As good as the Thunder can be on defense, they have allowed at least 116 points in four of their last five games. Both the Hawks and Thunder rank inside the top-seven in the league in pace of play, so this could be another high-scoring affair. Caris LeVert has averaged 30 minutes over his last six games, leaving him to score at least 13 points five times. We only need 12 here, so I like this over.

Aaron Wiggins scored 24 points over 29 minutes against the Nets on Wednesday. Over his last 12 games, he has averaged 19.2 points. That included him scoring at least 14 points eight times. This is a great matchup against the Hawks, who have played at the second-fastest pace in the league. Alex Caruso (rest) has also been ruled out, which should leave Wiggins with added minutes. Look for Wiggins to stay hot in the scoring column.

FanDuel. Another fade of a lead ball-handler against the Thunder. This time the focus is Trae Young, who has failed to clear this line in 8/13 games against the top 20 pick and roll defenses, when playing without Jalen Johnson. The Thunder are third against the playtype, and first overall in limiting opposing point guard points, rebounds and assists.

Trae Young is having a very good season as the floor general of the Hawks. Young is averaging 38.4 PRA on the season, however Young is struggling from an efficiency standpoint and possesses the worst shooting splits of his career. This spells bad news when OKC is traveling to your arena as the Thunder sport the best defense in the league and have been exceptional at limiting lead guards. I expect Trae to struggle from the field and this game could also get out of hand which could lead to a possible blowout/reduced playing time for Young.

It's a big number to be sure, but OKC's defense has been surprisingly lax lately against some crap teams - making these four-quarter fights - and there are strong over trends here. ATL is 11-2 to the over when the total is over 240; they allow 128/G in those 13 games. Ten of those gams went over by multi-possessions and 8 of them went over by double digits. Hawks are 14-8 over vs West. Thunder are 13-5-1 over vs bottom 9 teams, 8-3-1 over last 12 on road and 12-4-1 over in last 17 games, including 4 in a row. OKC is over this total in 4 straight games. Might hang 140 here.