a high rate. They allow 2.47 goals per match away from home, with an xGA of 1.90. They also have trouble creating quality chances in front of goal, taking just 7.94 shots per game.
Man United remain third in the Premier League table after beating Chelsea 1-0 at Stamford Bridge last weekend. They've picked up eight wins from 11 games since captain Bruno Fernandes returned from a hamstring injury in early January. The Red Devils are full of confidence right now, and they have enough quality to secure a home win against Brentford. The Bees have drawn their last six games, but that run could finally come to an end on Monday, as Fernandes is in sparkling form right now.
I’m backing United here. They’re coming off an impressive road win over Chelsea and have been dominant at home. Prior to the 2–1 loss to Leeds, they had won five straight at home, scoring at least two goals in each match. Brentford, meanwhile, haven’t been convincing away from home and are stuck in a stretch of underwhelming performances. Five straight draws might look steady on paper, but there’s not much to hang your hat on. Even in the match against Everton where they scored twice, they were second best throughout. I trust United in this spot, and I like them to get on the board at least twice.