Past Picks
Lone Serie A match of Friday seems like a fair enough price on DNB considering Torino is three points better in the table than Monza. Torino looked great Monday in a 3-0 away win at Parma and is unbeaten in three. It has never lost in Serie A to Monza but is in a payback spot for a 1-0 home loss to the side on Sept. 1 in the Coppa Italia on a first-half stoppage time goal by Dany Mota. But Monza has some player availability issues here and is winless in its four away league matches, conceding 11 goals with a minus-6 differential. The model has Torino by about a half-goal and now I want Carrabba's.
This one kicks in about 40 minutes -- was hoping to spin off some Leeds United money into, but that match vs. Man United pushed from the Premier League. Atalanta is missing a handful of guys and just played Thursday in the UEFA Conference League. It has lost both league roadies with a minus-3 goal differential. AC Milan is has two wins on home pitch in two tries in Serie A, outscoring those foes 5-0. The home side appears in good injury/suspension shape and has dominated the series overall but due a win not having had one vs. Atalanta since 2023.
Venezia are bottom of the Serie A table after losing all six games so far this season. They've already conceded 16 goals, which doesn't bode well for their chances of stopping Kevin De Bruyne and Rasmus Højlund in this game. Napoli are coming off a disappointing midweek defeat to Villarreal in the Champions League, but their domestic form has been strong. They're on a three-game unbeaten streak in Serie A, including a 3-0 win against Frosinone last weekend, and they should outclass Venezia.
I'm not "new" to soccer, but obviously getting bigger and bigger at CBS Sports. Opened my eyes a bit to the "The Beautiful Game." Do I watch until the last 10 minutes? Short of a final/bet, no. Could I kick a ball into an open net from five yards away? Also no. I still prefer Wiffle Ball but can't bet on that and am enjoying the intricacies. Stoppage time is the worst, but otherwise. I already like Frosinone for the nickname: Canaries. They have played 11 total matches this year including friendlies. Two have landed Over this number. Sassuolo will concede and also leave your hair feeling fresh and bouncy. It's just will the visitors give up more than 2? Model has 2.7 total goals.
This as you can see is priced quite high for Monday but it's also a gift in my mind because three of our books have -1 and the other two at -1.5. So if I have to cough up a bit more $$ to avoid a push, that's OK. I do struggle to see a home loss as Venezia is quite easily the worst team in Serie A -- the only side yet to win and with the worst goal differential (minus-9). Plus, really banged up. Atalanta is mid-table.
I’m not sure what to make of this Como squad yet, but I have no problem backing them until they show me they don’t deserve it. Cesc Fabregas has this team playing phenomenal football. Como won their first-ever Champions League match 4-1 against RB Leipzig, beat Genoa 4-1 on the road and then went to Napoli and won 2-1. Now they get a Parma team that has really struggled going forward. Parma have been shut out in three of their four matches, with their only goal coming against Monza. I’m backing Como -1.5 at this price because I think this number is headed toward -2 by kickoff.
The Juventus defense has been formidable in the early weeks of the new Serie A season. They beat Frosinone 1-0 on the road in their opener, before clinching a 2-0 victory over Parma on Saturday. AC Milan have also looked solid in defense under new manager Ruben Amorim. They beat Torino 2-1 in their opener, but Torino scored in the 94th minute with their only shot on target in the entire game. The Rossoneri then beat Venezia 2-0 in their second game. Under 2.5 goals has paid off in the last three games between these teams, and it has also landed in six of their last seven matches.
I have been and will continue to sing the praises of AS Roma the future winners of the Scudetto and Donyell Malen the future Capocannoniere winner. I'm going to take Roma ML against any team in Serie A except for Inter Milan if it's better than -150 odds. You can take their 1.5 TT if you prefer or Malen ATGS to get better value but this Roma team is a wagon and we need to all get on it ASAP!
Roma have made a blistering start to the new season, beating Lecce 4-0 in their opener and Fiorentina 4-0 on Monday. Donyell Malen is on fire, with five goals in two games so far, and fellow forward Paulo Dybala is also improving. Roma manager Gian Piero Gasperini will now face Atalanta, his former club, on Matchday 3, and it promises to be an intriguing game. Atalanta aren’t quite as gung-ho as they were during Gasperini’s tenure, but they’re still often involved in high-scoring matches, so over 2.5 goals looks sensible here.
Como should extend their unbeaten start to the new Serie A season when they face Genoa at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Cesc Fabregas’ men drew 1-1 with Udinese in their opener, before securing an impressive 2-1 victory over Napoli last weekend. Both of those games were on the road, so they won’t be daunted by the prospect of heading to Genoa. They beat Genoa 2-0 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris in April, which could give them a psychological advantage. Genoa have made a poor start to the season, losing 2-0 to Napoli and 1-0 to Lazio, and they could be outclassed here.
Maurizio Sarri comes in to manage Atalanta, and I think he turns this team into a much more controlled, defensive unit. They’ll use possession to dictate matches, avoid opening themselves up and make opponents work for every decent chance. On the other side, I’m not sold on this Bologna attack at all. Losing Santiago Castro in the transfer market was a massive blow, and I don’t see enough consistent finishing in this squad to scare Atalanta. This has the makings of a 2-0 or 1-1 type of match. We might even get a 0-0. It could get sweaty late, but under 2.5 goals is the right side for me.
Gian Piero Gasperini has built a monster with this Roma side. They defend extremely well, and the attack with Paulo Dybala and Donyell Malen is starting to hum. Lecce is a difficult place to play, so I’m not getting too aggressive here, but I do like a small wager on Roma -1. It also gives us some protection. If Roma wins by one, we get our money back. There’s also an in-game angle if Lecce scores first. They’ll likely drop into a low block and defend the lead, which should create plenty of Roma pressure and corner opportunities. Roma will attack relentlessly, and I’d expect them to find a way back into the match.
CBS Sports Network game. Lazio looked strong in winning the season opener 1-0 at Bologna behind a goal from summer signing Davide Frattesi. Genoa looked about as bad as any Serie A team with a 2-0 home loss to Napoli. Lazio has won the past six in this series by a combined score of 13-2. Genoa had only four away wins last season.
Yes, I tend to pick Sassuolo matches because it reminds me of shampoo and a Phil Collins song. Hey whatever works man. Home opener and that's something I always like to play but I have flipped from DNB to the total. Torino didn't look particularly good in its opener, a 2-1 loss to AC Milan. The Sassys, meanwhile, lost their top goalscorer from last season in Andrea Pinamonti to Lazio. A few other guys are out. Pinamonti! Amore! Beefaroni! Love Italy. Welp, summer is officially over now. Gots to work. See you in April wife ...
Right now the over 2.5 goal line is set to -120. I love this line, and I would be okay taking Roma over 2.5 goals by themselves if you want some plus numbers in front of your wager. Roma are one of the clubs most motivated in all of Serie A going into the final matchday. While some clubs are going to be already checked out, Roma will not be. A win here get's them a top four finish, and they couldn't have asked for a better opponent in a must win game than Verona. Verona are already relegated and have the second worst defense in Serie A. I expect Roma to not only win this match, but dominate from start to finish.