For all of Creighton's offensive prowess, its defense is more efficient, ranked 13th by KenPom. There was none better in the Big East. Princeton has graduated from the milk-the-clock era of its forefathers but still plays patiently. The Tigers dragged victims Arizona and Missouri into a slower pace than they are accustomed to and will likely deploy the blueprint here. The Bluejays can take away their strength at the rim and on threes, which would leave the Tigers with limited options on offense.
Princeton is 7-1 ATS as an underdog, including the last three games. Creighton has won and covered five of its last six and ran an efficient offense in wins against NC State and Baylor last week. Princeton has momentum, winning and covering six straight. The Tigers were better and faster at Missouri’s own game last week and held Arizona, the nation’s No. 7 scoring team, to 55 points. The scores of Creighton's games averaged 77-69. I took the points with Princeton.
When many college basketball fans think of Princeton, the days of Pete Carril and the days of low-scoring, defensive games come to mind. But outside of their win over Arizona in the first round, Princeton can score...a lot. In 13 of their last 16 games, they have scored 70 or more points. In all eight losses the Tigers have suffered this season, they have given up 70+ points. Creighton has scored 75 or more in nearly 60% of their games this season and I expect they'll do so tonight. While I don't see this one flying into the 150s necessarily, I think there's value on the Over as a mid-140s total seems highly possible.