The Chargers were embarrassed by the Jaguars before their bye week, which must have truly stung. Back at home, John Harbaugh should have Los Angeles motivated for a supreme bounce-back effort against a Las Vegas team that has changed offensive coordinators but not personnel. The Raiders struggle to run despite having Ashton Jeanty in the backfield, and Geno Smith is going to have problems against this secondary. Justin Herbert should be able to get the ball out quickly against a weak middle of the Raiders defense, which would negate Maxx Crosby’s pass rush. LA won this matchup by 11 on the road in Week 2 and should be more dominant here even with Joe Alt sidelined.

The Raiders play Cover-3 at the league's highest rate. It's a coverage Keenan Allen excels against, both in terms of targets and production. In the first meeting with the Raiders, Allen caught five of seven targets for 61 yards. Look for Allen to be heavily involved Sunday.

The Chargers are regularly using three safeties, which has increased Derwin James' tackle opportunities. He had seven combined stops in the first meeting with Las Vegas. Look for James to get at least six combined tackles in the rematch.

Before their bye week the LA Chargers Justin Herbert had a woeful game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. He threw for just eighty one yards as Quentin Johnston was held without a catch, and Ladd McConkey had just thirteen yards receiving. In their first matchup against the Raiders, Coach Jim Harbaugh valued time of possession and to the sticks offense. Look for Ladd McConkey to be the recipient of that game plan today as he has a couple of catches, mixed with one big gainer.

The Las Vegas Raiders offensively have scored just one offensive touchdown each of the last three games. With Geno Smith it’s no secret that the guys he wants to throw the football to are Tyler Lockett, Brock Bowers, and Tre Tucker. Tucker has had eight and ten targets each of the last two games. Look for Tucker to break his 1-4 stretch in the prop market over the last five games, as he clears his over tonight.

The Chargers' injuries at offensive tackle have a chance to severely hamper the offense, but one thing that shouldn't change is Herbert's rushing production. Even as Joe Alt has been in and out of the lineup, Herbert has rushed for 19 yards in nine of 11 games, including in five straight. While the Raiders typically don't give up a lot of rushing production to QBs -- presumably because they do most of their damage attacking a mediocre pass defense -- Herbert had nine carries for 31 yards in Week 2 with Alt in the lineup. This feels like a spot where if Herbert is averaging his normal five carries per game, he's getting to around 20 yards once again.

There is not a more rock bottom moment in the NFL season than the Las Vegas Raiders. Losing in the fashion that they have all season long, but the last two weeks have been brutal. A prime time blowout home loss to the Dallas Cowboys, and then as a favorite blown out by the Browns who were starting Sheduer Sanders for the first time on the season. After the firing of Chip Kelly look for enough wrinkles from the offense to stay in the game against a Chargers team that did not show much before their bye week against the Jaguars. Grab the points with the Raiders.

They're a mess! The dismissal of OC Chip Kelly this week is hardly going to solve personnel shortcomings that have hindered the Raiders all season. Geno Smith doesn't have time to throw as his wideouts never seem to get open; forced to make plays on the move, Geno gets out of his comfort zone quickly. We expect new/old OC Rich Olson (now in his third Raiders OC stint) to make better use of Ashton Jeanty...but the Chargers might figure the same. After a bye week to stew following a listless 35-6 loss at Jacksonville, expect a much sharper effort from Justin Herbert and the Bolts offense. The Chargers' 20-9 win at Allegiant Stadium September 15 was easier than the score suggests. Play Chargers

The Raiders offense had 15 drives against the Browns and only scored on two possessions, so it's understandable the market is fading them coming out of a loss to Shedeur Sanders. But don't forget that the Chargers' offense looked just as bad the last time we saw them, and it was against a much easier Jaguars defense. The Chargers' tackle issues haven't gone away, and a talented Raiders defensive front should have success in that matchup. With that O-line, I can't rate the Chargers as better than average, and there's no way an average team should be laying 10 points against anyone, particularly with what might be a home-field disadvantage against the former L.A. team still popular in the region.