Dayton is 14-3 at home and gets to play its first home game in the NIT on Wednesday. The Flyers couldn't use their arena last week due to the First Four. They are as healthy as they've been all year and peaking down the stretch, going 10-2 SU with the only losses coming to VCU. Illinois State comes in making just 32.7 percent of its 3-pointers on the road. Look for the Redbirds to struggle against the bigger Flyers.

Both teams operate on the slow slide offensively, but that hasn't prevented a decent amount of points scored in their games. Dayton's averaged 144, Illinois State's 143. In the NIT, while the slower-paced Redbirds opened with a 137-point game, it followed with a 153. Meantime, the Flyers' two outings wound up with 144 and 143. The Redbirds piled up 78 points last weekend at Wake Forest, so scoring on the road appears to be no concern.