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Fri, May 1511:00 pm UTCRocket Arena
Detroit
Pistons
DET
Last 5 ATS
W/L67-28
ATS50-45
O/U44-51-0
FINAL SCORE
115
-
94
Cleveland
Cavaliers
CLE
Last 5 ATS
W/L59-36
ATS40-55
O/U48-47-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
67-28
Win /Loss
59-36
50-45
Spread
40-55
44-51-0
Over / Under
48-47-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DET @ CLE
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MONEYLINE
DET @ CLE
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OVER / UNDER
DET @ CLE
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41%
PUBLIC
59%
MONEY
23%
PUBLIC
77%
MONEY
Over96%
PUBLIC
Under4%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
PTS + ASTDaniss Jenkins Over 11.5 Total Points + Assists -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+1255
19-6 Last 25 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. Outside of Cade Cunningham and Tobias Harris, the Pistons have struggled mightily to find consistent offensive production. Daniss Jenkins was a spark-plug for the Pistons in Game 5, and I like him to continue to find success tonight. Even with Duncan Robinson returning, the Pistons double point guard lineup was able to create opportunities, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Jenkins poached minutes from the offensively challenged Ausar Thompson as well. Jenkins has cleared this line in 3/5 this series, and I like him to make it 4/6 tonight. Play to 12.5.

Pick Made: Fri 10:31 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadCleveland -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+630
13-6 Last 19 NBA ATS
+155
7-5 Last 12 NBA ATS
Micah's Analysis:

The No. 1-seeded Pistons lost a critical Game 5 at home against the Cavaliers, and now they're on the brink of elimination in Game 6 at Cleveland. Star player Cade Cunningham did his job with 39 points off 13-of-27 shooting and 6-of-10 from 3-point range, but the problem is that nobody else helped him as the team shot under 40% without Cunningham’s stats. And that's where James Harden's veteran savvy came into play as he went to the free-throw line 14 times and scored 30 points in the game. It was a balanced attack, and the Cavs shot 40% from 3-point range and won despite having 16 turnovers. Cavs close it out tonight, making up for their failure as the No. 1 seed last year.

Pick Made: Fri 4:44 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
ReboundsMax Strus Over 4.5 Total Rebounds +108
WIN
Unit1.0
+1255
19-6 Last 25 NBA Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Given the trajectory of his role and how the Cleveland bigs have struggled on the glass, I like Max Strus to clear his rebounds line once again. He’s recorded at least 5 rebounds in 15/24 games this season, including 3/5 this series. Strus’ minutes reached 31 (in regulation) in Game 5, as he was entrusted with defending Cade Cunningham down the stretch. Needed on the floor offensively for floor spacing, the high-energy veteran should continue to make an impact in Game 6. Look for Strus to clear this plus-money prop.

Pick Made: Fri 1:15 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
PointsDonovan Mitchell Over 26.5 Total Points -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+371.5
22-14 Last 36 NBA Player Props
Adam's Analysis:

Donovan Mitchell averages 31.3 ppg over his career in playoff closeout games (team is one win from advancing). He was limited to 21 in Game 5’s impressive road win, picked up by James Harden. But he scored 43 and 35 in the previous two. Back at home, look for the closer to do his thing and will the Cavs to the Eastern finals.

Pick Made: Fri 1:09 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PointsDonovan Mitchell Over 26.5 Total Points -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2157
127-88 Last 215 NBA Player Props
Mike's Analysis:

Donovan Mitchell struggled in Game 5, shooting just 7-for-18 from the field. That included him going 1-for-8 from behind the arc. He still scored 21 points, showing how high his floor is because of his usage rate. Prior to that performance, he had three straight games with at least 31 points. He shot 49.3% from the field at home this season and has scored at least 30 points in four of six home playoff games. With the home crowd behind him, I like Mitchell to score at least 27 points.

Pick Made: Fri 12:22 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PTS + REBPaul Reed Over 8.5 Total Points + Rebounds -122
WIN
Unit1.0
+2579
82-47 Last 129 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

Paul Reed has gotten 10 or more minutes in four playoff games. Each time, he has produced at least 12 combined points and rebounds. In fact, he has cleared this prop total in 13 of the last 14 games in which he received 10-plus minutes. It's hard to figure out JB Bickerstaff's rotation patterns, but I'm betting he gives Reed significant minutes Friday after he played him for the entire fourth quarter and overtime Wednesday. Bickerstaff calls Reed "a run-stopper," meaning he can end Cavs' runs. At home, Cleveland is likely to rip off a few spurts, requiring Bickerstaff to call on Reed.

Pick Made: Fri 2:50 am UTC on FanDuel
Money LineCleveland -169
LOSS
Unit2.0
+222.5
23-18-2 Last 43 NBA
+62
3-2 Last 5 NBA ML
+987
36-15 Last 51 NBA ML
Matt's Analysis:

Thought the Cavs had a better roster than the Pistons anyways and now they have a chance to finish at home. Ideally, James Harden calls in sick (Beard not a great track record in elimination games), but Cleveland has been dominant at home for months. Detroit is terrible at 3-point shooting anyways and without Duncan Robinson even worse. He missed Game 5 and iffy for Game 6. I'm not sure it matters because while D-Rob can shoot, he's a massive defensive liability. Basically me. The Pistons need to get Giannis this offseason. Then they'd be fun.

Pick Made: Fri 2:12 am UTC on BetMGM
SpreadDetroit +4 -111
WIN
Unit1.0
+285
4-1 Last 5 NBA
+75
3-2 Last 5 NBA ATS
Jeff's Analysis:

Detroit is built for the high pressure environment of a road elimination game. Their defensive identity consistently travels, allowing them to remain competitive even when shots are not falling. Although the market favors Cleveland at home, the Cavaliers have underperformed in this role, posting a disappointing record of 16-25 against the spread at Rocket Arena. Conversely, Detroit excels as an underdog, going 14-6 ATS in this season. Teams coming off a galvanizing close loss in this round cover the spread nearly 72% of the time in the next game. I like the road dog at this spot.

Pick Made: Thu 7:29 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
PTS + REBJalen Duren Under 20.5 Total Points + Rebounds -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2579
82-47 Last 129 NBA Player Props
Larry's Analysis:

In a pivotal Game 5, JB Bickerstaff benched Jalen Duren for the entire fourth quarter and overtime. Duren's minutes this series have gone like this: 35, 33, 29, 27, 25. Paul Reed and Isaiah Stewart played well in Game 5, posting a combined plus-12 in 28 minutes, while Duren was minus-16 in 25 minutes. In the two games in Cleveland, Duren recorded 15 and 10 combined points and rebounds. He could have a double-double Friday and still fall below this prop total.

Pick Made: Thu 2:50 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Detroit Pistons
Saturday, May 16, 2026
Avatar
SG
Caris LeVert
HeelQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Duncan Robinson
BackQuestionable
Avatar
SG
Kevin Huerter
ThighQuestionable
Cleveland Cavaliers
Friday, May 15, 2026
Avatar
PF
Larry Nance Jr.
IllnessQuestionable
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