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Fri, Mar 182:14 am UTCGainbridge Fieldhouse
San Francisco
Dons
SANFRAN
Last 5 ATS
W/L22-10
ATS15-17
O/U17-15-0
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Murray State
Racers
MURYST
Last 5 ATS
W/L28-3
ATS17-13
O/U14-17-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
22-10
Win /Loss
28-3
15-17
Spread
17-13
17-15-0
Over / Under
14-17-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SANFRAN @ MURYST
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MONEYLINE
SANFRAN @ MURYST
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OVER / UNDER
SANFRAN @ MURYST
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

San Fran. +2 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1101
21-9-1 in Last 31 NCAAB ATS Picks
+364
16-11-1 in Last 28 NCAAB ATS Picks
Tom's Analysis:

Murray State is a fun team to watch, but it dominated a bad conference in which it was the biggest bad guy on the block. San Francisco is bigger, better, and has played a much more difficult schedule. I don't think Murray State will quite know how to handle a team that has this much of a size advantage against it.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 3:18 pm UTC on WHNJ
Murray St. -2 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+645
12-5 in Last 17 NCAAB ATS Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
Chip's Analysis:

Both of these teams have multiple wins against NCAA Tournament teams and in my opinion represent the best No. 7 and No. 10 seeds in the entire field. But San Francisco has to be docked with the loss of Yauhen Massalski, the team's best interior presence, ahead of a showdown with Murray State big man KJ Williams, the 6-foot-10 OVC Player of the Year who averages 18.2 points, 8.6 rebounds and hits 3s at a 41.1% clip.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 2:41 am UTC on WHNJ
Murray St. -2 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+470
6-2 in Last 8 NCAAB Picks
+370
7-3 in Last 10 NCAAB ATS Picks
Jeff's Analysis:

The Racers can shoot and defend in the post. They have more experience, as this will be Murray State's 18th appearance in the Big Dance. The Dons went 24-9 this year after going 11-14 last year. I don't think they are ready for this type of game. Murray State has the best record in the nation (30-2) and rank No. 11 in rebounds. San Francisco comes in on a 3-0 ATS streak. Murray State is 0-3 ATS in its past three games. Take the Racers.

Pick Made: Mar 17, 12:50 am UTC on WHNJ
Murray St. -2 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2084
56-32-1 in Last 89 NCAAB ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Look for Murray State to have the edge with better offensive sets. San Francisco relies too heavily on its perimeter players, and the offense bogs down at times. Expect 6’-10'' forward KJ Williams to give the Dons big problems, and for the Racers to get the win.

Pick Made: Mar 16, 11:39 pm UTC on WHNJ
Murray St. -1 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+2796
82-41 in Last 123 NCAAB Picks
+2674
138-101-1 in Last 240 NCAAB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This might be the most interesting matchup of Thursday, but I'm now favoring the Racers, who are 30-2 on the season and haven't lost since Dec. 22 at Auburn, because San Francisco big man and All-WCC first-team pick Yauhen Massalski will not play after reinjuring his knee in practice Monday. He averaged 13.5 points, 9.4 boards and 2.2 blocks per game and also had missed the WCC Tournament semifinal.

Pick Made: Mar 16, 9:36 pm UTC on WHNJ
Murray St. -1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+3193
216-167-8 in Last 391 NCAAB ATS Picks
+80
3-2 in Last 5 NCAAB ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

It's a shame these dangerous mid-majors have to play in the Round of 64. I see Murray State (30-2) moving on. The Racers made a mockery of the Ohio Valley Conference, destroying top challenger Belmont by 22 and 33 points. The Racers also knocked off NCAA Tournament teams Memphis and Chattanooga. Led by 6-10 K.J. Williams (18.2 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 54.4 percent shooting), they're a complete team with experience and athleticism. The Dons are legit but could struggle with turnovers here, as Murray State forces turnovers 21 percent of the time. The money is coming in on Murray State -- for good reason.

Pick Made: Mar 14, 4:38 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

San Francisco Dons
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
F
Ndewedo Newbury
Leg
Avatar
F
David Fuchs
Upper Body
Murray State Racers
No Player Injuries
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