The Huskies took advantage of a UCLA team that was undermanned inside. That won't be the case against Michigan State, which looks fresh following an early exit from the Big Ten Tournament. The deeper Spartans showed their ceiling down the stretch, beating both Purdue and Illinois. They've been tested by the nation's sixth-toughest schedule. Look for Tom Izzo to improve to 12-5 SU in the Sweet 16.

Early in the season, betting Michigan State unders was a profitable activity. Since then, 17 of the last 19 Spartans games have reached 139 total points or higher. Both teams average between 77 and 80 points per game and while parts of this contest may be a slugfest, I could see a barrage of late free throws pushing this into the 140s. Give me UConn to win, 73-68.